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Why Welltower (WELL) is a Top Momentum Stock for the Long-Term
ZACKS· 2025-06-05 14:55
Company Overview - Welltower Inc. is a real estate investment trust (REIT) focused on investments in seniors housing operators, post-acute providers, and health systems, founded in 1970 [12] - The company was the first REIT to invest exclusively in healthcare facilities and has a portfolio concentrated in high-growth markets in the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. [12] Investment Ratings - Welltower has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold) and a VGM Score of B, indicating a moderate investment outlook [13] - The company has a Momentum Style Score of A, with shares increasing by 0.5% over the past four weeks [13] Earnings Estimates - Five analysts have revised their earnings estimates upwards for fiscal 2025, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate increasing by $0.08 to $5.03 per share [13] - Welltower has an average earnings surprise of 4.2%, suggesting a positive trend in earnings performance [13] Investment Considerations - With a solid Zacks Rank and top-tier Momentum and VGM Style Scores, Welltower is recommended for investors' consideration [14]
Welltower (WELL) Up 0.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
ZACKS· 2025-05-28 16:35
Core Viewpoint - Welltower's shares have increased by approximately 0.7% since the last earnings report, underperforming the S&P 500, raising questions about the sustainability of this trend leading up to the next earnings release [1]. Group 1: Earnings and Estimates - Fresh estimates for Welltower have trended upward over the past month, indicating positive sentiment among analysts [2]. - The stock has a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the coming months [4]. Group 2: VGM Scores - Welltower has a Growth Score of B and a Momentum Score of A, but a Value Score of D, placing it in the bottom 40% for value investment strategy [3]. - The aggregate VGM Score for Welltower is C, which is relevant for investors not focused on a single strategy [3]. Group 3: Industry Performance - Welltower is part of the Zacks REIT and Equity Trust - Other industry, where Prologis has gained 3.4% over the past month [5]. - Prologis reported revenues of $1.99 billion for the last quarter, reflecting a year-over-year increase of 8.7%, with an EPS of $0.63 compared to $1.28 a year ago [5].
Welltower Stock Rises 20.4% Year to Date: Will it Continue to Rise?
ZACKS· 2025-05-20 18:46
Core Viewpoint - Welltower (WELL) has outperformed the healthcare REIT industry, with a year-to-date stock price increase of 20.4% compared to the industry's 5.4% growth [1]. Company Overview - Welltower owns a diversified portfolio of healthcare real estate assets across the U.S., Canada, and the U.K. The aging population and increasing healthcare expenditure among senior citizens position the company's senior housing operating (SHO) segment for growth [2]. - The outpatient medical (OM) portfolio is expected to benefit from favorable trends in outpatient visits [2]. Financial Performance - Analysts have a positive outlook on Welltower, currently holding a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold). The Zacks Consensus Estimate for its 2025 funds from operations (FFO) per share has been revised upward by nearly 1% to $4.99 [3]. Growth Drivers - The senior citizens' population is projected to rise, leading to increased healthcare expenditures. The muted new supply in the industry is also a favorable factor. Welltower anticipates a 16.5-21.5% growth in same-store SHO net operating income by 2025 [5]. - The company is optimizing its OM portfolio and strengthening relationships with health system partners, which is expected to enhance long-term growth [6]. Strategic Acquisitions - Welltower is pursuing growth through acquisitions, including a contract to acquire the Amica Senior Lifestyles portfolio for C$4.6 billion, expected to close in late 2025 or early 2026. The company has also disposed of assets, completing property dispositions of $381 million and loan repayments of $123 million in Q1 2025 [7]. Financial Health - As of March 31, 2025, Welltower has $8.6 billion in available liquidity, including $3.6 billion in cash and a fully utilized $5 billion line of credit. The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio improved to 3.33X from 4.03X year-over-year, with a well-laddered debt maturity profile averaging 5.8 years [8]. Market Outlook - Given the positive factors outlined, the upward trend in Welltower's stock price is expected to continue in the near term [10].
