Summary of the Conference Call on China Power Semiconductor and Silicon Carbide Sectors Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Power Semiconductor and Silicon Carbide (SiC) sectors** and provides an updated outlook for 2025, including demand dynamics and earnings estimates for key companies in the sector [2][6]. Key Companies Discussed - **SICC (SiC substrate)**: Downgraded from Overweight (OW) to Neutral - **StarPower**: Neutral rating maintained - **United Nova**: Neutral rating maintained - **NCE Power**: Neutral rating maintained - **CR Micro**: Neutral rating maintained [2][4]. Core Insights and Arguments 1. **Demand Outlook**: - Mixed demand outlook for Chinese power semiconductor companies in 2025: - Continued strength in **China's EV growth** with expected NEV shipments growth of **24% in 2025** and **36% in 2024** [6]. - Limited growth in **industrial and renewables demand** despite a sluggish 2024 [6]. - Mild growth in **consumer demand** following strong growth in 2024 [6]. 2. **Power Semiconductors**: - Companies will remain flexible in product pricing to drive shipment growth, especially in the auto market, due to: - Abundant industry capacity - High bargaining power of auto customers - Active competition from international peers [6]. - Pricing erosion may offset end market growth and suppress margins [6]. - Global revenue for power SiC devices grew mid-teens in 2024, a significant slowdown from **84% growth in 2023**, with an expected **20% growth in 2025** [6]. 3. **Stock Calls**: - **SICC**: Downgraded to Neutral due to lingering competition and high valuation (43x 2026E P/E). Expected to ramp up 8" substrate business but faces potential commoditization risk in the longer term [6][13]. - **StarPower**: Earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 are **10% and 19% below consensus**, respectively, due to lower revenue and gross margin [6]. - **United Nova**: Fundamentals improvement is on track, but concerns exist regarding ongoing losses and share count dilution [6]. - **NCE Power**: Fair risk-reward profile noted [6]. - **CR Micro**: Awaiting better visibility on demand outlook or profitability [6]. Financial Estimates and Revisions - **SICC**: - Revenue estimates for 2024E, 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E revised down by **16%, 21%, 29%, and 35%** respectively [14]. - Projected revenue growth of **33% CAGR** from 2024-2027, driven by technology leadership and market growth [13]. - Expected gross margin to peak at **29-30% in 2025** [13]. - **StarPower**: - Revenue estimates for 2024E, 2025E, and 2026E show a decline compared to consensus [9]. - **United Nova**: - Revenue estimates remain stable, but operating losses are a concern [9]. Pricing Trends - Anticipated price reductions for both **6" and 8" substrates** due to competitive pressures and market dynamics [14]. - Significant price decline of **30-40% for 6" substrates** during 2024, with continued competitive pressure expected [14]. Additional Insights - The **SiC device market** is projected to account for **10% of total discrete semiconductor TAM in 2024** [38]. - The growth rate of the power SiC device TAM is expected to influence SICC's substrate revenue growth, with a projected **40% growth for SICC's n-type substrate revenue in 2025** [42][43]. Conclusion - The report indicates a cautious outlook for the China power semiconductor sector, with specific challenges related to pricing, competition, and demand dynamics. The downgrades reflect a more conservative view on growth potential amidst these challenges.

有α细菌就包括获得相当于两片大宗养的细菌与环细菌的单体共聚而成的那COP的话它其实就是由环细菌单体本身单聚而成的这么一个聚合物所以这是对于COC跟COP最简单的一个定义的解释从另外一点来讲的话最关键的一点就是对它们的两个可能就是像刚才提到的环细菌单体也就是业内俗称的将菌变细这一块 那它可能是后面也会提到可能是对于整个这个材料体系当中也是比较关键的一环吧所以这个是对于它简单的一个定义层面的一个解释那从这个共机物的这个共机物或者说单机物的这个本身的性能上来讲的话它最为突出的可能是在光学性能这块比较突出那综合性能的话包括像它的透明性高双折射率包括说啊其他的绝缘性啊生物性能性这块其实是有非常多优良一些特性的 所以就是从具体的这个应用领域来讲的话就是应用在包括光学包括包装以及医疗等其他的一些更广泛的这些领域里面其中当然其他特征最明显的其实就是在光学这一块是应用最广或者说性能的这个性感染性能体现的更明显的一点那从具体这个数据层面来看的话就是国内这个消费结构来看的话它在光学当中的这个占比大概是能占到53左右 那其次的话就是像包装大概是能占到25另外的话就是医疗这一块是能占到将近15个点这一块其他的一些领域只有6%左右就是目 ...

