Orchid Island Capital(ORC)
Search documents
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2023-02-24 18:47
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company generated net income per share of $0.95, with a net earnings per share of negative $0.09 when excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses on RMBS derivative instruments [21] - Book value per share increased to $11.93 at December 31, 2022, from $11.42 at September 30, 2022, reflecting a total economic gain of $0.99 per share for the quarter or 8.67% annualized [28][12] - The economic leverage ratio was reported at 6.3 at the end of 2022, which is low relative to historical norms, indicating potential for increased leverage when market conditions improve [80] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The weighted average coupon increased from 3.3% at the end of Q3 to 3.55% at the end of Q4, indicating a shift towards slightly higher coupon securities while maintaining a lower coupon bias overall [37] - The company added approximately $400 million to its position in lower coupon securities, reflecting a strategic focus on these assets due to their favorable hedging characteristics [39] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The mortgage market saw significant volatility, with spreads widening considerably in late 2022 before tightening again in early 2023, indicating a dynamic market environment [32][61] - The company noted that the entire mortgage universe is currently trading at a discount, which is an unprecedented situation that complicates traditional valuation models [68] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company remains cautiously optimistic about the market, anticipating that a pivot by the Fed could create favorable conditions for mortgage performance [4] - The strategy focuses on maintaining a lower coupon bias while leveraging hedges to mitigate risks associated with rising funding costs, positioning the company to benefit from potential market rallies [41][45] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management highlighted the uncertainty surrounding the timing of the Fed's tightening cycle but expressed confidence in the company's positioning to capitalize on future market improvements [82] - The company expects to benefit from a potential expansion of net interest margin (NIM) and book value performance as market conditions evolve [83] Other Important Information - The company declared and paid a dividend of $0.48 per share in Q4, with a total of $64.97 per share declared since the IPO [28] - The company has a significant amount of dry powder in the form of TBA shorts, which can be unwound to take advantage of market opportunities [40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Thoughts on natural turnover in the market today - Management indicated that natural turnover is in the single digits, with seasoned low loan balance pools potentially prepaying around 8 to 10 [7] Question: Capital allocation preferences between dividends and stock buybacks - Management discussed the balance between dividends and stock buybacks, noting that they consider buybacks when the stock is trading below book value [8][52] Question: Current book value estimate - The current book value estimate is approximately 4% year-to-date, down from a 10% increase at the end of January [12] Question: Logic behind increased TBA short position - The increase in TBA short positions is a strategic move to hedge against potential market downturns and to lock in gains from previous market performance [13][56]
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-10-28 18:32
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (NYSE:ORC) Q3 2022 Results Conference Call October 28, 2022 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Robert Cauley - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer Hunter Haas - Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer and Director Conference Call Participants Jason Steward - JonesTrading Mikhail Goberman - JMP Securities Christopher Nolan - Ladenburg Thalmann Operator Good morning and welcome to the Third Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call for Orchid Island Capital. This c ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2022-08-05 19:46
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 For the quarterly period ended June 30, 2022 Commission File Number: 001-35236 Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Maryland 27-3269228 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963 (Address of ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-08-05 17:42
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net loss per share of $0.34, which included net earnings per share of $0.12 when excluding realized and unrealized gains and losses on RMBS assets and derivative instruments [7] - Book value per share decreased to $2.87 as of June 30, 2022, down from $3.34 at March 31, 2022 [8] - The total economic loss for the quarter was $33.05 million, representing a 10% loss [8] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company maintained a high concentration in 30-Year fixed rates, particularly in the 3s and 3.5s, which are expected to perform well in a market rally [23][56] - The portfolio has seen a shift with an increase in allocation to 4s, now at 6.9%, while the small position in 2.5s has been eliminated [51] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Treasury nominal curve and swaps curve have shown significant movement, particularly at the front end, indicating aggressive rate hikes by the Fed due to high inflation [9][11] - The spread of current coupon mortgages to the 10-year Treasury is around 120 basis points, which is attractive compared to the long-term range of 60 to 80 basis points [21] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to adjust its dividend to align with book value and leverage ratio, indicating a focus on financial stability amid market volatility [48][59] - The company is considering a reverse stock split due to the stock trading down to the low $3 range, reflecting a strategic move to enhance stock value perception [60] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed concerns about the economy slowing down despite strong job data, indicating a cautious outlook for future Fed rate hikes [63][64] - The mortgage market is expected to perform