Investor Presentation V e r s i o n 2 . 2 0 . 2 0 2 4 Contents | SWK Overview | Pages 4 – | 13 | | --- | --- | --- | | Tools & Outdoor | Pages 14 – | 24 | | Industrial | Pages 25 – | 29 | | Appendix | Pages 30 – | 37 | Contacts Dennis Lange Vice President, Investor Relations 860-827-3833 dennis.lange@sbdinc.com Christina Francis Director, Investor Relations 860-438-3470 christina.francis@sbdinc.com Christopher Capela Director, Investor Relations 860-827-5556 christopher.capela@sbdinc.com 1000 Stanley Drive ...

Financial Performance & Outlook - Stanley Black & Decker's (SWK) 2023 revenue was $15.8 billion[7] - The company is targeting ~$1.5 billion of pre-tax run-rate savings by the end of 2024[16] - The company is reiterating EPS guidance range of GAAP $1.60-$2.85 and adjusted $3.50-$4.50, and free cash flow $0.6B-$0.8B for 2024[29] - The company expects adjusted gross margin to increase sequentially in each half of 2024, planning for ~30% full year 2024 adjusted gross margin[35] - The company's 1Q'24 free cash flow outflow was ~$500 million[35] Business Segments - Tools & Outdoor segment accounted for $13.4 billion in revenue in 2023[7] - Industrial segment revenue was $2.4 billion in 2023[7] - In the Tools & Outdoor segment, Power Tools Group accounted for 48%, Hand Tools, Accessories & Storage for 30%, and Outdoor Power Equipment for 22% of the revenue[7] - Engineered Fastening accounted for 81% and Infrastructure for 19% of the Industrial segment revenue[7] Geographic Distribution - 62% of the company's revenue is generated in the U.S[10]

Financial Performance & Strategy - Stanley Black & Decker's (SWK) 2023 revenue was $15.8 billion[7] - The company is targeting ~$2 billion in pre-tax run-rate cost savings by the end of 2025[12, 14] - SWK is aiming for organic revenue growth of 2-3x the market rate[12] - The company is targeting an adjusted gross margin of 35%+ by 2025[12] - SWK expects free cash flow conversion to be 100%+[12] Segment Breakdown - Tools & Outdoor segment accounted for $13.4 billion of revenue in 2023[7] - Industrial segment revenue was $2.4 billion in 2023[7] - Within Tools & Outdoor, Power Tools Group contributed 48%, Hand Tools, Accessories & Storage 30%, and Outdoor Power Equipment 22% of the revenue[7] Geographic Distribution - 62% of the company's revenues are generated in the U S [10] - Europe accounts for 16%, Emerging Markets 12%, and Rest of World (ROW) 10% of the revenues[10] 2024 Guidance - The company anticipates organic revenue to be approximately (0 5%) year-over-year +/- 130 bps in 2024[28] - Adjusted EPS for 2024 is projected to be $3 70-$4 50, and free cash flow is expected to be $650 million-$850 million[28]

Core Insights - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding that past performance does not guarantee future results, highlighting the need for careful analysis before making investment decisions [2][3] Group 1 - The article discusses the role of analysts in providing insights and opinions on various companies and industries, noting that these views may not reflect the overall stance of the publication [3] - It mentions that the information presented is believed to be factual and up-to-date, but does not guarantee accuracy, indicating the necessity for investors to conduct their own research [2][3] - The article clarifies that no specific investment recommendations are being made, and it is not an offer to buy or sell securities [2][3] Group 2 - The disclosure states that the authors have no financial positions in the companies mentioned, which aims to eliminate potential conflicts of interest [1] - It highlights that the opinions expressed are subject to change and may not represent the views of the publication as a whole [3] - The article notes that the authors include both professional and individual investors, some of whom may not be licensed or certified [3]

Core Viewpoint - Stanley Black & Decker will host its second quarter 2025 earnings webcast on July 29, 2025, at 8:00 AM ET, with a news release detailing financial results to be distributed prior to market opening on the same day [1][2]. Company Overview - Stanley Black & Decker, founded in 1843 and headquartered in the USA, is a global leader in tools and outdoor products, employing approximately 48,000 individuals worldwide [3]. - The company produces a range of innovative products including power tools, hand tools, storage solutions, digital jobsite solutions, outdoor products, and engineered fasteners, catering to builders, tradespeople, and DIY enthusiasts [3]. - Its portfolio includes well-known brands such as DEWALT®, CRAFTSMAN®, STANLEY®, BLACK+DECKER®, and Cub Cadet® [3].

