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ASTH vs. USPH: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-08-29 16:41
Core Viewpoint - Investors are evaluating Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) and U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) to determine which stock offers better value opportunities in the Medical - Outpatient and Home Healthcare sector [1] Valuation Metrics - ASTH has a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), while USPH has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), indicating a stronger earnings outlook for ASTH compared to USPH [3] - ASTH's forward P/E ratio is 23.09, significantly lower than USPH's forward P/E of 31.71, suggesting that ASTH may be undervalued [5] - The PEG ratio for ASTH is 0.78, while USPH's PEG ratio is 4.15, indicating that ASTH has a more favorable earnings growth outlook relative to its price [5] - ASTH's P/B ratio is 2.28, compared to USPH's P/B of 2.5, further supporting the argument that ASTH is a better value option [6] - ASTH has a Value grade of B, while USPH has a Value grade of C, reinforcing the conclusion that ASTH is the preferred choice for value investors [6]
US Physical Therapy (USPH) FY Conference Transcript
2025-08-26 16:47
Summary of US Physical Therapy (USPH) FY Conference Call - August 26, 2025 Company Overview - **Company Name**: US Physical Therapy (USPH) - **Industry**: Outpatient orthopedic physical therapy - **Market Presence**: Operates nearly 800 facilities across the United States, with a partner model where the company generally owns about 70% of each partnership [2][4][10] Core Business Model - **Partnership Model**: USPH partners with local brands, allowing owners to retain a meaningful interest while benefiting from USPH's resources for growth [4][5][16] - **Market Fragmentation**: The physical therapy market is highly fragmented, estimated at $40 billion, with no single provider holding more than 10% market share [10][14] - **Reimbursement Strategy**: Focus on states with favorable reimbursement rates to ensure reasonable margins [8][9] Financial Performance - **Growth Despite Challenges**: Despite facing Medicare reimbursement headwinds, USPH has maintained significant growth, reporting an 18% increase in the last quarter [6][38] - **EBITDA Impact**: The company has faced a cumulative EBITDA reduction of $50 million due to reimbursement cuts, with $25 million impacting this year alone [35][37] - **Current EBITDA Guidance**: Updated guidance for EBITDA is between $93 million and $97 million for the year [38] Operational Highlights - **Visit Metrics**: Average visits per clinic per day reached 32.7, indicating strong demand [40] - **Technological Investments**: Implementation of AI-assisted documentation and partial virtualization of front desk operations to enhance efficiency [41] - **Margin Recovery**: Recent quarterly margins were around 21%, with expectations to improve further [42] Growth Opportunities - **Industrial Injury Prevention Business**: Launched in 2017, this segment has grown to over $100 million in revenue and $20 million in EBITDA, with a growth rate of 20-30% [44][48] - **Strategic Acquisitions**: Focus on acquiring larger practices with at least $1 million in EBITDA, enhancing profitability through better reimbursement rates [26][16] Market Dynamics - **Regulatory Challenges**: The company has navigated significant regulatory changes and reimbursement cuts, particularly from Medicare, which have historically impacted physical therapy providers [35][36] - **Competitive Landscape**: USPH differentiates itself from competitors by maintaining a strong balance sheet and avoiding excessive leverage, unlike many private equity-backed firms [31][14] Additional Insights - **Dividend Policy**: USPH has consistently paid dividends since 2012, currently at approximately $0.45 per quarter [51] - **Share Repurchase Plan**: Recently authorized a share repurchase plan due to stock price fluctuations, although this is not the primary focus for capital deployment [53] Conclusion US Physical Therapy is positioned for continued growth in a fragmented market, leveraging its partnership model and operational efficiencies to navigate regulatory challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities in the physical therapy and industrial injury prevention sectors.
ASTH or USPH: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?
ZACKS· 2025-08-13 16:41
Core Viewpoint - Astrana Health, Inc. (ASTH) is currently positioned as a more attractive investment option compared to U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) based on various valuation metrics and earnings outlook [1][7]. Valuation Metrics - ASTH has a forward P/E ratio of 20.02, significantly lower than USPH's forward P/E of 33.65 [5]. - The PEG ratio for ASTH is 0.67, indicating a better valuation relative to its expected earnings growth compared to USPH's PEG ratio of 4.40 [5]. - ASTH's P/B ratio stands at 2.11, while USPH has a P/B ratio of 2.65, further suggesting that ASTH is undervalued [6]. Earnings Outlook - ASTH is experiencing an improving earnings outlook, which enhances its attractiveness in the Zacks Rank model, indicating a stronger potential for future earnings growth compared to USPH [3][7]. Investment Ratings - ASTH holds a Zacks Rank of 1 (Strong Buy), while USPH has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), reflecting a more favorable investment sentiment towards ASTH [3]. Value Grades - ASTH has received a Value grade of A, whereas USPH has a Value grade of C, indicating that ASTH is perceived as a better value investment [6].
