I gave a buy rating for The TJX Companies ( TJX ) two years ago in April '24, as I saw potential for TJX to beat its FY25 guidance and that it would drive multiplesI am an individual investor that is now fully focus on managing my own capital that I have saved up over the years. My investing background spreads across a wide spectrum as I believe there are merits to each approach, for instance: Fundamental investing [Bottoms-up etc.], Technical investing [historical charts analysis], and to some extend momen ...

Core Insights - Off-price retail is gaining momentum as consumers remain price-conscious amid economic uncertainty, benefiting companies like TJX and Burlington [1][2] Group 1: Company Performance - TJX Companies benefits from a flexible off-price model, allowing rapid sourcing of quality branded merchandise, enhancing customer loyalty through a treasure-hunt shopping experience [3] - In Q3 of fiscal 2026, TJX reported a 5% increase in comparable sales, with positive performance across all divisions, indicating strong demand [4] - Burlington's total sales rose 7% to $2,706 million in Q3 of fiscal 2025, driven by solid demand and improved merchandising execution [7] Group 2: Expansion Plans - TJX aims to expand its store footprint to 7,000 locations globally, currently operating 5,191 stores, with plans to enter the Spanish market [5] - Burlington operated 1,211 stores at the end of Q3 and plans to open 104 net new stores in fiscal 2025 and at least 110 in 2026, supported by strong new-store performance [9] Group 3: Profitability and Margins - TJX faces margin pressures due to rising operating costs, with SG&A expenses increasing in Q3 of fiscal 2026 [6] - Burlington expanded its adjusted EBIT margin by 60 basis points in Q3, with adjusted EPS climbing 16% to $1.80, reflecting effective expense management [8] Group 4: Market Position and Valuation - TJX is viewed as a steadier off-price option, with stronger comparable sales and a global footprint, while Burlington's results show risks tied to weather sensitivity affecting sales [10][11] - TJX trades at a forward P/E ratio of 30.95x, above the industry average of 29.39x, while Burlington trades at a lower multiple of 26.46x [17] - Over the past year, TJX has gained 27.9%, outperforming the industry's 2.5% growth, while Burlington experienced a slight decline of 1.7% [18] Group 5: Overall Outlook - Both companies are well-positioned to benefit from sustained demand for value-oriented retail, but TJX currently offers greater visibility and a more balanced risk-reward profile [21]

The US economy exits 2025 with one phrase defining consumers — K-shaped. This year, the division between the economic haves and have nots widened, with sentiment souring as those in the middle of the income distribution were pressured by a softening labor market and feared inflation resulting from tariffs. As of November, the unemployment rate stood at a four-year high of 4.6%. The University of Michigan's final consumer sentiment reading of the year found that nearly two-thirds of respondents expect un ...

Key Takeaways TJX heads into the holiday season on solid footing, supported by strong access to branded merchandise.Frequent new product drops aim to drive repeat visits as shoppers rarely see the same assortment twice.Everyday value pricing and broad giftable assortments reduce reliance on event-driven promotions.The TJX Companies, Inc. ((TJX) is leaning on a key strength of its business, the treasure-hunt shopping experience, during the holiday season. On its third-quarter fiscal 2026 earnings call, manag ...

Group 1: Investment Performance - Qualivian Investment Partners outperformed the iShares MSCI USA Quality Factor ETF by 69.2% and 61.3% on a gross and net basis since inception through September 30, 2025 [1] - The fund also exceeded the S&P 500 by 32.7% and 26.1% respectively, on a gross and net basis [1] Group 2: Company Highlight - The TJX Companies, Inc. - The TJX Companies, Inc. had a one-month return of 2.75% and a 52-week gain of 26.80% [2] - As of December 22, 2025, The TJX Companies, Inc. stock closed at $156.58 per share, with a market capitalization of $173.88 billion [2] Group 3: Market Context and Sector Performance - The S&P 500's Q3 2025 performance was driven by investment in Artificial Intelligence and the Federal Reserve's first interest rate cut since 2024, which increased investor risk appetite [3] - Information Technology and Communication Services sectors led due to AI-related growth, while defensive sectors like Consumer Staples and Healthcare lagged [3] Group 4: Hedge Fund Interest - The TJX Companies, Inc. was held by 69 hedge fund portfolios at the end of Q3 2025, down from 73 in the previous quarter [4] - While The TJX Companies, Inc. is recognized for its investment potential, certain AI stocks are considered to offer greater upside potential with less downside risk [4]