Core Insights - Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. (SWK) has underperformed in operational performance, facing challenges from business weaknesses, high debt, and rising operational expenses [1][8]. Group 1: Business Performance - The company is experiencing significant weakness in its Engineered Fastening segment, particularly in the automotive market, leading to a 20.7% year-over-year revenue decline to $463.7 million in Q1 2025 [3][8]. - The divestiture of the infrastructure business has negatively impacted sales in the Engineered Fastening segment, although there is some strength in aerospace and general industrial markets [3]. Group 2: Cost and Expenses - Stanley Black & Decker is facing escalating costs, with SG&A expenses rising 1.8% year-over-year to $867 million, and as a percentage of net sales, it increased by 120 basis points to 23.2% [4]. - The cost of sales also increased, up 130 basis points to 29.9% of net sales, indicating pressure on margins and profitability [4]. Group 3: Financial Position - The company's long-term debt stands at $4.8 billion, with current maturities totaling $849.4 million, raising concerns about financial obligations and profitability [9]. - Cash and cash equivalents are low at $344.8 million, which is not sufficient given the high debt levels [9]. Group 4: Market Impact - Foreign currency translation negatively impacted revenues by 2% in Q1 2025, highlighting the risks associated with global operations [10]. - Earnings estimates have been revised down significantly, with the 2025 consensus estimate dropping from $5.14 to $4.36 per share due to seven downward revisions [11].

Core Viewpoint - Multiple well-known companies in the U.S. are implementing price increases in May, indicating a trend of rising costs across various sectors. Group 1: E-commerce and Retail - E-commerce giants Temu and Shein issued nearly identical price increase notifications [1] - Retail giants Walmart and Macy's announced price hikes in May [1] - Toy manufacturer Mattel announced price increases for certain products in the U.S. in early May [1] Group 2: Apparel and Footwear - Nike announced price increases for athletic shoes priced between $100 and $150, with a maximum increase of $5 [1] - Apparel brand Ralph Lauren plans to raise prices more significantly than initially planned to offset tariff impacts [1] Group 3: Technology and Automotive - Microsoft raised the suggested retail prices for its Xbox consoles and controllers globally in early May [1] - Ford increased the prices of three models produced in Mexico, with the highest increase reaching $2,000 [1] - Subaru announced price hikes for several models, effective in June [1] Group 4: Tools and Consumer Goods - Tool manufacturer Stanley Black & Decker raised prices in April and plans to increase them again in the third quarter [1] - Procter & Gamble indicated that it may need to pass price increases onto consumers, with potential price hikes visible as early as July [1]

