晨会纪要 2024-10-17 | --- | --- | |------------------------------------|---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 2024 年 10 月 17 日 星期四 | | 【摘要】 | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | 加拿大蒙特利尔银行:重申DraftKings(DKNG.US)评级,由优于大市调整至优于大市评级, 目标价由48.00美元调整至 | | 48.00美元(智通财经) | | | | 加拿大投资银行集团:维持Penumbra(PEN.US)评级,由买入调整至买入评级, 目标价由176.00美元调整至235.00美元 | | (智通财经) | | | | 加拿大投资银行集团:维持Hillman Solns(HLMN.US ...

晨会纪要 2024-10-16 | --- | --- | |--------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | 2024 年 10 月 16 日 星期三 | | 【摘要】 | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | 美联储戴利:自2023年经历银行动荡以来,已经过去了18个月(格隆汇) | | | 美联储戴利:美联储是经济状况的接受者(格隆汇) | | | 美股异动 \| 星辉新发展(SFHG.US)登陆美股市场 开盘触及熔断(智通财经) | | | | 小摩:维持Freeport-McMoRan(FCX.US)评级,由中性调整至中性评级, 目标价由53.00美元调整至55.00美元(智通财经 | | ) | | | | 小摩:维持Coty(COTY.US)评级,由中性调整至中性评级, 目标价由11.00美元调整至 ...

晨会纪要 2024-10-15 | --- | --- | --- | |---------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 2024 年 10 月 15 日 星期二 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | | 中国人民银行副行长宣昌能出席金砖国家财长和央行行长会议(格隆汇) | | | | 意大利/德国10年期国债收益率利差收创3月份以来最窄水平(格隆汇) | | | | | 印度外交部:决定驱逐6名加拿大外交官,要求他们在2024年10月19日晚上11:59之前离开印度(格隆汇) | | | 埃及央行预计本周将维持利率不变(格隆汇) | | | | 印度驱逐6名加拿大外交官员(格隆汇) | | | 快讯(第一财经) ...

晨会纪要 2024-10-14 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------------|----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------| | | | 2024 年 10 月 14 日 星期一 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | | 美股期货亚市盘初走低,纳指期货跌0.2%(格隆汇) | | | | 美联储11月降息25BP的概率为95.6% 不降息概率4.4%(格隆汇) | | | | 六九一二(301592.SZ)网上定价发行中签率为0.0172%(智通财经) | | | | 苏州天脉(301626.SZ)IPO定价21.23元/股 于10月15日开启申购(智通财经) | | | | 四部门:精准支持绿色发展和低碳转型重点领域(中国证券报) | | | | 逾百家公司披露三季度业绩预告 超八成预喜(中国证券报) | | | | ...

Summary of Key Points Core Insights - The report highlights the downward trend in inflation as emphasized by Federal Reserve official Goolsbee, indicating a potential easing of monetary policy in the near future [1] - The mortgage rates in the U.S. have risen to 6.32% for 30-year fixed loans, which may impact housing market dynamics and consumer spending [1] - The European bond market is experiencing a steepening yield curve, with particular attention on the French budget proposal, suggesting potential shifts in fiscal policy [1] Company Ratings Adjustments - Peabody Energy (BTU.US) rating maintained by Montreal Bank, with the target price adjusted from $25.00 to $26.00 [1] - Delek US Holdings (DK.US) rating maintained by Scotiabank, with the target price adjusted from $25.00 to $22.00 [1] - CVR Energy (CVI.US) rating maintained by Scotiabank, with the target price adjusted from $25.00 [1] - Prudential Financial (PRU.US) rating maintained by B of A Securities, with the target price adjusted from $109.00 to $118.00 [1] - HF Sinclair (DINO.US) rating maintained by Scotiabank, with the target price adjusted from $66.00 to $57.00 [1] - Principal Financial Group (PFG.US) rating maintained by B of A Securities, with the target price adjusted from $94.00 to $91.00 [1] - RenaissanceRe Holdings (RNR.US) rating maintained by B of A Securities, with the target price adjusted from $364.00 to $391.00 [1]

