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Wall Street Roundup: Retail Earnings, Reddit Volatility, AI Momentum
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-23 18:45
Group 1: Target and Retail Sector - Target's earnings report led to a 5% drop in stock price, followed by a 3% rebound, indicating market disappointment but limited movement overall [3][4] - The company lowered its guidance and is losing market share to competitors like Walmart and Costco, compounded by a boycott related to its DEI policies [4][5] - Williams Sonoma also reported disappointing earnings, initially dropping 9% before stabilizing, reflecting a broader trend of bad news being priced into retail stocks [5][6] - Gap is highlighted as a potential standout, with a 59% increase in stock price since mid-April, suggesting positive market sentiment ahead of its upcoming earnings report [6][7] Group 2: Reddit and Market Volatility - Reddit's stock experienced significant volatility, dropping 24% over the week after an 11% rally, raising concerns about changing user habits due to AI [9][10] - Despite strong earnings showing a 61% revenue increase and a 31% rise in daily active users, the market is questioning the sustainability of this growth amid shifting traffic patterns [11][10] Group 3: CoreWeave and AI Trade - CoreWeave's stock has surged approximately 80% since its IPO, driven by a $4 billion deal with OpenAI for cloud computing services [14][16] - The company reported a 420% year-over-year revenue increase, indicating strong demand for AI infrastructure [16][18] - The ongoing AI trade is attracting investor interest, with CoreWeave exemplifying the potential for new players in the market [13][18] Group 4: Bond Market and Economic Indicators - Moody's downgrade of US treasuries has led to a rise in the 30-year treasury yield, which is currently above 5%, the highest since 2007 [22][23] - The downgrade reflects concerns over rising national debt and fiscal deficits, with no immediate resolution in sight [24][25] - Upcoming economic data, including the PCE inflation gauge, is anticipated to provide further insights into the economic landscape [28][29]
Why Reddit Stock Was Falling This Week
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-22 18:45
Core Viewpoint - Reddit's stock has experienced significant declines due to an analyst downgrade and broader market sell-off, raising concerns about its growth prospects and the impact of rising interest rates on growth stocks [1][3][5]. Group 1: Analyst Downgrade - Wells Fargo downgraded Reddit's stock from overweight to equal weight, reducing the price target from $168 to $115, which contributed to a 5% drop in stock price [3]. - The downgrade reflects concerns about competition from Alphabet's Google, particularly its advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) and new search capabilities, which may hinder Reddit's user growth, especially among logged-out users [4]. Group 2: Market Response - Following the downgrade, Reddit's stock fell 11.6% by Thursday afternoon, with a notable 9.3% drop on Wednesday amid a broader market sell-off influenced by weak Treasury auction results and rising Treasury yields [1][5]. - Growth stocks like Reddit are particularly vulnerable to rising interest rates and economic uncertainties, which have contributed to the stock's volatility [5]. Group 3: Business Outlook - Despite recent challenges, Reddit has shown strong user growth and advertising revenue since going public, indicating a solid performance over the past year [6]. - The company's AI-based data licensing business is viewed as having a promising future, leveraging its extensive content corpus across various topics, distinguishing it from traditional AI chatbots [6]. - Continued strong growth and improved profitability will be essential for maintaining investor confidence, although one downgrade is not expected to significantly undermine the business's long-term prospects [7].
Why Reddit Stock Got Hammered on Wednesday
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-21 22:16
Core Viewpoint - Reddit's stock experienced a significant decline of over 9% following an analyst's price-target cut, which is notably larger than the S&P 500's 1.6% drop [1] Group 1: Analyst's Assessment - Baird's analyst Colin Sebastian reduced Reddit's fair-value assessment from $140 to $120 per share, maintaining a "neutral" recommendation despite the adjustment [2] - The price-target cut was influenced by concerns regarding the impact of artificial intelligence (AI) on Reddit's user growth, particularly with advancements from tech companies like Alphabet [4] Group 2: Impact of AI on Reddit - The introduction of AI responses by Google's core unit poses a potential threat to Reddit's user engagement, as users may rely on AI for answers instead of engaging in discussions on the platform [5] - Despite these concerns, the analyst believes that AI cannot yet replicate genuine human interactions, suggesting that Reddit's forum-style format will continue to attract users [6] Group 3: Growth Potential - Reddit is expected to continue attracting new users, which could support double-digit percentage growth in key financial metrics such as revenue and profitability [7]
Why Is Reddit Stock Falling, and Is It a Buying Opportunity?