Core Insights - Berkshire Hathaway's CEO Warren Buffett is considering potential acquisition targets, specifically mentioning a willingness to spend up to $100 billion if the right opportunity arises [5] - Two companies identified as potential acquisition targets are Sirius XM Holdings and Stanley Black & Decker, both of which align with Buffett's investment criteria [21] Group 1: Sirius XM Holdings - Sirius XM Holdings has a market capitalization of nearly $7.4 billion, making it a logical acquisition target for Berkshire Hathaway [6][7] - Berkshire Hathaway is the largest shareholder of Sirius XM, holding 35.4% of its outstanding shares, which would reduce the out-of-pocket cost for acquiring the remaining shares [7] - Sirius XM operates as a legal monopoly with a satellite-radio license, providing it with subscription pricing power that competitors lack [8] - The company generates over 75% of its revenue from subscriptions, offering more predictable cash flow compared to traditional radio providers reliant on advertising [9] - Sirius XM's shares are currently valued at just over 7 times forecast earnings per share for 2025, presenting an attractive risk-versus-reward profile [11] Group 2: Stanley Black & Decker - Stanley Black & Decker has a market capitalization of approximately $10 billion, making it another potential acquisition target for Buffett [14][15] - The company's stock fell to around $8.5 billion during a market downturn, making it accessible for a $10 billion buyout [15] - Stanley Black & Decker has a strong brand portfolio, including DeWalt and Craftsman, which are well-recognized and trusted by consumers [17] - The company has a long history of dividend payments, having increased its base annual dividend for 58 consecutive years, indicating a stable operating model [18] - Management has implemented a global cost reduction program that has resulted in approximately $1.7 billion in pre-tax annual run-rate cost savings since mid-2022 [19] - Stanley Black & Decker shares are priced at roughly 11 times forecast earnings per share for 2026, representing a 37% discount to its average forward-year earnings multiple over the past five years [20]

Core Insights - Younger homeowners, particularly Millennials and Gen Zers, are determined to proceed with their home improvement projects in 2025 despite economic uncertainties [1][4][6] - The CRAFTSMAN® Driven to DIY Report reveals that over three-quarters of younger DIYers feel confident in completing their planned projects [6][10] - The report is based on a survey of 1,000 DIY enthusiasts aged 25 to 40 who have recently undertaken home renovations [5][13] Group 1: DIY Trends and Motivations - A significant motivation for younger homeowners to engage in DIY projects includes the desire for creative freedom, budget constraints, and the pride of hands-on accomplishment [6][8] - The top home improvement projects identified by respondents include bathtub or shower replacements, interior painting, and built-in storage and organization [6][10] - More than half of the surveyed DIYers report that a sense of accomplishment and pride drives them to complete their projects [6][10] Group 2: Challenges and Overcoming Obstacles - Despite their confidence, over 40% of DIY projects stall due to overestimating the skills, time, and budget required [8][15] - The most popular learning tool for modern DIYers is YouTube, utilized by 67% of respondents, followed by family members (45%) and friends (31%) [8][15] - Only 2% of projects are reported as completely abandoned, indicating a strong resilience among DIY enthusiasts [9][10] Group 3: Project Management Insights - In terms of time management, 38% of DIYers underestimate the time needed for projects, while 35% unexpectedly take on additional work [15] - Budgeting challenges are prevalent, with 34% of respondents finding cost estimation to be the hardest part of their projects [15] - A recommended practice is to include an additional 10-20% in the project budget to account for unexpected costs [15]

Core Insights - DEWALT is committed to supporting the trades through its Grow the Trades initiative, which includes a $30 million investment over five years to address the skilled labor gap in the U.S. [2] - The initiative has already awarded nearly $20 million in scholarships, grants, tools, and resources for trades training [2] Group 1: Scholarship Recipients - The 2025-2026 scholarship recipients are pursuing 12 different trade careers, including electrical, carpentry, construction, HVAC, and welding, and they reside in 24 states and three provinces in Canada [1] - Robert Mendez, an aspiring diesel technician, left a corporate career to contribute to industries that impact everyday lives [3] - Gretta Vieths transitioned from desk jobs to electrical construction and maintenance, feeling empowered and optimistic about her future in the trades [4] - Julian Simmons is studying HVAC and Refrigeration while working part-time as an HVAC technician, aiming for a leadership role and eventual business ownership [5] - Haley Debum is studying automotive technology and emphasizes the importance of skilled trades while breaking gender stereotypes [6] Group 2: Company Background - DEWALT, a brand under Stanley Black & Decker, has been a leader in jobsite solutions for over 100 years, focusing on safety and productivity [7] - Stanley Black & Decker, founded in 1843, operates globally with approximately 48,000 employees and a portfolio of trusted brands, including DEWALT, CRAFTSMAN, and STANLEY [8]