Core Insights - Nutrien Ltd. is one of the largest fertilizer producers globally, resulting from the merger of PotashCorp and Agrium [1] Financial Performance - Nutrien delivered its Q1 2025 results, indicating strong performance in the fertilizer sector [1] Industry Context - The company operates in a critical industry that supports agricultural productivity and food security [1]

Core Insights - The article discusses the expertise of Vladimir Dimitrov, CFA, who has a background in brand and intangible assets valuation, particularly in the technology, telecom, and banking sectors [1] Group 1: Analyst Background - Vladimir Dimitrov has experience as a strategy consultant and has worked with major global brands [1] - He graduated from the London School of Economics and focuses on identifying reasonably priced businesses with sustainable long-term competitive advantages [1]

Core Insights - Nutrien reported a revenue of $5.1 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, reflecting a 5.4% decline year-over-year and a surprise of -4.18% compared to the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $5.32 billion [1] - The earnings per share (EPS) was $0.11, significantly lower than the $0.46 reported in the same quarter last year, resulting in an EPS surprise of -66.67% against the consensus estimate of $0.33 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Nutrien's stock has returned +20.5% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +10.6% change, and currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [3] - Potash sales volumes totaled 3,402 KTon, exceeding the five-analyst average estimate of 3,255.3 KTon [4] - Nitrogen sales volumes were reported at 2,469 KTon, slightly below the five-analyst average estimate of 2,473.23 KTon [4] - The average selling price per tonne for phosphate (industrial and feed) was $817, surpassing the five-analyst average estimate of $777.8 [4] - Total sales for Retail (Nutrient Ag Solutions) were $3.09 billion, lower than the $3.49 billion estimated by six analysts, marking a -6.6% change year-over-year [4] - Potash sales amounted to $861 million, exceeding the six-analyst average estimate of $783.90 million, but reflecting a -7.1% year-over-year change [4] - Phosphate sales were reported at $405 million, below the $435.19 million estimated by six analysts, representing an -18.8% change year-over-year [4] - Nitrogen sales reached $1.07 billion, surpassing the six-analyst average estimate of $972.08 million, with a year-over-year increase of +4.5% [4] - Net sales for Potash were $744 million, exceeding the five-analyst average estimate of $665.54 million, but showing an -8.5% year-over-year change [4] - Net sales for Nitrogen were reported at $954 million, above the $848.02 million estimated by five analysts, reflecting a +4.7% year-over-year change [4] - Retail sales for crop nutrients were $1.19 billion, significantly lower than the $1.61 billion estimated by four analysts, indicating an -8.8% year-over-year change [4]

分组1 - Nutrien reported quarterly earnings of $0.11 per share, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.33 per share, and down from $0.46 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of -66.67% [1] - The company posted revenues of $5.1 billion for the quarter ended March 2025, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 4.18%, and down from $5.39 billion year-over-year [2] - Nutrien has not surpassed consensus revenue estimates over the last four quarters, achieving this only once for EPS [2] 分组2 - The stock has increased approximately 26.2% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's decline of -4.7% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $2.34 on revenues of $10.51 billion, and for the current fiscal year, it is $3.72 on revenues of $26.27 billion [7] - The Fertilizers industry is currently ranked in the top 9% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook for the sector [8]

Group 1: Zacks Style Scores Overview - Zacks Style Scores are complementary indicators that rate stocks based on value, growth, and momentum characteristics, helping investors identify stocks with the best chances of outperforming the market over the next 30 days [2][3] - Each stock is assigned a rating of A, B, C, D, or F based on its characteristics, with A being the highest score indicating the best chance of outperforming [3] - The Style Scores are categorized into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] Group 2: Value Score - The Value Score focuses on identifying stocks that are trading under their true value using ratios like P/E, PEG, Price/Sales, and Price/Cash Flow [3] Group 3: Growth Score - The Growth Score evaluates a company's financial strength and future outlook by analyzing projected and historical earnings, sales, and cash flow [4] Group 4: Momentum Score - The Momentum Score helps investors capitalize on upward or downward trends in stock prices or earnings outlook by analyzing one-week price changes and monthly percentage changes in earnings estimates [5] Group 5: VGM Score - The VGM Score combines the three Style Scores to identify companies with attractive value, strong growth forecasts, and promising momentum, serving as a useful indicator alongside the Zacks Rank [6] Group 6: Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary stock-rating model that uses earnings estimate revisions to assist investors in building successful portfolios [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have produced an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] Group 7: Stock Example - Nutrien Ltd. - Nutrien Ltd. is a leading integrated provider of crop inputs and services, operating over 2,000 retail locations globally and producing three crop nutrients: potash, nitrogen, and phosphate [12] - Nutrien has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of A, with a Value Style Score of A due to a forward P/E ratio of 15.12, making it attractive for value investors [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Nutrien's fiscal 2025 earnings has increased by $0.01 to $3.72 per share, with two analysts revising their earnings estimates upwards in the last 60 days [13][14]