Summary of Key Points Core Insights - The report indicates that the Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 25 basis points this year, with decisions being made based on the circumstances of each meeting [1][2][3] - Industrial metals have experienced a decline, reflecting broader market trends [1] Company Ratings and Price Targets - Guggenheim maintains a "Buy" rating for Ionis Pharmaceuticals (IONS.US), adjusting the target price from $70.00 to $65.00 [1] - Goldman Sachs retains a "Neutral" rating for C.H. Robinson Worldwide (CHRW.US), changing the target price from $90.00 to $97.00 [1] - Goldman Sachs also keeps a "Buy" rating for JB Hunt Transport Services (JBHT.US), revising the target price from $193.00 to $189.00 [1] Market Activity - The report notes that the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreement (RRP) usage was $343.448 billion on October 9, up from $325.355 billion the previous trading day [1] - There is a divergence among Federal Reserve officials regarding the 50 basis points rate cut discussed in September [1]

晨会纪要 2024-10-09 | --- | --- | --- | |-----------------------------------------------------|-------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | 2024 年 10 月 09 日 星期三 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | 法国央行:预计法国三季度GDP增速为0.45%(格隆汇) | | | | EIA报告:预计2024年布伦特原油价格为81美元/桶(格隆汇) | | | | | | 瑞银:维持Evercore(EVR.US)评级,由中性调整至中性评级, 目标价由255.00美元调整至265.00美元(智通财经) | | | | 瑞银:维持Goldman Sachs Gr(GS.US)评级,由买入调整至买入评级, 目标价由550.00美元调整至560.00美元(智通财 | | 经) | | | | | | 瑞银: ...

Summary of Key Points Core Insights - The report highlights ongoing inflation challenges in Europe, with the European Central Bank indicating that the fight against inflation is not over and core inflation remains high [1] - Canadian investment banks have adjusted their ratings for several companies, including Rivian Automotive, Edwards Lifesciences, and Helen Of Troy, reflecting changes in target prices [1] Company Ratings and Target Prices - Rivian Automotive (RIVN.US) rating maintained at "Buy," with the target price adjusted from $30.00 to $28.00 [1] - Edwards Lifesciences (EW.US) rating maintained at "Hold," with the target price adjusted from $77.00 to $66.00 [1] - Helen Of Troy (HELE.US) rating maintained at "Buy," with the target price unchanged at $84.00 [1] Economic Indicators - The Central Bank of Brazil has raised its economic growth and inflation forecasts for 2024, indicating a more optimistic outlook for the Brazilian economy [1] - The usage of the Federal Reserve's overnight reverse repurchase agreements (RRP) was reported at $322.948 billion, down from $330.012 billion in the previous trading day [1] Market Movements - WTI crude oil futures rose by 3.7%, while Brent crude oil regained the $80 per barrel mark [1] - Spot gold prices fell by over 0.4%, and New York silver futures dropped by approximately 1.4% [1]

Economic Indicators - The manufacturing PMI for September is 49.8%, a significant increase of 0.7 percentage points from August, reversing the downward trend since Q2[3] - The comprehensive PMI output index rose by 0.3 percentage points to 50.4%, indicating overall economic improvement[3] Manufacturing Sector Performance - The production index surged by 1.4 percentage points to 51.2%, indicating accelerated manufacturing activity[4] - The new orders index increased by 1.0 percentage points to 49.9%, reflecting improved market demand[4] - The PMI for large, medium, and small enterprises are 50.6%, 49.2%, and 48.5% respectively, with small enterprises showing a notable improvement of 2.1 percentage points[6] Industry Insights - High-tech manufacturing and equipment manufacturing sectors continue to lead, with PMI indices rising by 1.3 and 0.8 percentage points to 53.0% and 52.0% respectively[6] - The strategic emerging industries PMI rose significantly by 4.5 percentage points to 53.3%, marking a return to expansion after three months of contraction[6] Future Outlook - Continued implementation of policies aimed at high-quality development is expected to enhance economic conditions, particularly in real estate and related sectors[10]

晨会纪要 2024-09-30 | --- | --- | --- | |----------------------|-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|----------------------------| | | | 2024 年 09 月 30 日 星期一 | | 【摘要】 | | | | 【今日要闻】 | | | | | 印尼与马来西亚续签本币互换协议(格隆汇) | | | | WTI原油期货开盘涨0.5%,报68.55美元/桶(格隆汇) | | | | 美国加州州长否决AI安全法案 寻求全面监管框架(格隆汇) | | | | 严跃进:一线城市调整住房限购政策将提振楼市信心(格隆汇) | | | | 美联储11月降息50BP的概率为52.8%(格隆汇) | | | | 平安银行:正抓紧制定批量调整存量房贷利率实施方案,拟10月31日前完成调整(第一财经) | | | | 多重利好叠加 信托板块掀起涨停潮(上海证券报) | | | ...