各位投资人早上好这个我们今天早上也是专门拆这个很早的时间给大家更新一下最新的一个基本面的一个邮运的运价的一个进展那对于可能之前可能不了解的一些这个投资人来讲的话我这里这个简要的做一个可能上周情况的一个概述那上周其实是我们说这个整个邮运基本面有两个最重要的事件第一个的话就是这个 山东港口宣布的这个就是也是外媒的肖像山东港口这边有提到说是要禁止受美国在美国制裁名单上的船去靠港那这是第一个事情第二个事情是在上周时间的美国时间中午那是美国财政部是新发了一轮这个对于涉及俄罗斯油品贸易的这么一批的这个制裁名单这里面的话重点的话是两点 第一点是这次的制裁名单又新覆盖了一百八十多个涉俄贸易的传播这是一个然后再一个的话是再一个的话就是说这次的贸易破天荒会气压入到了实际的俄欧贸易中的两个环节其中最重要的是港口首次被纳入到美国人的制裁名单其实这其实然后同时的话像俄企 俄罗斯两个最大的油气出口商俄罗斯的出口商其实也是上到制裁名单之上这里面的话其实我们会发现本轮制裁包括一些中和的情况就是说有两个点一个是我们说表面上看到的180艘船的广度因为之前的就是在这个180艘之前当然也是在12月份美国有加过两次名单之前的名单才一共也是只是有个25 ...

January 8, 2025 11:36 AM GMT 本文档仅供上海信鱼私募基金管理有限公司18860455898研究使用，请勿外传 SICC Co Ltd | Asia Pacific M Update China BEST Conference Takeaways SICC attended our conference, during which management shared that: Morgan Stanley Taiwan Limited+ Ray Wu, CFA Equity Analyst Ray.Wu@morganstanley.com +886 2 2730-2871 SICC Co Ltd (688234.SS, 688234 CH) Greater China Technology Semiconductors | China | Stock Rating | | | Overweight | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | Industry View | | | In-Line | | | Price target | | | Rm ...

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 USA | Digital Infrastructure 2025 Digital Infrastructure Outlook — Data Center Mania; Moving to Hold on CCI We are in the very early innings of data center demand driven by AI. We expect power limitations, supply chain bottlenecks on new construction, and continued increases in market rents. For Towers, domestic carrier capex investment in 5G has disappointed. Our top picks into '25 are DLR for Data Centers and AMT for Towers. We are downgrading CCI to a Hold, as a sale of the F ...

更多资料加入知识星球：水木调研纪要 关注公众号：水木纪要 22 Nov 2024 03:42:22 ET │ 9 pages China Steel Takeaways from Graphite Electrode Expert Call with ICCSINO CITI'S TAKE We hosted a graphite electrode expert call on Nov 22 with Ms Xu Yilin, Graphite Electrode Analyst, Mr, Qian Yi, EAF Analyst and Mr Qiao Quan, Needle Coke Analyst, who shared their take on the graphite electrode supply chain market. Domestic steel prices are expected to consolidate at the bottom and fluctuate within a range. ICCSINO has high conviction that EAF cou ...