3 Reasons Why Growth Investors Shouldn't Overlook Welltower (WELL)
ZACKS· 2025-05-12 17:50
Core Viewpoint - Investors are seeking growth stocks that can deliver above-average growth and exceptional returns, but identifying such stocks is challenging due to inherent volatility and risks [1] Group 1: Company Overview - Welltower (WELL) is identified as a promising growth stock, supported by a favorable Growth Score and a top Zacks Rank [2] - The company operates in the senior housing and health care real estate investment trust sector, which is currently positioned for growth [3] Group 2: Earnings Growth - Welltower's historical EPS growth rate is 3.8%, but projected EPS growth for this year is 15.5%, significantly outperforming the industry average of 0.5% [4] Group 3: Asset Utilization - Welltower has an asset utilization ratio (sales-to-total-assets ratio) of 0.17, indicating it generates $0.17 in sales for every dollar in assets, which is higher than the industry average of 0.13 [5] Group 4: Sales Growth - The company's sales are expected to grow by 23.5% this year, compared to the industry average of 1.8%, highlighting its strong sales growth potential [6] Group 5: Earnings Estimate Revisions - There has been a positive trend in earnings estimate revisions for Welltower, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate for the current year increasing by 0.5% over the past month [7] Group 6: Investment Potential - Welltower has achieved a Growth Score of B and a Zacks Rank of 2, indicating it is a solid choice for growth investors and has the potential to outperform [9]
Key Reasons to Add Welltower Stock to Your Portfolio Right Now
ZACKS· 2025-05-05 18:30
Core Viewpoint - Welltower Inc. is positioned for growth due to its diversified healthcare real estate portfolio, favorable industry dynamics, restructuring efforts, and a strong balance sheet [1][2]. Group 1: Company Performance - Analysts are optimistic about Welltower, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 FFO per share increasing by $0.03 to $4.98 [2]. - Welltower's shares have appreciated by 13.8% over the past six months, contrasting with a 1.9% decline in the industry [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The aging population and rising healthcare expenditures among senior citizens are expected to drive demand for Welltower's seniors' housing operating (SHO) portfolio [3]. - A supply-demand imbalance is anticipated to lead to sustained occupancy growth in Welltower's portfolio in 2025 and beyond [4]. Group 3: Financial Metrics - In Q1 2025, the same-store net operating income (NOI) for the SHO portfolio increased by 21.7%, marking the tenth consecutive quarter of over 20% growth [5]. - Management projects same-store SHO NOI growth for 2025 to be between 16.5% and 21.5%, supported by a 9% revenue increase and a 350 basis points rise in occupancy [5]. Group 4: Strategic Initiatives - Welltower is enhancing its outpatient medical (OM) portfolio by optimizing operations and forming partnerships with health systems, which is expected to support long-term growth [6]. - The company has undertaken restructuring efforts that have attracted top operators, improving cash flow quality [7]. Group 5: Balance Sheet Strength - As of March 31, 2025, Welltower had $8.6 billion in available liquidity, with a net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio of 3.33X, down from 4.03X year-over-year [9]. - The company's debt maturities are well-structured, with a weighted average maturity of 5.8 years, enhancing financial flexibility [9]. Group 6: Credit Ratings - S&P Global Ratings and Moody's Investor Service upgraded Welltower's credit ratings to "A-" and "A3," respectively, both with stable outlooks [10].
Welltower(WELL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 18:32
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported approximately 19% growth in FFO per share, raising the midpoint of full year FFO guidance by $0.10 to $4.97 [3][25] - Net income attributable to common stockholders was $0.40 per diluted share, with normalized funds from operations (FFO) at $1.2 per diluted share, representing 18.8% year-over-year growth [25][30] - Total portfolio same store NOI growth was 12.9% year-over-year [25][30] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The seniors housing operating business reported a same store NOI growth of 21.7% [12][13] - Same store revenue growth for the senior housing operating portfolio was 9.6%, driven by 400 basis points of occupancy growth and nearly 6% RevPAR growth [14][25] - The outpatient medical segment posted 2.7% year-over-year same store NOI growth, with same store occupancy at 94.5% [12][13] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue growth was consistent across regions, with the U.S. at 9.8%, the UK at 9.3%, and Canada at 8.3% [14] - The company achieved nearly 300 basis points of year-over-year margin expansion, with revenue growth outpacing unit expense growth [14][25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company launched a private fund management business and advanced its proprietary Welltower business system [4] - The focus is on augmenting growth through market share gains with best-in-class operating