Does U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) Have the Potential to Rally 26.48% as Wall Street Analysts Expect?
ZACKS· 2025-08-12 14:55
U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) closed the last trading session at $86.71, gaining 17.5% over the past four weeks, but there could be plenty of upside left in the stock if short-term price targets set by Wall Street analysts are any guide. The mean price target of $109.67 indicates a 26.5% upside potential.The average comprises six short-term price targets ranging from a low of $98.00 to a high of $124.00, with a standard deviation of $8.91. While the lowest estimate indicates an increase of 13% from the curre ...
U.S. Physical Therapy(USPH) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Report
2025-08-08 12:22
UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (MARK ONE) ☑ QUARTERLY REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 FOR THE QUARTERLY PERIOD ENDED June 30, 2025 OR ☐ TRANSITION REPORT PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934 FOR THE TRANSITION PERIOD FROM _____TO _____ COMMISSION FILE NUMBER 1-11151 U.S. PHYSICAL THERAPY, INC. (EXACT NAME OF REGISTRANT AS SPECIFIED IN ITS CHARTER) NEVADA 76-0364866 (STATE OR OTH ...
U.S. Physical Therapy(USPH) - 2025 Q2 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-08-07 15:30
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved a record average of 32.7 visits per clinic per day in Q2 2025, up from 30.6 in Q2 2024, marking a 7% increase [10][21] - Adjusted EBITDA increased to $26.9 million, up $4.7 million from the same quarter last year, with an adjusted EBITDA margin expanding to 17.5% from 16.4% [24][34] - Physical therapy revenues reached $168.3 million, representing a 17.3% increase compared to the prior year [27][28] - Gross profit margin improved to 21.1%, up from 20.1% in Q2 2024 [22][28] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Injury prevention (IIP) revenues increased by 22.6%, with gross profit rising by 25.8% compared to the prior year [13][29] - The company added over 50 net clinics compared to the prior year period, contributing to the growth in physical therapy visits [14] - Home care visits totaled 28,493 in Q2 2025, marking the first time these visits were reported separately [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Workers' compensation represented 10.4% of net patient revenues, with visits increasing by 8.4% year over year [27] - The net rate per patient visit was $105.33, slightly up from $105.05 in Q2 2024, despite a 2.9% Medicare rate reduction [26] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company plans to focus on expanding its injury prevention business and has identified several large contracts in the auto industry [14][18] - The company has initiated a staged rollout of cash-based programs, generating approximately $900,000 in additional revenue [37] - A share repurchase program was authorized, allowing for the repurchase of up to $25 million of shares through December 31, 2026, while acquisitions remain the primary capital allocation priority [33][34] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the demand for services, noting solid demand across most markets despite some staffing challenges [41] - The company raised its full-year 2025 adjusted EBITDA guidance to a range of $93 million to $97 million, reflecting strong performance in the first half of the year [34] - Management acknowledged the impact of Medicare cuts, estimating a $25 million hit to profit lines, but remains positive about future reimbursement rate increases [15][72] Other Important Information - The company is implementing a new enterprise-wide financial and human resources system, with associated costs expected to continue through 2026 [30] - The balance sheet remains strong, with $135 million in term loans and a $175 million revolving credit facility [32] Q&A Session Summary Question: How would you characterize demand for your services? - Demand is solid across most markets, but there are challenges in managing costs while meeting demand [41] Question: How do you view capital deployment for de novo builds? - This year is expected to be one of the strongest for de novo builds, with adjustments made to recruiting efforts [43] Question: Can you provide an update on labor management strategies? - A 25% increase in student clinical rotations has been observed, contributing to lower turnover rates [59][61] Question: What is the expected impact of Medicare rate increases? - The company anticipates a 1% to 1.75% increase in Medicare rates, translating to a potential $2 million to $3 million positive impact on revenue [71][72] Question: How is the IIP segment performing? - The IIP segment is performing ahead of expectations, with strong organic growth and continued capital deployment planned [82] Question: What are the dynamics of the home PT business? - The home PT business is new and will be reported separately, with initial results showing promise [25][52]
U.S. Physical Therapy(USPH) - 2025 Q2 - Quarterly Results
2025-08-07 11:33
Houston, TX, August 6, 2025 – U.S. Physical Therapy, Inc. ("USPH" or the "Company") (NYSE: USPH), a national operator of outpatient physical therapy clinics and provider of industrial injury prevention services, today reported results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2025. FINANCIAL HIGHLIGHTS • Adjusted EBITDA (1) , a non-Generally Accepted Accounting Principles ("GAAP") measure, was $26.9 million for the three months ended June 30, 2025 ("2025 Second Quarter"), an increase of $4.7 million, or 2 ...
