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Nutrien(NTR) - 2023 Q2 - Earnings Call Presentation
2023-08-03 20:04
Forward-Looking Statements Forward-looking statements are subject to a number of risks and uncertainties, many of which are beyond our control and are difficult to predict, which could cause actual results or events to differ materially from results or events expressed in such forward-looking statements. Such events or circumstances include, but are not limited to: general global economic, market and business conditions; failure to complete announced and future acquisitions or divestitures at all or on the ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2023 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-08-03 18:52
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Nutrien reported adjusted EBITDA of $2.5 billion for Q2 2023 and $3.9 billion for the first half of the year, marking a significant decline from the record levels of the previous year due to lower fertilizer prices and reduced sales volumes [7][11] - Fertilizer inventories ended the quarter at a multiyear low, down more than 40% from the prior year, indicating potential for large purchasing requirements in the second half [18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American nitrogen sales volumes increased by 10% year-over-year, driven by strong fertilizer demand, with nitrogen gross margin at approximately 35% [20] - Crop protection gross margins were impacted by lower prices for certain commodity products and reduced demand due to dry conditions in the US Midwest [8][50] - Potash sales volumes in North America increased, with stable pricing compared to the previous quarter, but overall potash shipment estimates were lowered to 63 million to 65 million tonnes for 2023 [19][24] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - North American crop development is ahead of historical averages, supporting increased demand for fertilizer products in Q3 [12] - In Brazil, fertilizer prices have strengthened recently, with potash prices up around 10% since early June, indicating a recovery in demand [55] - Southeast Asia is experiencing a mixed recovery, with prices varying significantly across markets [46] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Nutrien is focusing on disciplined capital allocation and enhancing free cash flow through the cycle, pausing potash ramp-up projects while maintaining operational flexibility [6][25] - The company expects structural market shifts to support higher average fertilizer prices in the next cycle, driven by tight global crop markets and inflationary impacts [59][60] - Nutrien is prioritizing integration of recently acquired businesses in Brazil and enhancing supply chain efficiencies [58][82] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the stabilization and recovery of demand, particularly in North America and Brazil, despite ongoing volatility in offshore markets [16][43] - The company anticipates a strong fall fertilizer application season, with per ton margins expected to be above historical averages [56] - Management acknowledged the uncertainty surrounding the timing of demand for clean ammonia, leading to the suspension of the Geismar project [57][108] Other Important Information - A non-cash impairment charge was recognized for the White Springs phosphate assets due to their shorter mine life and market volatility [21] - The company has revised its full-year adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $5.5 billion to $6.7 billion, reflecting lower offshore realized prices and potash sales volume guidance [24][56] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss potash capability and demand recovery? - Management indicated that for 2023, global shipments were reduced to 63 million to 65 million tonnes, with the ability to meet customer needs for 15.5 million tonnes next year [62] Question: What are the assumptions for retail in the mid-cycle earnings? - The retail assumption was adjusted to $1.9 billion to $2.1 billion, reflecting margin pressure and higher cost inventory [38] Question: What is the outlook for nitrogen expectations in the back half of the year? - Management noted that nitrogen prices are expected to firm up in the second half, with a significant portion of the ag nitrogen book already sold [112][90] Question: Can you clarify the decision to defer the Geismar clean ammonia project? - The decision was based on capital cost escalations and the need for flexibility in capital allocation, with a potential delay of at least 24 months [127][128]
Nutrien(NTR) - 2023 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2023-08-02 22:00
Exhibit 99.1 NYSE, TSX: NTR News Release August 2, 2023 – all amounts are in US dollars except as otherwise noted Nutrien Reports Second Quarter 2023 Results Revising full-year guidance to reflect factors impacting offshore potash sales through Canpotex and lower global potash prices than previously anticipated. Announcing strategic actions expected to reduce controllable costs and enhance free cash flow. SASKATOON, Saskatchewan - Nutrien Ltd. (TSX and NYSE: NTR) announced today its second quarter 2023 resu ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2023 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-05-11 18:44