partners and enhancing operational efficiency [6][12] - The company aims to maintain a strong balance sheet and liquidity to navigate macroeconomic uncertainties while capitalizing on investment opportunities [11][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the demand-supply backdrop for the senior living sector, anticipating a multi-year period of attractive growth despite macroeconomic uncertainties [6][7] - The company is cautious about rising macroeconomic risks, particularly as it approaches the summer leasing season [6][34] - Management emphasized the importance of operational excellence and the resilience of the need-based private pay nature of their product [15][36] Other Important Information - The company completed $2,660,000,000 of new investments in the first quarter, surpassing the total acquisition volume for all of last year [17] - The company received credit upgrades from S&P and Moody's, reflecting its strong balance sheet and improved risk profile [28][29] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the business system overlay impact margins and CapEx control? - Management highlighted that the Welltower Business System aims to streamline operations and minimize friction, which could lead to significant margin expansion [40][44] Question: Can you elaborate on the data science platform's impact on transaction velocity? - The proprietary platform allows for a neighborhood-level view of assets, significantly reducing the time to provide initial pricing feedback and close deals [48][50] Question: How does the company view sustained growth given its current size? - Management believes that as an operating company, growth can be positively correlated with size due to network effects and data capture [58][60] Question: What are the long-term expectations for occupancy growth? - Management expects a long journey towards higher occupancy levels, with current performance indicating positive trends [70][72] Question: How does the company plan to navigate potential economic disruptions? - Management is optimistic about the business's resilience and believes it will perform better than other real estate sectors during economic downturns [78][80]
Welltower's Q1 FFO & Revenues Beat Estimates, Same Store NOI Rises
ZACKS· 2025-04-29 17:25
Core Insights - Welltower Inc. (WELL) reported first-quarter 2025 normalized funds from operations (FFO) per share of $1.20, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.15, and reflecting an 18.8% year-over-year improvement [1] - The company recorded revenues of $2.42 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.37 billion, with a year-over-year increase of 30.3% [2] - Welltower increased its guidance for 2025 normalized FFO per share to a range of $4.90-$5.04, up from the previous range of $4.79-$4.95, with the Zacks Consensus Estimate at $4.95 [9] Financial Performance - The same-store revenues in the seniors housing operating (SHO) portfolio increased by 9.6% year over year, supported by a 400 basis points growth in average occupancy and a 5.9% increase in Revenue per Occupied Room (RevPOR) [3] - The total portfolio's same-store net operating income (SSNOI) grew by 12.9% year over year, with the SHO portfolio's SSNOI growth at 21.7% [3] - Property operating expenses rose by 33.3% to $1.46 billion year over year [5] Investment Activities - Welltower's pro-rata gross investments in the first quarter totaled $2.8 billion, including $2.7 billion in acquisitions and loan funding, and $142 million in development funding [4] - The company completed nine development projects with a total pro-rata investment of $475 million and property dispositions of $381 million [4] Balance Sheet and Liquidity - As of March 31, 2025, Welltower had $8.6 billion in available liquidity, which includes $3.6 billion in cash and restricted cash, along with full capacity under its $5 billion line of credit [6] Credit Rating - On March 31, 2025, S&P upgraded Welltower's credit rating to "A-" with a stable outlook, while Moody's upgraded it to "A3" with a stable outlook [7] Dividend Information - Welltower announced a cash dividend of 67 cents per share for the first quarter of 2025, marking the company's 216th consecutive quarterly cash dividend payout [8] Future Guidance - The company anticipates an average blended SSNOI growth of 10.00-13.25% for 2025, with specific growth expectations for various segments [9] - Welltower expects to fund an additional $340 million in development for ongoing projects in 2025 [10]
Welltower, Inc. (WELL) Q1 2025 Earnings Conference Call Transcript
Seeking Alpha· 2025-04-29 16:51
Core Viewpoint - Welltower, Inc. is conducting its Q1 2025 earnings conference call, focusing on business trends and capital allocation priorities [1][2][4]. Group 1: Company Overview - The conference call is led by key executives including the Chief Legal Officer, CEO, COO, Chief Information Officer, and CFO [1][2]. - The call includes a question and answer session following the initial remarks from the executives [2]. Group 2: Forward-Looking Statements - The company acknowledges that certain statements made during the call may be considered forward-looking and are based on reasonable assumptions, but actual results may differ [3].