well, with management confident in the positioning of the portfolio for the remainder of 2022 and into 2023 [22][56] Other Important Information - The leverage ratio was reported at 7.8 as of the end of the quarter, with plans to reduce it to the low 7s to mitigate book value volatility [45][75] - The company has not reinvested paydowns recently, leading to a smaller portfolio size, but aims to stabilize expenses and improve the expense ratio [73][74] Q&A Session Summary Question: Where does the company see terminal Fed funds ending up in this environment? - Management anticipates terminal Fed funds to be in the mid-3s or slightly higher, but acknowledges the difficulty in predicting beyond this year due to economic slowing [63][64] Question: What is the view on the mortgage origination industry's capacity and its impact on prepayments? - Management believes the industry is struggling to maintain capacity, with evidence of declining refinancing activity and rising inventory levels in the housing market [67] Question: What is the current book value recovery thus far in Q3? - Book value recovery was reported in the high single digits until recent underperformance brought it closer to 6% or 6.5% [70] Question: Are there any one-time items contributing to the increase in expenses? - Management noted that expenses are on the high end of the desired range, with some one-off costs related to repo operations and back office adjustments [71] Question: What leverage range is the company targeting? - The company is targeting a leverage ratio in the low 7s to reduce volatility and align with market conditions [75]
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-04-29 18:56
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (NYSE:ORC) Q1 2022 Earnings Conference Call April 29, 2022 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Robert Cauley - Chairman, President & Chief Executive Officer Hunter Haas - Chief Financial Officer and Chief Investment Officer and Director Conference Call Participants Mikhail Goberman - JMP Securities Operator Good morning and welcome to the First Quarter 2022 Earnings Conference Call for Orchid Island Capital. This call is being recorded today, April 29, 2022. At this time, the Compa ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2022-04-29 16:48
8 Q1 2022 Earnings Supplemental Materials April 29, 2022 1 Disclaimers Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words "may," "could," "would," "should," "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "plan," "estimate," "target," "project," "in ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2022 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2022-04-29 16:11
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 Commission File Number: 001-35236 Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) Maryland 27-3269228 (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 3305 Flamingo Drive, Vero Beach, Florida 32963 (Address of principal executive offices) (Zip Code) For ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2021 Q4 - Annual Report
2022-02-25 21:27
Interest Rate Risk - As of December 31, 2021, a 200 basis points decrease in interest rates would result in a 2.01% decrease in the portfolio value and a 17.00% decrease in the market value [451]. - A 200 basis points increase in interest rates would lead to a 4.79% decrease in the portfolio value and a 40.64% decrease in the market value as of December 31, 2021 [452]. - The company assesses interest rate risk by estimating the duration of its assets and liabilities, which can vary based on market conditions and assumptions used in third-party models [447]. - The effective duration of the company's PT RMBS portfolio is maintained at less than 2.0, with the stated contractual final maturity of underlying assets generally ranging up to 30 years [443]. - The projected weighted average life and duration of investments are based on assumptions regarding borrower prepayment rates, which can significantly impact results if prepayment rates decrease in a rising interest rate environment [459]. Prepayment Risk - The company faces prepayment risk, as residential borrowers can prepay their mortgage loans at par, affecting the timing of cash flows and potentially altering net interest income [455]. Liquidity and Cash Management - The company had unrestricted cash and cash equivalents of $385.1 million and unpledged securities of approximately $4.7 million as of December 31, 2021, available for margin calls and corporate purposes [457]. - Liquidity risk arises from financing long-term assets with shorter-term borrowings, with potential margin calls increasing if the value of pledged Agency RMBS decreases [458]. Counterparty Credit Risk - The company is exposed to counterparty credit risk related to potential losses from counterparties failing to perform under repurchase agreements and derivative contracts [461]. Hedging Strategies - The company utilizes financial instruments such as futures contracts, interest rate swaps, and swaptions to hedge against interest rate increases, but these strategies may not fully protect against spread risk [441][456].
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2021 Q4 - Earnings Call Transcript
2022-02-25 18:52
Orchid Island Capital, Inc. (NYSE:ORC) Q4 2021 Earnings Conference Call February 25, 2022 10:00 AM ET Company Participants Robert Cauley - Chairman & Chief Executive Officer Conference Call Participants Jason Stewart - Jones Trading Christopher Nolan - Ladenburg Thalmann Mikhail Goberman - JMP Securities Operator Good morning and welcome to the Fourth Quarter 2021 Earnings Conference Call for Orchid Island Capital. This call is being recorded today, February 25, 2022. At this time, the Company would like to ...
Orchid Island Capital(ORC) - 2021 Q4 - Earnings Call Presentation
2022-02-25 15:40
8 Q4 2021 Earnings Supplemental Materials February 25, 2022 1 Disclaimers Forward-Looking Information This presentation contains forward-looking statements and information. Statements that are not historical facts, including statements about our beliefs and expectations, are forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements include statements preceded by, followed by or that include the words "may," "could," "would," "should," "believe," "expect," "anticipate," "plan," "estimate," "target," "project," ...