Good morning. Thank you for joining us today. Nutrien???s first quarter results reflect the impact of structural supply issues and shifting buying patterns that have contributed to an unprecedented period of market volatility. We delivered adjusted EBITDA of $1.4 billion the second highest for any first quarter on record. Continuing to demonstrate the advantages of our flexible low cost production assets and global distribution network. We invested $700 million to sustain and grow our assets and returned ov ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2023 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2023-05-10 22:33
[First Quarter 2023 Results Overview](index=1&type=section&id=Nutrien%20Reports%20First%20Quarter%202023%20Results) Nutrien achieved its second-highest Q1 net earnings, returning $1.1 billion to shareholders despite a significant decline from 2022's record, with full-year guidance revised downwards [Highlights and Executive Summary](index=1&type=section&id=Highlights) Nutrien reported its second-highest Q1 net earnings, returning $1.1 billion to shareholders despite a significant decline from 2022's record, with full-year guidance revised downwards Q1 2023 Key Financial Metrics | Metric | Value | | :--- | :--- | | Net Earnings | $0.6 billion | | Diluted Net Earnings per Share | $1.14 | | Adjusted Net Earnings per Share | $1.11 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $1.4 billion | - Returned **$1.1 billion** to shareholders in Q1 2023, consisting of approximately **$900 million** in share repurchases (**11.8 million shares**) and dividends[2](index=2&type=chunk)[4](index=4&type=chunk)[7](index=7&type=chunk) - Full-year 2023 guidance was revised to an adjusted EBITDA of **$6.5-$8.0 billion** and adjusted EPS of **$5.50-$7.50**, reflecting the stabilization of fertilizer markets[7](index=7&type=chunk) - Crop input demand has strengthened for the spring planting season, and the company anticipates increased demand in the second half of 2023 due to strong agricultural fundamentals and lower inventory levels[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Management's Discussion and Analysis (MD&A)](index=2&type=section&id=Management%27s%20Discussion%20and%20Analysis) This section provides an in-depth analysis of Nutrien's financial performance, market outlook, and operational results for the quarter [Market Outlook and Financial Guidance](index=2&type=section&id=Market%20Outlook%20and%20Guidance) Market outlook remains positive due to strong agricultural fundamentals, yet full-year 2023 guidance was revised downwards due to lower forecasted fertilizer prices - The global grain stocks-to-use ratio is projected to end the current growing season at its lowest level in over **25 years**, providing incentive for growers to invest in crops[12](index=12&type=chunk) - Global potash shipment forecast for 2023 is maintained at **63 to 67 million tonnes**, with increased demand expected in H2 2023 due to lower inventories and improved grower affordability[12](index=12&type=chunk) Revised Full-Year 2023 Guidance (as of May 10, 2023) | Metric | Previous Guidance (Feb 15, 2023) | Revised Guidance (May 10, 2023) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted Net Earnings per Share | $8.45 - $10.65 | $5.50 - $7.50 | | Adjusted EBITDA | $8.4 - $10.0 billion | $6.5 - $8.0 billion | | Retail Adjusted EBITDA | $1.85 - $2.05 billion | $1.60 - $1.75 billion | | Potash Adjusted EBITDA | $3.7 - $4.5 billion | $2.65 - $3.35 billion | | Nitrogen Adjusted EBITDA | $2.5 - $3.2 billion | $1.95 - $2.55 billion | - Guidance was lowered primarily due to the expectation of below-normal crop nutrient gross margins (Retail), and lower forecasted benchmark fertilizer prices (Potash and Nitrogen)[17](index=17&type=chunk) [Consolidated Results](index=4&type=section&id=Consolidated%20Results) Nutrien's Q1 2023 consolidated results showed significant year-over-year declines in sales and net earnings, driven by lower selling prices across all segments Consolidated Financial Highlights (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Sales | $6,107 million | $7,657 million | (20)% | | Gross Margin | $1,913 million | $3,257 million | (41)% | | Net Earnings | $576 million | $1,385 million | (58)% | | Adjusted EBITDA | $1,421 million | $2,615 million | (46)% | | Diluted Net Earnings per Share | $1.14 | $2.49 | (54)% | - The primary reason for the decline in earnings was lower net realized selling prices in all segments and lower sales volumes in Retail, Potash, and Phosphate[20](index=20&type=chunk) - Cash used in operating activities increased significantly, primarily due to lower earnings across all segments[20](index=20&type=chunk) [Segment Results](index=4&type=section&id=Segment%20Results) All operating segments reported