Welltower(WELL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-04-29 16:25
Financial Performance & Guidance - Welltower reported normalized FFO per diluted share growth of 19% year-over-year, and increased the midpoint of full-year FFO guidance by $0.10 to $4.97 per diluted share[13] - Same store SHO portfolio net operating income (NOI) growth has exceeded 20% for the 10th consecutive quarter, with occupancy growth of 400 bps representing the highest year-over-year growth outside of the post-COVID recovery[13] - The company increased FY2025 Same Store NOI Guidance for the total portfolio to a range of 10% to 13.25%[16] - The Seniors Housing Operating (SHO) portfolio is expected to drive SS NOI growth of 19% at the midpoint, with revenue growth of 9% driven by higher occupancy and RevPOR growth[19] Investment & Capital Activity - Year-to-date investment activity reached $6.2 billion of pro rata gross acquisitions and loan funding, including nearly $2.7 billion closed in Q1 and an additional $3.6 billion of announced investment activity[13] - Welltower's balance sheet is well-positioned with net debt to Adjusted EBITDA of 3.3x and nearly $9 billion of total near-term liquidity at the end of 1Q2025[13] - The company has completed $22 billion of investments since 4Q2020 at attractive high-single-digit to low-double-digit unlevered IRRs[40] Market Trends & Demographics - Seniors housing construction starts are down to GFC levels and represent a ~90% decline from peak, indicating constrained supply through 2030+[94] - The US 80+ population is expected to grow at a CAGR of 4.8% from 2025-2030, compared to 1.7% from 2010-2024, driving increased demand for seniors housing[88, 104] Strategic Initiatives - Welltower is acquiring Amica Senior Lifestyles from Ontario Teachers' Pension Plan for C$4.6 billion, expecting a double-digit unlevered IRR[123] - Annualized NOI Increase Since NNN Conversion of 37 properties is +$39M[68]
Welltower(WELL) - 2025 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-04-29 13:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported approximately 19% growth in FFO per share, raising the midpoint of full year FFO guidance by $0.10 to $4.97 [5][31] - Net income attributable to common stockholders was $0.40 per diluted share, with normalized funds from operations (FFO) at $1.2 per diluted share, representing 18.8% year-over-year growth [31] - The net debt to adjusted EBITDA ratio declined to 3.3 times, a record low for the company [15][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The seniors housing operating business reported a same-store net operating income (NOI) growth of 21.7% [16] - Same-store revenue growth for the senior housing operating portfolio was 9.6%, with occupancy growth of 400 basis points year-over-year [18] - The outpatient medical segment posted a 2.7% year-over-year same-store NOI growth [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Revenue growth was consistent across regions: U.S. at 9.8%, UK at 9.3%, and Canada at 8.3% [18] - The company achieved nearly 300 basis points of year-over-year margin expansion during the quarter [18] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is transitioning from a healthcare real estate deal shop to a data science and technology-driven operating company [6][7] - A focus on reducing leverage and bolstering liquidity was recognized with credit rating upgrades from S&P and Moody's to A- and A3, respectively [7][15] - The company aims to enhance growth through strategic acquisitions, with a total of CAD 6.2 billion in pro-rata acquisition activity announced for the year [11][24] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the demand-supply backdrop for the senior living sector, anticipating a multi-year period of attractive growth [9] - There is awareness of rising macroeconomic uncertainty, particularly as the summer leasing season approaches [10][40] - The company believes that the need-based private pay nature of its product positions it well to outperform other real estate asset classes [10][82] Other Important Information - The company completed $2.66 billion of new investments in the first quarter, surpassing the total acquisition volume for all of last year [23] - The Amica acquisition is expected to close at year-end and is anticipated to enhance the company's portfolio significantly [24][25] Q&A Session Summary Question: How does the business system overlay impact margins and CapEx control? - Management highlighted that the Welltower Business System aims to streamline operations and minimize friction, which could lead to significant margin expansion [46][50] Question: Can you elaborate on the data science platform's impact on transaction velocity? - The proprietary platform allows for rapid analysis of micro markets, significantly reducing the time to provide pricing feedback and close deals [55][60] Question: What is the long-term outlook for occupancy growth? - Management believes that optimizing the business with fewer operating partners will lead to lower frictional vacancy and higher occupancy levels over time [76] Question: How does the company view the current macroeconomic environment's impact on senior housing? - Management expressed confidence that senior housing will perform better than other real estate sectors, even in the face of potential economic disruptions [82] Question: What is the strategy regarding capital allocation in the current market? - The company is focused on positioning rather than predicting, aiming to take advantage of market opportunities while maintaining a strong balance sheet [42][88]