The Motley Fool· 2025-05-21 09:15
Core Viewpoint - The article does not provide any specific insights or analysis regarding companies or industries, focusing instead on the author's affiliations and compensation structure [1] Company and Industry Summary - There are no relevant details or data regarding any specific companies or industries mentioned in the document [1]
Reddit vs. Bumble: Which Social Networking Stock is a Better Buy?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 16:15
Core Viewpoint - The social networking market is projected to experience significant growth, with Reddit (RDDT) and Bumble (BMBL) positioned to benefit from this trend, although BMBL shows greater upside potential due to stronger earnings growth and a cheaper valuation [2][15]. Group 1: Market Overview - The global social networking market size is expected to grow from $95.33 billion in 2025 to $209.82 billion by 2030, reflecting a CAGR of 17.09% [2]. - Both RDDT and BMBL are likely to capitalize on the rapid growth in the social networking sector [2]. Group 2: Reddit (RDDT) Analysis - RDDT's advertising revenue increased by 61% year over year, reaching $358.6 million in Q1 2025 [3]. - Weekly active users grew by 31% to 401 million, while daily active users also rose by 31% to 108 million, indicating increased engagement [3]. - The introduction of Reddit Answers, an AI-powered search tool, reached one million weekly users and expanded globally [4]. - Enhancements to Reddit Pro in May 2025 included streamlined profile setup and new tools for businesses to engage with communities [5]. - Despite these advancements, RDDT faces intense competition and a stretched valuation, which may hinder its market share in advertising [16]. Group 3: Bumble (BMBL) Analysis - BMBL is enhancing user experience through new features, AI-driven personalized matching, and growth in its Bumble BFF friendship platform [6][7]. - The Bumble BFF platform has over one million active users, particularly appealing to Gen Z and young professionals [8]. - BMBL is actively removing bots and low-quality profiles to foster a trusted community, which is crucial for sustainable growth [9]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, RDDT and BMBL shares have declined by 34% and 30%, respectively, due to a challenging macroeconomic environment [10]. - RDDT shares are currently overvalued with a Value Score of F, while BMBL shares are trading at a cheaper valuation with a Value Score of A [12]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for RDDT's 2025 earnings is $1.21 per share, reflecting a 136.34% year-over-year increase, while BMBL's estimate is 86 cents per share, indicating a 118.66% increase [14]. Group 5: Conclusion - BMBL is positioned for long-term success with its focus on expanding its platform beyond dating, AI-driven personalization, and engagement with Gen Z [15]. - RDDT's growth is hindered by competition and valuation concerns, making BMBL a stronger investment choice [15][17].
2 Social Media Stocks to Watch Amid Reddit Turmoil
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-19 19:42
Group 1 - Snap Inc (SNAP) and Pinterest Inc (PINS) are experiencing declines in stock prices, with SNAP down 0.7% to $8.69 and PINS down 0.9% to $32.27, following a downgrade of sector peer Reddit by Wells Fargo [1] - SNAP is facing its fourth drop in five sessions, currently down 19.2% year to date, and is near its six-year low of $7.08 [2] - PINS has shown better near-term performance, up 11% in 2025, but has struggled over the past year, contending with the 80-day moving average as a support level [2] Group 2 - Short interest has increased for both SNAP and PINS, with rises of 18.1% and 20.7% respectively, accounting for 8.2% and 5.5% of their available floats [3] - There is over two days' worth of pent-up buying power available for both stocks [3]
Reddit Stock Drops as Analysts Flag Search Disruption Risks
Schaeffers Investment Research· 2025-05-19 14:30
Group 1 - Reddit Inc's stock is under pressure, down 5% to $107.52 after Wells Fargo downgraded it to "equal weight" from "overweight" and reduced its price target from $168 to $115, citing potential permanent disruptions in search traffic due to Google's AI-integrated search [1] - Despite a 30.7% year-to-date deficit, 15 out of 23 analysts still rated Reddit as a "buy" or better, with an average 12-month price target of $160.36, indicating a 41.6% premium to the recent close and suggesting potential for downward revisions [2] - The stock has seen a significant downtrend, down 45.3% over the last three months, and is on track for a third consecutive daily loss, with the $100 level potentially serving as a short-term support [4] Group 2 - Options traders are experiencing a shift in sentiment, as Reddit's 10-day call/put volume ratio of 4.07 ranks in the 100th percentile of annual readings, indicating a rapid increase in call options [3] - The 20-day moving average has turned into resistance, complicating upward movement for the stock, with several trendlines positioned overhead [4]
