Group 1 - Trex Company (NYSE: TREX) has faced challenges for its shareholders over the past few years [1] - In November 2021, an in-depth analysis of Trex Company was initiated to understand its performance [1] Group 2 - Crude Value Insights provides an investment service focused on oil and natural gas, emphasizing cash flow and growth potential [1] - The service includes a stock model account, cash flow analyses of exploration and production firms, and live sector discussions [2]

Core Insights - Trex Company has launched the Trex Deck Railing Designer, a digital platform aimed at simplifying the railing selection process for both trade professionals and homeowners [1][2][3] Group 1: Product Features - The Trex Deck Railing Designer allows users to visualize over 2,000 railing combinations from Trex's 13 railing lines, enhancing the specification process [3] - The platform is built with advanced 3D web technology, providing real-time visualization and instant material estimates across various devices [1][3] - It includes a dual mode interface: "Explorer Mode" for browsing and comparing styles, and "Expert Mode" for direct customization and material calculation [11] Group 2: User Experience - The tool significantly reduces the time needed for material estimation from 10-20 minutes to as little as one minute [11] - It is optimized for mobile use, making it suitable for professionals on the job [11] - Users can save and share their configurations easily, facilitating collaboration [11] Group 3: Company Background - Trex Company is recognized as the world's largest manufacturer of high-performance, low-maintenance composite decking and residential railing [1][6] - The company has a strong distribution network with over 6,700 retail outlets across six continents [6] - Trex has received multiple accolades, including being named America's Most Trusted Outdoor Decking for five consecutive years from 2021 to 2025 [6]

Core Viewpoint - Trex (TREX) is anticipated to report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ending June 2025, with the actual results being a significant factor influencing its near-term stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - The consensus estimate for Trex's quarterly earnings is $0.71 per share, reflecting an 11.3% decrease year-over-year. Revenues are projected to be $377.91 million, which is a 0.4% increase from the same quarter last year [3]. Estimate Revisions - Over the past 30 days, the consensus EPS estimate has been revised 0.95% higher, indicating a collective reassessment by analysts regarding the company's earnings outlook [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that Trex's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.07%, suggesting a bearish sentiment among analysts [12]. Historical Performance - Trex has a history of beating consensus EPS estimates, having done so in the last four quarters. In the most recent quarter, it reported earnings of $0.60 per share against an expectation of $0.58, achieving a surprise of +3.45% [13][14]. Investment Considerations - While Trex does not appear to be a strong candidate for an earnings beat, investors are advised to consider other factors that may influence stock performance ahead of the earnings release [17].

Industry Overview - The Zacks Building Products – Wood industry is currently facing challenges such as rising construction costs, potential housing project delays, and affordability concerns for consumers [1] - Spending on home repair and remodeling has decreased from pandemic highs due to elevated mortgage rates impacting consumer budgets [1][2] - There is a strong need for investments in critical replacements and modernization of aging housing stock, alongside increased funding for infrastructure and carbon/ESG-related projects [2][6] Trends Impacting the Industry - The U.S. housing market is constrained by high interest rates and low consumer confidence, affecting demand for lumber and remodeling [4] - The reimplementation of tariffs on Canadian softwood lumber could lead to supply shortages and increased material costs, as Canada supplies about 30% of U.S. softwood lumber [4] - Volatility in lumber prices remains a significant concern, impacting inventory costs and profit margins [5] Company Strategies - Companies are focusing on acquisitions, product innovation, and efficient cost-reduction strategies to navigate current challenges [7][8] - Operational excellence is being emphasized, including improvements in merchandising, harvest, and transportation efficiencies [8] Industry Performance - The Zacks Building Products – Wood industry has outperformed the broader Zacks Construction sector and the S&P 500 over the past year, gaining 21.6% compared to the sector's 8.8% and the S&P 500's 12.3% [13] - The industry currently has a Zacks Industry Rank of 155, placing it in the bottom 37% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating dull near-term prospects [9][10] Earnings Outlook - Analysts have shown decreasing confidence in the industry's earnings growth potential, with aggregate earnings estimates for 2025 declining from $2.22 to $2.11 per share [11] - Despite the bleak near-term outlook, some companies are highlighted for their potential to capitalize on fundamental strengths [12] Notable Companies - **Worthington Enterprises, Inc. (WOR)**: Gained 48.4% over the past year, with an upward estimate revision for fiscal 2026 earnings to $3.65 from $3.14 per share [22] - **PotlatchDeltic Corporation (PCH)**: Gained 5% over the past year, with an upward estimate revision for 2025 earnings to 88 cents from 83 cents per share [26] - **Trex Company, Inc. (TREX)**: Experienced a loss of 20.9% over the past year, but has seen an upward estimate revision for 2025 earnings to $2.21 from $2.16 per share [30]