a year-over-year adjusted EBITDA decline in Q1 2023, with Retail incurring a loss and other segments affected by lower selling prices [Nutrien Ag Solutions ("Retail")](index=5&type=section&id=Nutrien%20Ag%20Solutions%20%28%22Retail%22%29) The Retail segment reported an adjusted EBITDA loss of **$34 million** in Q1 2023, driven by lower sales and gross margins for crop nutrients and protection products Retail Segment Performance (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Sales | $3,422 million | $3,861 million | (11)% | | Gross Margin | $615 million | $845 million | (27)% | | Adjusted EBITDA | $(34) million | $240 million | n/m | - Crop nutrient gross margin per tonne decreased in all regions due to lower selling prices and higher cost inventory[25](index=25&type=chunk) - Crop protection product sales and gross margin decreased, particularly in North America, compared to a historically strong Q1 2022[25](index=25&type=chunk) [Potash](index=6&type=section&id=Potash) Potash adjusted EBITDA fell **52%** to **$676 million** in Q1 2023, driven by lower net realized selling prices and decreased sales volumes Potash Segment Performance (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted EBITDA | $676 million | $1,406 million | (52)% | | Sales Volumes (k tonnes) | 2,636 | 3,043 | (13)% | | Avg. Net Realized Price/Tonne ($) | $380 | $608 | (38)% | | COGS per Tonne ($) | $115 | $100 | 15% | - Sales volumes in North America decreased due to just-in-time buying, while record Q1 Canpotex sales to Brazil partially offset lower demand from Asia[28](index=28&type=chunk) - Cost of goods sold per tonne increased primarily due to lower production volumes and a pull forward of maintenance activities[28](index=28&type=chunk) [Nitrogen](index=7&type=section&id=Nitrogen) Nitrogen adjusted EBITDA decreased **32%** to **$676 million** due to lower selling prices, partially offset by reduced natural gas costs and improved operational reliability Nitrogen Segment Performance (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted EBITDA | $676 million | $995 million | (32)% | | Sales Volumes (k tonnes) | 2,357 | 2,325 | 1% | | Avg. Net Realized Price/Tonne ($) | $500 | $651 | (23)% | | COGS per Tonne ($) | $275 | $290 | (5)% | - The decline was driven by weaker benchmark prices for all major nitrogen products, while cost of goods sold per tonne decreased due to lower natural gas costs[33](index=33&type=chunk) - Ammonia utilization rate increased to **95%** from **89%** in Q1 2022, due to a focus on reliability initiatives[33](index=33&type=chunk)[75](index=75&type=chunk) [Phosphate](index=8&type=section&id=Phosphate) Phosphate adjusted EBITDA declined **43%** to **$137 million** due to decreased sales volumes and lower net realized prices for fertilizer products Phosphate Segment Performance (Three Months Ended March 31) | Metric | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | % Change | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Adjusted EBITDA | $137 million | $239 million | (43)% | | Sales Volumes (k tonnes) | 548 | 651 | (16)% | | Avg. Net Realized Price/Tonne ($) | $814 | $865 | (6)% | - The decrease in adjusted EBITDA was due to lower sales volumes and lower net realized prices for fertilizer products[37](index=37&type=chunk) [Corporate and Others](index=8&type=section&id=Corporate%20and%20Others) Corporate and Others' adjusted EBITDA loss improved to **$(13) million**, driven by reduced share-based compensation and a gain on post-retirement benefit plans - Share-based compensation expense decreased to **$15 million** from **$135 million** in Q1 2022 due to a decrease in the fair value of share-based awards[36](index=36&type=chunk)[38](index=38&type=chunk) - Other income of **$81 million** was mainly due to an **$80 million** gain on amendments to other post-retirement benefit plans[38](index=38&type=chunk) [Liquidity and Capital Resources](index=9&type=section&id=Liquidity%20and%20Capital%20Resources) Nutrien's liquidity was impacted by lower earnings, leading to increased debt and borrowings, with capital deployed for assets, growth, and shareholder returns Sources and Uses of Cash (Three Months Ended March 31) | Activity | 2023 (US$ million) | 2022 (US$ million) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Cash used in operating activities | $(858) million | $(62) million | | Cash used in investing activities | $(694) million | $(457) million | | Cash provided by financing activities | $2,129 million | $588 million | - Financing activities were higher due to the issuance of **$1.5 billion** of notes in Q1 2023[44](index=44&type=chunk) - Short-term debt increased by **$1.87 billion** from year-end 2022 to finance seasonal working capital and share repurchases[45](index=45&type=chunk)[46](index=46&type=chunk) - The company repurchased **11.8 million shares** for approximately **$900 million** year-to-date as of March 31, 2023, reducing total shares outstanding by **10%** compared to the same period in 2022[7](index=7&type=chunk) [Supplementary