Company Overview - Nutrien Ltd. is one of the largest players in the global agrochemistry industry, focusing on mineral fertilizers and a large-scale retail network [1] - The company was founded in 2018 following the merger of PotashCorp and another entity [1] Industry Insights - The agrochemistry industry is characterized by significant players involved in both the extraction of fertilizers and retail distribution [1] - Nutrien's operations span multiple continents, indicating a broad market presence and potential for growth in various regions [1]

Core Viewpoint - Nutrien (NTR) is expected to report a quarterly earnings per share (EPS) of $0.33, reflecting a 28.3% decline year-over-year, with revenues forecasted at $5.32 billion, a decrease of 1.2% from the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.5% higher in the last 30 days, indicating a collective reevaluation by analysts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and stock performance [3]. Sales and Revenue Projections - Analysts predict 'Sales- Retail Total' to reach $3.49 billion, marking a 5.6% increase from the year-ago quarter [4]. - 'Sales- Nitrogen' is expected to be $972.08 million, down 5.4% year-over-year [5]. - 'Sales- Potash' is forecasted at $783.90 million, indicating a 15.4% decline from the prior year [5]. - 'Sales- Phosphate' is estimated at $435.19 million, reflecting a 12.8% decrease from the previous year [5]. Volume and Pricing Estimates - 'Tonnes Sold - Potash - Total' is projected at 3,255.30 KTon, down from 3,413 KTon year-over-year [6]. - 'Tonnes Sold - Nitrogen' is expected to be 2,473.23 KTon, slightly down from 2,507 KTon [6]. - The average selling price for 'Phosphate - Industrial and feed' is estimated at $777.80 per tonne, down from $848 per tonne in the same quarter last year [7]. - The average selling price for 'Phosphate - Total' is projected at $614.19 per tonne, compared to $689 per tonne a year ago [7]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Solutions, nitrates and sulphates' is expected to be $220.56 per tonne, down from $226 per tonne [8]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Urea and ESN' is estimated at $410.89 per tonne, compared to $432 per tonne last year [8]. - 'Average Selling Price per Tonne - Nitrogen - Ammonia' is forecasted at $417.19 per tonne, slightly up from $403 per tonne [9]. - 'Tonnes Sold - Phosphate' is expected to be 569.00 KTon, down from 620 KTon in the same quarter last year [9]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, Nutrien shares have returned +11.9%, while the Zacks S&P 500 composite has seen a -0.5% change [9]. - Nutrien currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting its performance may align with the overall market in the near future [10].

Group 1 - Nutrien Ltd.'s shares have increased by 16.7% this year, outperforming the Zacks Fertilizers industry's rise of 4.8% [1] - The company is experiencing strong demand for fertilizers, driven by robust global agriculture markets and tight inventories, which are expected to support crop commodity prices in 2025 [4][5] - Nutrien is benefiting from acquisitions and the adoption of its digital platform, particularly expanding its presence in Brazil and pursuing growth investments in retail [6] Group 2 - Cost and operational efficiency initiatives are enhancing Nutrien's performance, with a focus on reducing production costs in the potash business and achieving approximately $200 million in total savings by 2025 [7] - The demand for potash is expected to rise due to strong grower economics and low inventory levels, while the phosphate market is also benefiting from increased global demand [5] - Healthy nitrogen fertilizer demand is noted in major markets, with expectations of increased U.S. corn acreage in 2025 and strong crop input demand in the first half of the year [5]

Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) recently announced the pricing of $400 million total principal amount of 4.5% senior notes due March 12, 2027, and $600 million total principal amount of 5.25% senior notes due March 12, 2032. The offering is expected to close on or around March 13, 2025, subject to customary closing conditions.Nutrien intends to use the net proceeds of this offering to repay its $500 million total principal amount of 3% senior notes due on April 1, 2025, and its $500 million total principal amount of 5.9 ...

The Materials sector has outperformed so far in 2025. Specifically, the agricultural industry has done well; the Global X AgTech & Food Innovation ETF ( KROP ) has handily outperformed the S&P 500 year to date. ThisFreelance Financial Writer | Investments | Markets | Personal Finance | RetirementI create written content used in various formats including articles, blogs, emails, and social media for financial advisors and investment firms in a cost-efficient way. My passion is putting a narrative to financia ...