Company Overview - Trex's market capitalization is valued at $5.3 billion as of March 31, 2023, supported by brand strength, distribution network, low-cost leadership, and product breadth[15, 16, 17] - The company has recycled over 5 billion pounds of plastic film since its inception, utilizing 95% reclaimed and recycled materials in its durable decking[18, 19] - Trex has reduced its greenhouse gas emissions intensity by 33% between 2020 and 2021[19] Market Position and Growth - 82% of people say their outdoor space is more important to them than ever[32] - Trex residential growth from 2015 to 2022 was 140%, outpacing the outdoor living category's growth of 102% and the repair & remodeling sector's growth of 71%[38] - Trex holds a 12% market share of the $8 billion U S decking & railing category[39] Product Innovation and Value - Trex is launching a new luxury line with realistic wood grain and colors inspired by nature, with 2 colors available in Q1 2023 in select markets, backed by a new 50-year warranty[75] - Trex web traffic commands more than 60% of the category, generating high-quality Trex leads[99] Financial Performance and Capital Allocation - Trex has capital expenditures of $656 million since 2016[128] - The company has $745 million in share repurchases over the past 10 years, including $395 million in 2022 repurchases[129] - The company anticipates capital expenditures of $130-140 million, SG&A at 15-16% of sales, depreciation & amortization of $45-47 million, a tax rate of 25-26%, and an EBITDA margin of 26-27%[141]

SEEING MORE INVESTOR PRESENTATION | AS O F Q2 2023 NYSE:TREX AT TREX, EVEN OUR PRESENTATION DECKS SAVE TREES. Scan for our paperless investor presentation. SAFE HARBOR / NON-GAAP MEASURES This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's actual operating results to differ materially from those cont ...

SEEING MORE INVESTOR PRESENTATION | AS O F Q1 2024 NYSE:TREX AT TREX, EVEN OUR PRESENTATION DECKS SAVE TREES. Scan for our paperless investor presentation. SAFE HARBOR / NON-GAAP MEASURES This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's actual operating results to differ materially from those cont ...

S EEI N G M O R E I N V E S T O R P R E S E N T A T I O N | AS O F Q1 2025 N Y S E : T R E X AT TREX, EVEN OUR PRESENTATION DECKS SAVE TREES. Scan for our paperless investor presentation. SAFE HARBOR / NON-GAAP MEASURES This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's actual operating results to d ...

SEEING MORE INVESTOR PRESENTATION | AS O F Q3 2023 NYSE:TREX AT TREX, EVEN OUR PRESENTATION DECKS SAVE TREES. Scan for our paperless investor presentation. SAFE HARBOR / NON-GAAP MEASURES This presentation contains "forward-looking statements" within the meaning of Section 27A of the Securities Act of 1933 and Section 21E of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause the Company's actual operating results to differ materially from those cont ...

Company Performance - Trex reported quarterly earnings of $0.60 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.58 per share, but down from $0.82 per share a year ago, representing an earnings surprise of 3.45% [1] - The company posted revenues of $339.99 million for the quarter ended March 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.28%, but down from $373.64 million year-over-year [2] - Over the last four quarters, Trex has surpassed consensus EPS estimates four times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times [2] Stock Performance - Trex shares have declined approximately 18.1% since the beginning of the year, compared to a decline of 4.3% for the S&P 500 [3] - The current Zacks Rank for Trex is 3 (Hold), indicating that shares are expected to perform in line with the market in the near future [6] Future Outlook - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.78 on revenues of $379.47 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.16 on revenues of $1.22 billion [7] - The outlook for the Building Products - Wood industry, to which Trex belongs, is currently in the bottom 16% of over 250 Zacks industries, which may impact Trex's stock performance [8]