Information](index=12&type=section&id=Supplementary%20Information) This section provides additional financial data and reconciliations of non-IFRS measures to support the understanding of the company's performance [Quarterly Results](index=12&type=section&id=Quarterly%20Results) This section summarizes key financial metrics for the past eight quarters, highlighting earnings volatility influenced by fertilizer prices and business seasonality - The company's earnings are significantly affected by volatile fertilizer benchmark prices and seasonality, with crop input sales higher in spring and fall[52](index=52&type=chunk)[53](index=53&type=chunk) - The provided eight-quarter data shows sales peaking at **$14.5 billion** and net earnings at **$3.6 billion** in Q2 2022, demonstrating the recent cyclical peak[52](index=52&type=chunk) [Non-IFRS Financial Measures](index=18&type=section&id=Non-IFRS%20Financial%20Measures) This section defines and reconciles non-IFRS financial measures like Adjusted EBITDA and Adjusted Net Earnings, used by management to assess operational performance - Management uses non-IFRS measures to evaluate the performance of day-to-day operations, as they are not impacted by long-term investment and financing decisions[79](index=79&type=chunk)[83](index=83&type=chunk) Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted EBITDA (Q1) | (millions of US dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net earnings | 576 | 1,385 | | Finance costs | 170 | 109 | | Income tax expense | 193 | 505 | | Depreciation and amortization | 496 | 461 | | **EBITDA** | **1,435** | **2,460** | | Adjustments (Share-based comp, FX, etc.) | (14) | 155 | | **Adjusted EBITDA** | **1,421** | **2,615** | Reconciliation of Net Earnings to Adjusted Net Earnings (Q1) | (millions of US dollars) | 2023 | 2022 | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net earnings attributable to equity holders | 571 | 1,378 | | Post-tax adjustments | (10) | 117 | | **Adjusted net earnings** | **561** | **1,495** | [Condensed Consolidated Financial Statements](index=24&type=section&id=Condensed%20Consolidated%20Financial%20Statements) This section presents the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for Q1 2023, including the Statements of Earnings, Cash Flows, and Balance Sheet [Financial Statements](index=24&type=section&id=Financial%20Statements) This section presents the unaudited interim condensed consolidated financial statements for Q1 2023, including the Statements of Earnings, Cash Flows, and Balance Sheet - The Statement of Earnings shows Net Earnings of **$576 million** for Q1 2023, down from **$1,385 million** in Q1 2022[114](index=114&type=chunk) - The Balance Sheet as of March 31, 2023 shows Total Assets of **$56.6 billion**, Total Liabilities of **$31.3 billion**, and Total Shareholders' Equity of **$25.3 billion**[118](index=118&type=chunk) - The Statement of Cash Flows indicates cash used in operating activities was **$858 million**, cash used in investing activities was **$694 million**, and cash provided by financing activities was **$2,129 million**[116](index=116&type=chunk) [Notes to the Financial Statements](index=28&type=section&id=Notes%20to%20the%20Financial%20Statements) The notes provide detailed disclosures supporting the financial statements, including segment performance, new long-term debt issuance, and share repurchase details - Note 2 (Segment Information) provides a detailed reconciliation of segment sales, gross margin, and EBITDA to the consolidated company totals[123](index=123&type=chunk)[124](index=124&type=chunk) - Note 8 (Long-Term Debt) details the issuance of **$1.5 billion** in new notes on March 27, 2023, comprising **$750 million** at **4.900%** due 2028 and **$750 million** at **5.800%** due 2053[139](index=139&type=chunk) - Note 9 (Share Capital) confirms the repurchase and cancellation of **11,751,290 common shares** for a total cost of **$899 million** during the three months ended March 31, 2023[142](index=142&type=chunk)
Nutrien Ltd (NTR) Presents at BMO Global Metals, Mining and Critical Minerals Conference (Transcript)
2023-03-03 19:30
Nutrien Ltd (NYSE:NTR) BMO Global Metals, Mining and Critical Minerals Conference February 28, 2023 1:30 PM ET Company Participants Ken Seitz - President and Chief Executive Officer Conference Call Participants Joel Jackson - BMO Capital Markets Joel Jackson Okay. Well, people will filter in as the lunch is end. So let's kick off the fertilizer discussions at this conference. First, presenter this afternoon is Nutrien, it's the global -- the largest global fertilizer producer, also is a very large retail fa ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-02-16 19:57
