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High Rates, High Returns: How Petrobras Thrives Amid Treasury Turmoil
Seeking Alpha· 2025-02-20 14:03
Group 1 - Petrobras (PBR) has experienced a 16% decline in share price over the past year due to subdued oil prices and macroeconomic challenges in Brazil [1] - The company is included in a portfolio designed for stability and reliability in various market conditions [1]
Petrobras' Largest FPSO Begins Oil Production at Buzios Field
ZACKS· 2025-02-19 11:55
Core Insights - Petrobras has commenced oil production from its deepwater project in southeast Brazil using its largest FPSO unit, Almirante Tamandaré [1] Group 1: Overview of Almirante Tamandaré - Almirante Tamandaré is the largest FPSO at Petrobras' Búzios field, leased from SBM Offshore to boost oil and gas output [2] - The FPSO has a production capacity of up to 225,000 barrels of oil per day and can process 12 million cubic meters of gas daily [2] Group 2: Búzios Oil Field Insights - The Búzios oil field is located in the Santos Basin at a depth of approximately 1,900-2,200 meters and is the largest ultra-deepwater field globally [3] - Petrobras holds an 88.89% stake in the Búzios field, partnered with CNOOC Ltd. (7.34%) and China National Petroleum Corporation (3.67%) [3] - The Búzios field contributes over 20% to Petrobras' total production [3] Group 3: Benefits of the FPSO to Petrobras - The Almirante Tamandaré FPSO connects to 15 wells, enhancing resource extraction efficiency [4] - It is part of the sixth production system of Búzios, aiming for a total output of 1 million barrels per day by 2025, with a goal to double that to 2 million barrels per day by 2030 [4] Group 4: Company Overview - Petrobras is the largest integrated energy firm in Brazil and one of the largest in Latin America, currently holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [5]
Is Petrobras Stock a Smart Bet After the Latest Buzios Update?
ZACKS· 2025-02-18 15:01
Core Viewpoint - Petrobras has made significant advancements in its Búzios Field, enhancing its growth potential and stock performance, which has risen 9% year to date, outperforming the energy sector's 4% gain [1]. Group 1: Búzios Field Developments - The Búzios Field is a key asset for Petrobras, with a new oil discovery confirmed through well 9-BUZ-99D-RJS, indicating potential additional reserves [3]. - The Almirante Tamandaré FPSO has commenced operations, marking the sixth production system at Búzios, with production capacity projected to reach 1 million barrels per day (bpd) by the second half of 2025 and a long-term target of 2 million bpd by 2030 [4]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Valuation - Petrobras trades at a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 4.61, significantly lower than ExxonMobil and Shell, which trade above or slightly below 10X earnings, indicating potential undervaluation [5]. - The company generated $6.9 billion in free cash flow in Q3 2024, marking 38 consecutive quarters of positive cash generation, supporting a variable dividend model with a yield over 10% [8]. Group 3: Political and Market Risks - Petrobras faces political risks due to government control, with the Brazilian government holding a majority stake and influencing dividend payouts and reinvestment strategies [10]. - The company has shifted its fuel pricing strategy away from international benchmarks, raising concerns about government interference in a volatile oil market [11]. - Profitability is sensitive to oil price fluctuations, with the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) expecting flat or slightly declining oil prices in 2025, which may limit pricing upside [12]. - Currency risk exists as Petrobras' American Depositary Receipts (ADRs) trade in U.S. dollars while revenues are generated in Brazilian reais, potentially impacting stock performance for international investors [13]. Group 4: Investment Outlook - Petrobras presents a mixed investment case with strong production growth, low-cost structure, and attractive valuation, bolstered by the Búzios expansion and consistent cash flow [14]. - However, political risks, price volatility, and government interference pose challenges that investors must consider [14]. - The high dividend yield and discounted valuation provide some downside protection, but uncertainties regarding regulation and macroeconomic conditions could limit near-term upside [15].
