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China Industrial Tech_ Considering further potential upside; quick thoughts on policy easing scenarios
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
_ 30 September 2024 | 9:51AM CST | --- | --- | |---------------------------------------------------------------------|-------| | | | | China Industrial Tech | | | Considering further potential upside; quick thoughts on | | | policy easing scenarios | | Our China Industrial Tech coverage's share prices rallied by 16% on average over the past week. On Sep 24, PBoC, CSRC and NFRA unveiled a set of easing policies at a joint press conference. On Sep 26, President Xi chaired the September Politburo meeting and p ...
US Economics Analyst_ Lower Oil Prices_ Another Reason to Expect Slowing Inflation and Healthy Growth (Walker)
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
30 September 2024 | 7:45AM EDT _ n Oil prices have fallen $15 per barrel since July and $20 since April. Our oil strategists expect prices to rebound modestly over the next couple of quarters as prices converge to their estimate of fair value but see risks to the medium-term path as skewed to the downside. In this Analyst, we take a fresh look at what lower oil prices mean for growth and inflation. Jan Hatzius +1(212)902-0394 | jan.hatzius@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Alec Phillips +1(202)637-3746 | alec. ...
GOAL Kickstart_ China catch-up - tracking cross-asset repricing in the bullish reversal
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
_ 30 September 2024 | 8:57PM BST | --- | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ...
China A-shares_ 3 thematic trends_ SPE in Semis; Foldable in Smartphones; AI in Software; Buy ideas on Catalysts & Valuation ... (1)
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
1 October 2024 | 4:14AM HKT _ China A-shares: 3 thematic trends: SPE in Semis; Foldable in Smartphones; AI in Software; Buy ideas on Catalysts & Valuation | --- | --- | |----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|------------------------------- ...
China Real Estate_ Rebound not reversal, fiscal policy key to watch
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
1 October 2024 | 4:14PM CST _ China Real Estate Rebound not reversal, fiscal policy key to watch In the evening of Sep-29/30, Shanghai, Guangzhou, Shenzhen and Beijing governments announced easing measures (Exhibit 1). We think the timing of these policy easing measures in T1 cities came in line with market expectation post central authorities' supportive stance to the property sector, though the magnitude of policy easing against market expectation was slightly divergent (Guangzhou/Shenzhen in line and Bei ...
US Autos & Industrial Tech_ Platforms & Power_ driving more sustainable profitability; Upgrade F to Buy
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
30 September 2024 | 9:01PM EDT _ US Autos & Industrial Tech Platforms & Power: driving more sustainable profitability; Upgrade F to Buy We believe that the key to success in the automotive industry will increasingly come from mastering both the platform and power aspects of vehicles, including for electric and hybrid vehicles. And this platform and power theme extends beyond autos to broadly incorporate industrial and technology infrastructure. What do we mean by platforms & power? n Platforms: By platforms ...
Oil Comment_ Q&A on OPEC Supply, the Middle East, and China Stimulus
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
_ 29 September 2024 | 7:06PM EDT Oil Comment: Q&A on OPEC Supply, the Middle East, and China Stimulus n Oil prices are down about 3% over the past week despite rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and despite China stimulus. We believe that this price action reflects that the geopolitical risk premium remains limited and market expectations of potentially higher oil supply following press reports about Libya and Saudi Arabia. To be clear, neither report has changed our base case for supply. n We ...
Precious Analyst_ Nowcasting 'Secret' Gold Buyers; Raising our Gold Price Forecast
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
_ 30 September 2024 | 4:09PM BST Precious Analyst Nowcasting 'Secret' Gold Buyers; Raising our Gold Price Forecast n We raise our gold price forecast from $2,700/toz to $2,900/toz for early 2025 for two reasons. First, our economists now look for faster declines in short-term interest rates in the West and China, and we recently showed that the gold market doesn't fully price in the rates boost to Western ETF holdings backed by physical gold yet, which tends to be gradual. Second, our new nowcast shows that ...
Americas Technology_ Internet_ Updating Our Top 10 Industry Themes & Key Coverage Sub-Sector Debates
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
27 September 2024 | 4:06PM EDT _ Americas Technology: Internet: Updating Our Top 10 Industry Themes & Key Coverage Sub-Sector Debates As we enter the last quarter of 2024, we take the opportunity to refresh our top 10 Internet industry themes for the next 12 months. While we refresh our themes with industry data around end demand trends, forward forecasts and key learnings from Q2'24 (link) and our recently concluded 2024 Communacopia +Technology Conference (link), we make no changes to the actual underlyin ...
Greater China Semis_ August_ IC production 18 YoY
standard chartered· 2024-10-07 16:08
29 September 2024 | 6:12PM HKT _ Greater China Semis: August: IC production +18% YoY; IC import volume +15% YoY | --- | --- | |-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------|-------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | Allen Chang +852-2978-2930 \| allen.k.chang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. | | | Verena Je ...