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - Nutrien reported record earnings and cash flow in 2022, with adjusted EBITDA of nearly $6 billion in potash and $2.3 billion in Nutrien Ag Solutions [5][6][29] - The company returned $5.6 billion to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends [5] - Cash from operating activities is projected at $5.5 billion to $6.5 billion in 2023, with a conversion ratio estimated at around 75% without tax payment impacts [13] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Potash sales volumes guidance for 2023 is set at 13.8 million to 14.6 million tons, with potential to increase to around 50 million tons if demand surges [12] - Nitrogen earnings were supported by higher global benchmark prices, but sales volumes in Q4 were impacted by lower production and cautious buying [7] - Nutrien Ag Solutions experienced higher sales and gross margins across nearly all product categories, contributing to its strong adjusted EBITDA [29] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Global grain stocks to use ratio is at its lowest in over 25 years, indicating strong demand for crop inputs [8] - Potash exports from Belarus remain constrained, with shipments down more than 50% from the prior year [8] - North American potash inventories are estimated to be down 15% to 20% compared to the previous year [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - Nutrien plans to invest approximately $3 billion in 2023 to sustain assets and advance high-return strategic growth initiatives [13] - The company aims to strengthen its retail network in Brazil and enhance digital capabilities [14] - Nutrien is focused on maintaining flexibility in production to meet market demand, particularly in potash [12][14] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the impact of geopolitical events on supply disruptions in agriculture and fertilizer markets [27] - The outlook for the business remains strong, with expectations of increased demand for crop inputs in 2023 [39] - Management noted that supply challenges are expected to persist into the near and medium term [41] Other Important Information - Nutrien completed 21 retail acquisitions in core geographies, focusing on expanding its network in Brazil [29] - The company is advancing sustainability initiatives, including a goal to reduce CO2 equivalent emissions by 1 million tons by the end of 2023 [7] Q&A Session All Questions and Answers Question: What signals are needed for demand and pricing before raising production and ramping up capacity? - Management indicated that they are monitoring supply disruptions and expect underlying supply challenges to persist into the near term [41] Question: What is the expectation for nitrogen pricing and potential supply chain issues? - Management acknowledged cautious buying patterns but expects significant volume movement once farmers begin fieldwork [43] Question: How does the company plan to achieve retail margins in a lower commodity price environment? - Management expects a reset in margins but believes proprietary products and strategic initiatives will support margin stability [50] Question: What is the outlook for global potash demand and why is it not returning to previous levels? - Management noted that while unconstrained demand could reach 70 million tons, supply constraints will limit shipments to 63 million to 67 million tons [77] Question: What is the status of inventory levels in key markets like India and China? - Management reported tight inventory levels in India and below-average levels in China, indicating strong demand for potash [81]
Nutrien(NTR) - 2022 Q4 - Annual Report
2023-02-15 22:37
Exhibit 99.1 NYSE, TSX: NTR News Release February 15, 2023 – all amounts are in US dollars except as otherwise noted Nutrien Reports Fourth Quarter and Full-Year 2022 Results Delivered record net earnings, advanced strategic initiatives and returned $5.6 billion to shareholders in 2022. Expect strong market fundamentals in 2023 and announced a 10 percent increase in the quarterly dividend. SASKATOON, Saskatchewan - Nutrien Ltd. (TSX and NYSE: NTR) announced today its fourth quarter 2022 results, with net ea ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2022 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-11-03 19:03
Nutrien Ltd. (NYSE:NTR) Q3 2022 Earnings Conference Call November 3, 2022 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Jeff Holzman - Vice President of Investor Relations Ken Seitz - President and Chief Executive Officer Pedro Farah - Chief Financial Officer Mark Thompson - Chief Commercial Officer Jeff Tarsi - Executive Vice President and President of Global Retail Jason Newton - Chief Economist and Head of Market Research Chris Reynolds - Executive Vice President and President, Potash Conference Call Participants Joe ...
Nutrien(NTR) - 2022 Q3 - Quarterly Report
2022-11-02 22:09
NYSE, TSX: NTR News Release November 2, 2022 – all amounts are in US dollars except as otherwise noted Nutrien Delivers Earnings Growth and Expects Strong Market Fundamentals in 2023 Nutrien revised full-year 2022 earnings guidance to reflect lower near-term potash sales volumes and prices; continue to advance strategic growth initiatives based on a positive multi-year view of the fundamentals. SASKATOON, Saskatchewan - Nutrien Ltd. (TSX and NYSE: NTR) announced today its third quarter 2022 results, with ne ...