18 December 2025 U.S. Consumer Strategy & Quantitative Research U.S. Consumer Strategy; have we reached capitulation yet & should we prepare for a sector rotation? Webinar Transcript Alexia Howard +1 917 344 8453 alexia.howard@bernsteinsg.com Danilo Gargiulo +1 917 344 8475 danilo.gargiulo@bernsteinsg.com Zhihan Ma, CFA +1 917 344 8303 zhihan.ma@bernsteinsg.com Nadine Sarwat, CFA +44 20 7676 6849 nadine.sarwat@bernsteinsg.com Aneesha Sherman +1 917 344 8457 aneesha.sherman@bernsteinsg.com Cinnie Lin +1 917 ...

TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE:TJX) is one of the best forever stocks to buy according to hedge funds. On December 16, UBS reiterated a Buy rating on TJX Companies Inc. (NYSE:TJX), impressed by the company’s market share gains against other department stores. UBS Asserts Buy Rating on The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) Buoyed by Market Share Gains Prospects Pixabay/Public Domain The off-price retailer has been a major share gainer against department stores on sales and EBIT dollars for more than a decade. The tren ...

Core Insights - Retail stocks are sensitive to economic shifts, yet major retailers like TJX Companies, Walmart, and Dollar General have shown resilience across various economic cycles [1][7] Group 1: Company Performance - TJX has outperformed the S&P 500 for the last two years and has delivered consistent gains for over 15 years, maintaining its position as a leader in off-price apparel and home goods [3][5] - Walmart, the world's largest retailer by revenue, has seen its stock price rise significantly from $58.52 to $116.70 following a stock split, and is expanding into AI shopping through a partnership with OpenAI [4][5] - Dollar General's stock has rebounded by 75% in 2025 after a 70% decline in the previous two years, with plans to open 450 new locations in 2026 [6][5] Group 2: Investment Considerations - Investors with $500 available for investment may consider buying stocks from TJX, Walmart, or Dollar General, as all three companies have demonstrated adaptability to changing consumer spending patterns [1][7]

Core Insights - TJX has outperformed the S&P 500 with a 28% gain this year and a 129% return over the past five years, driven by its discount retail model [1][2] - The company's primary brands, T.J. Maxx and Marshalls, are crucial for its success, contributing approximately 60% of total sales in Q3 FY26 [5][3] - Economic conditions favor TJX's business model, attracting consumers seeking low-priced essential products during downturns [9][10] Financial Performance - The U.S. Marmaxx division grew by 7% year over year, while Canadian and international segments increased by 8% and 9% year over year, respectively [7] - Comparable sales for the parent company increased by 5%, indicating customer loyalty and larger order sizes [8] Market Trends - The growing trend of clothing reselling, particularly among Gen Z, presents an opportunity for TJX as consumers buy and resell discounted items [11] - The company is positioned well for continued growth into 2026, especially if comparable sales and revenue maintain their upward trajectory [12]

Core Viewpoint - BJ's Wholesale Club is facing challenges in growth and competition, while TJX Companies presents a more attractive long-term investment opportunity due to its strong performance and adaptability in uncertain economic conditions [1][3]. BJ's Wholesale Club - BJ's stock is currently priced at $94.66 with a market cap of $12 billion and a year-to-date increase of 5% [2]. - The company reported a modest sales increase of 1.1% in the third quarter and 0.8% for the first nine months of fiscal year 2025 compared to the previous year [6]. - BJ's faces competition from larger players like Costco and Walmart, lacking the scale and international presence that these competitors have [7]. - The company operates fewer than 300 stores, primarily on the East Coast, which limits its market reach [7]. TJX Companies - TJX has seen a significant year-to-date stock increase of nearly 30% and has exceeded sales and margin expectations in its latest quarter [7]. - The company has raised its guidance for the upcoming year and anticipates a strong holiday season [7]. - TJX operates under an off-price retail model, which is particularly appealing in times of economic uncertainty as consumers seek discounts [9]. - The company reported a 1% increase in gross profit margins from the previous year's third quarter, indicating strong financial health [10].