U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) Tops Q2 Earnings and Revenue Estimates
ZACKS· 2025-08-06 23:16
分组1 - U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) reported quarterly earnings of $0.81 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.71 per share, and showing an increase from $0.73 per share a year ago, resulting in an earnings surprise of +14.08% [1] - The company achieved revenues of $197.34 million for the quarter ended June 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 3.78%, and up from $167.19 million year-over-year [2] - U.S. Physical Therapy has outperformed consensus EPS estimates three times over the last four quarters and has topped consensus revenue estimates four times during the same period [2] 分组2 - The stock has underperformed the market, losing about 18.8% since the beginning of the year, while the S&P 500 has gained 7.1% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is $0.65 on revenues of $192.33 million, and for the current fiscal year, it is $2.49 on revenues of $762.72 million [7] - The Medical - Outpatient and Home Healthcare industry, to which U.S. Physical Therapy belongs, is currently ranked in the top 28% of over 250 Zacks industries, indicating a favorable outlook compared to the bottom 50% [8]
ELAN vs. USPH: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?
ZACKS· 2025-07-24 16:41
Core Insights - Elanco Animal Health Incorporated (ELAN) is currently positioned as a more attractive investment compared to U.S. Physical Therapy (USPH) based on Zacks Rank and valuation metrics [3][7] Valuation Metrics - ELAN has a forward P/E ratio of 17.91, significantly lower than USPH's forward P/E of 30.39 [5] - The PEG ratio for ELAN is 2.93, while USPH's PEG ratio stands at 3.66, indicating ELAN's better valuation relative to its expected earnings growth [5] - ELAN's P/B ratio is 1.17, compared to USPH's P/B of 2.3, further supporting ELAN's superior valuation metrics [6] Earnings Outlook - ELAN has a Zacks Rank of 2 (Buy), reflecting positive revisions in earnings estimates, while USPH has a Zacks Rank of 5 (Strong Sell), indicating a less favorable earnings outlook [3][7] - The improving earnings outlook for ELAN is a critical factor for value investors [3]
US Physical Therapy (USPH) FY Conference Transcript
2025-06-11 15:45
Summary of US Physical Therapy Conference Call Company Overview - **Company Name**: US Physical Therapy (USPH) - **Stock Exchange**: NYSE - **Number of Locations**: Nearly 800 clinics across 44 states in the US - **Business Segments**: 85% revenue from physical therapy, 15% from industrial injury prevention [2][7] Core Business Insights - **Market Size**: The rehabilitation market is valued at over $40 billion, with favorable demographic trends due to an aging population [7][8] - **Growth Strategy**: The company focuses on both organic growth and acquisitions, with a proven business model that includes de novo clinic openings and partnerships with experienced therapists [10][29] - **Financial Performance**: - TTM revenue of approximately $700 million - Adjusted EBITDA of $85 million - Year-over-year revenue growth of 18% [11][12] Industry Dynamics - **Market Fragmentation**: No single company owns more than 10% of the market, indicating opportunities for consolidation [9] - **Demographic Trends**: An aging and increasingly obese population is expected to drive demand for physical therapy services [8][70] Financial Metrics - **Revenue Breakdown**: - Commercial insurance: 47-48% - Medicare: 33% - Workers' compensation: 10.9% (increased from 9.5% in 2023) [19][28] - **Pricing Strategy**: - Average visit rates: - Commercial: ~$103-104 - Medicare: ~$93-94 - Workers' comp: >$150 [26] - **Dividend**: Annual dividend of $1.80, yielding about 2% [57] Regulatory Environment - **Medicare Rates**: Anticipated increases in Medicare rates starting in 2026, following years of reductions [20][24] Acquisition Strategy - **Acquisition History**: Over 50 acquisitions since 2005, with an average acquisition multiple of 7.5 to 8 times EBITDA [29][30] - **Recent Acquisitions**: Notable acquisition of Metro Physical Therapy, adding over 50 clinics [16][29] Operational Efficiency - **Partnership Model**: The company retains 70% ownership in acquired clinics, allowing founders to maintain a vested interest [32][34] - **Staff Retention**: The company has a lower attrition rate (17%) compared to the industry average (30%) [64][66] Growth Projections - **Organic Growth**: Expected growth of 4-6% annually, with additional growth from acquisitions [72] - **Industrial Injury Prevention**: This segment has grown significantly, projected to reach $120-$125 million in revenue with a 15% organic growth rate [51][52] Challenges and Opportunities - **Staffing Needs**: The company is enhancing recruitment efforts to meet increasing demand, particularly from an aging population [64][70] - **Technological Integration**: Exploring remote monitoring and AI solutions to complement in-person therapy [73][74] Conclusion US Physical Therapy is positioned for continued growth through strategic acquisitions, a strong partnership model, and favorable demographic trends. The company is actively addressing staffing challenges and leveraging technology to enhance service delivery while maintaining a focus on financial performance and shareholder returns.