Reddit Is Printing Money And No One's Noticed
Seeking Alpha· 2025-05-15 15:09
Group 1 - Michael Wiggins De Oliveira is an inflection investor, focusing on buying undervalued companies at pivotal moments when their profitability is expected to improve significantly over the next year [1] - The investment strategy emphasizes technology and the Great Energy Transition, including uranium, with a concentrated portfolio of approximately 15 to 20 stocks and an average holding period of 18 months [1] - Michael has over 10 years of experience analyzing companies in tech and energy sectors, and has built a following of over 40,000 on Seeking Alpha [2] Group 2 - The Investing Group Deep Value Returns, led by Michael, offers insights through a concentrated portfolio of value stocks, timely updates on stock picks, and a weekly webinar for live advice [3] - The group provides "hand-holding" support for both new and experienced investors, fostering an active and vibrant community accessible via chat [3] - Seeking FCF is associated with Michael Wiggins De Oliveira, indicating a collaborative approach in investment strategies [3]
Reddit co-founder Alexis Ohanian takes minority stake in Chelsea FC women's team
CNBC· 2025-05-14 21:26
Core Insights - Alexis Ohanian has acquired a 10% stake in Chelsea FC Women for 20 million pounds, marking a significant investment in women's sports [2][3] - The valuation of Chelsea FC Women is set at 200 million pounds, making it the most valuable women's team globally [3] - Ohanian's involvement includes a seat on the board, indicating a strategic role in the club's future [3] Company Overview - Chelsea FC Women has achieved notable success, winning six consecutive Women's Super League titles, highlighting its competitive strength in women's football [4] - Ohanian's investment reflects a growing trend in the sports industry, focusing on the potential for brand expansion within women's football [4] Industry Context - The investment by Ohanian is part of a broader movement towards increasing visibility and financial backing for women's sports, which has seen significant growth in recent years [3][4] - The valuation and investment in Chelsea FC Women underscore the increasing recognition of women's sports as a viable and lucrative market [3]
3 Undervalued Stocks Wall Street Is Getting Wrong
MarketBeat· 2025-05-12 16:02
Core Viewpoint - The stock market, particularly the S&P 500, is generally efficient in pricing future economic expectations, but certain stocks may disconnect from broader market trends, presenting investment opportunities [1][2] Group 1: Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. (NYSE: CLF) - Cleveland-Cliffs stock is currently priced at $7.37, representing a 39% drop from its 52-week high, indicating that worst-case scenarios for the U.S. industrial sector may already be priced in [3][4] - Analysts project a 12-month price forecast of $15.49 for Cleveland-Cliffs, suggesting a potential upside of 110.29% from current levels, with a consensus indicating a moderate buy rating [3][5] - The stock's risk-to-reward ratio is favorable for bullish investors, with a consensus price target of $15.5 per share, indicating a significant rebound potential [5] Group 2: Wayfair Inc. (NYSE: W) - Wayfair's current stock price is $39.59, with a 12-month price forecast of $46.46, indicating a 17.36% upside potential [6][7] - The stock trades at 43% of its 52-week high, attracting capital as investors anticipate a rebound in the home furnishing market as real estate stabilizes [7][8] - Analysts from Mizuho have set a price target of $50 per share for Wayfair, suggesting a potential upside of 53% from current levels [10] Group 3: Reddit Inc. (NYSE: RDDT) - Reddit's stock is currently priced at $111.30, with a 12-month price forecast of $140.35, indicating a 26.10% upside potential [11] - The stock has fallen to 47% of its 52-week high, and recent quarterly earnings results suggest that the current price does not reflect the company's financial performance [11][12] - Institutional investors, such as the Vanguard Group, have increased their holdings in Reddit, showcasing confidence in its future, with Citigroup analysts maintaining a buy rating and a valuation of $158, indicating a 46% upside [13]