Petrobras Eyes African Oil to Boost Reserves as Output Decline Looms
ZACKS· 2025-02-14 20:01
Group 1 - Petrobras S.A. intends to purchase stakes in oil assets in Africa, specifically targeting Angola, Namibia, and South Africa to replenish reserves as output is expected to decline after 2030 [1] - The company is discussing the acquisition of these assets from other companies and existing partners in Brazil, including ExxonMobil, Shell, and TotalEnergies, viewing this as a strategic and economically advantageous move [2] - Petrobras aims to reach a production level of 2.8 million barrels per day (bpd) by 2025 and increase it to 3.1 million bpd by 2029, with current reserves totaling 11.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent (boe) in 2024, up from 10.9 billion boe in 2023 [3] Group 2 - Petrobras considers its projects sustainable in the current oil price environment, with low-cost operations at $45 per barrel, ensuring profitability even in low commodity price scenarios [4] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), with better-ranked stocks in the energy sector including SM Energy (Rank 1), Sunoco LP, and Archrock (both Rank 2) [5]
Petrobras Expands Onshore Drilling in Bahia With $122M Investment
ZACKS· 2025-02-12 11:40
Group 1: Core Insights - Petrobras has awarded drilling contracts to EBS Perfurações and Conterp, valued at approximately R$707 million ($122 million), to enhance onshore oil and gas production in Bahia [1] - The contracts will create around 530 direct and indirect jobs, contributing to local development in Bahia [1][3] - The drilling campaign is scheduled from September 2025 to June 2029, with EBS drilling wells up to 5,000 meters deep and Conterp drilling up to 4,000 meters [2] Group 2: Economic Impact - The investment reflects Petrobras' growing interest in onshore operations, which will increase its oil and gas production and competitiveness in the energy market [3] - The contract is expected to boost Bahia's economy by generating local jobs and providing indirect benefits in the services and logistics sector [3] Group 3: Company Overview - Petrobras is the largest integrated energy firm in Brazil, involved in exploration, production, refining, and transportation of oil and gas [4] - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) [4] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - Investors may consider top-ranked stocks in the energy sector, such as Mach Natural Resources LP (Zacks Rank 1), Sunoco LP (Zacks Rank 1), and Gulfport Energy Corporation (Zacks Rank 2) [5] - Mach Natural Resources is projected to have a 179.17% year-over-year earnings growth for 2024 [6] - Sunoco is expected to see a 184.11% year-over-year earnings growth for 2024 [7] - Gulfport Energy anticipates a 108.53% year-over-year earnings growth for 2024 [8]
Petrobras (PBR) Stock Drops Despite Market Gains: Important Facts to Note
ZACKS· 2025-02-05 23:51
Company Performance - Petrobras (PBR) closed at $13.92, reflecting a -1.49% change from the previous session, underperforming the S&P 500's 0.39% gain [1] - The stock has increased by 4.74% over the past month, outperforming the Oils-Energy sector's gain of 1.79% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.7% [1] Upcoming Earnings - Petrobras is projected to report earnings of $0.82 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 35.43% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $22.63 billion, down 16.5% from the previous year [2] Analyst Estimates - Changes in analyst estimates for Petrobras are crucial as they reflect short-term business dynamics [3] - Positive estimate revisions indicate analyst optimism regarding the company's business and profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), currently ranks Petrobras at 3 (Hold) [5] - Over the past month, the Zacks Consensus EPS estimate has decreased by 5.21% [5] - Petrobras has a Forward P/E ratio of 4.71, which is lower than the industry average of 8.32, indicating it is trading at a discount [6] PEG Ratio - Petrobras has a PEG ratio of 0.17, significantly lower than the industry average PEG ratio of 1.39 [7] Industry Overview - The Oil and Gas - Integrated - International industry, which includes Petrobras, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 70, placing it in the top 28% of over 250 industries [8] - Research indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [8]
Petrobras Hits 2024 Production Targets - Is the Stock a Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-01-30 18:41
Brazilian energy major Petroleo Brasileiro S.A., or Petrobras (PBR) recently announced that it successfully met its oil and gas production targets for 2024, despite facing significant operational challenges. The company reported an annual production of 2.7 million barrels of oil equivalent per day (MMBOE/d), with commercial production reaching 2.4 MMBOE/d and oil production standing at 2.2 million barrels per day. Additionally, proven reserves climbed to 11.4 billion barrels of oil equivalent, a 4.5% increa ...
Petroleo Brasileiro S.A.- Petrobras (PBR) is Attracting Investor Attention: Here is What You Should Know
ZACKS· 2025-01-30 15:00
Petrobras (PBR) is one of the stocks most watched by Zacks.com visitors lately. So, it might be a good idea to review some of the factors that might affect the near-term performance of the stock.Over the past month, shares of this oil and gas company have returned +8%, compared to the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.2% change. During this period, the Zacks Oil and Gas - Integrated - Emerging Markets industry, which Petrobras falls in, has gained 10.6%. The key question now is: What could be the stock's future ...
Petrobras: Undervalued Stock Meets Undervalued Currency
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-29 07:41
More often than not, a thoughtful examination of the risks and growth prospects of a deeply discounted stock reveals that its low price accurately reflects the market's assessment. In other words, it’s cheap for a reason. However, on rare occasions, the opportunity arises whereDylan Nertavich is a Research Associate at Investor Acumen, an independent research and portfolio strategy consulting firm. With nearly a decade of experience, he specializes in identifying long and short equity opportunities across v ...
Petrobras Stock Is On Sale, Reiterating 'Buy'
Seeking Alpha· 2025-01-28 22:33
Now you can get access to the latest and highest-quality analysis of recent Wall Street buying and selling ideas with just one subscription to Beyond the Wall Investing ! There is a free trial and a special discount of 10% for you. Join us today!Daniel Sereda is chief investment analyst at a family office whose investments span continents and diverse asset classes. This requires him to navigate through a plethora of information on a daily basis. His expertise is in filtering this wealth of data to extract t ...