Key Takeaways Industry Overview - **Industry**: Asia Pacific Technology Hardware - **Coverage Universe**: Greater China Technology Hardware Company Specific - **Company**: Sunny Optical (2382.HK) - **Stock Rating**: Overweight - **Industry View**: In-Line - **Price Target**: HK$72.00 Financial Highlights - **Revenue**: 36,300 million RMB (12/24e) - **Net Income**: 2,618 million RMB (12/24e) - **EPS**: 2.39 RMB (12/24e) Performance Analysis - **Handset CCM**: YTD growth rate decelerated from -1% in Jan-Sep to -5% in Jan-Oct. - **Handset Lenses**: Recorded +17% YTD growth in Jan-Oct. - **Vehicle Lenses**: YTD growth remains stable at 12% in Jan-Oct. Outlook - **Handset CCM**: Weak shipments but ASP and margin recovery expected. - **Handset Lenses**: Resilient performance likely to beat target. - **Vehicle Lenses**: Mix improvement remains a priority. Risks - **Upside Risks**: Improvement in handset lens gross margin, faster-than-expected vehicle lens/module growth, etc. - **Downside Risks**: Component shortages, intense CCM competition, weaker-than-expected handset lens demand, etc. Valuation Methodology - **Base Case**: Residual Income Model (RIM)-derived SOTP methodology. - **Cost of Equity**: 11% - **Growth Rates**: 10%, 8%, and 20% for medium-term, and 3%, 3%, and 3% for long-term. Analysts - **Andy Meng, CFA**: Equity Analyst - **Betty Chen**: Research Associate - **Sharon Shih**: Equity Analyst

在最近的核心观点还有这个近期这个VLCC亿元成本有了一个影响后面详细的付款给我们团队也是克拉丁出身的这个张辉老师做一个这个讲解吧从这个核心的结论来看呢就是VLCC旺季我们看运价其实是有了一个这个如期的反弹啊这个但是呢这个跟之前不一样的小船拉动大船 相比呢其实现在整个这个航运有一个特点的就是大船的运价要比小船要稳这个其实不仅仅体现在这个VLCC游轮里边在这个干洒货里边毫旺角型洒货船也要比这个巴拿马大轮舰型洒货船要强所以现在标的的排序啊我们重新把这个大船放到前面了A股呢就是这个海能跟轮船美股的这个游轮的这个 这个ECO包括这个DHT啊这个甘散的这个喜马拉雅航运和金海洋啊这些我们认为啊就是现在的这个性价比确定性啊还是相对非常高的啊而近期呢这个我们知道只要贸易有套利啊就会有这个创新这个现在我们看过去呢没有足成的原油轮承运成品油的难度会非常大因为它会有这个 呃呃获得一个这个污染的一个问题但是因为我们看成品油的价差是吧这个如果用L2是吧它的成本要是VLCC的两倍甚至三到四倍所以在这个背景下呢就贸易商开创了这个VLCC承运长距离的成品油的这么一个这个 呃情况是吧这个原先呢就是成品油船主要都是有涂层的是吧这个而且部分成品油船 ...

航运市场总结：旺季如期反弹，2024 年 VLCC 市场总结 20240926 摘要 | --- | --- | |-------|--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------| | | | | • ...

大家好 欢迎参加声援红岩交运一周回顾与展望 类RCC随时可能上涨快递终端情况更新展望电话会议目前所有参会者均处于静音状态下面开始布报名字声明声明完毕后主持人可以直接开始发言 谢谢 请参会人员务必注意本次电话会议交流内容仅限参会人员内部参考任何机构或个人不得以任何形式对电话会议任何内容进行泄露或外发请勿以任何方式索要、泄露、散布、转发电话会议纪要任何泄露电话会议纪要等信息的行为均为侵权行为申望洪源研究保留追究泄露转发者法律责任的权利 各位投资者大家好我是身份交易的首席分析师严海今天分两部分由我跟我们这个团队的王业一老师啊就是分别汇报这个航运跟这个快递的情况就是快递我们也刚跑了一些这个加盟商有一些最新的情况还是相对比较重要就是先从这个结论上来讲呢就是近期啊因为这个 衰退交易带来的这个日元偷袭交易其实是已经告于目前来看已经差不多结束了全球的整体的资源品带着航运板块其实是有了一定的一个调整但是从实际的基本面来看其实整个航运市场的供需其实还是相对健康的但是相对的干散邮轮 的这个淡季对吧叠加的这么一个这个衰退预期下其实是让整个板块的这个估值其实是有一定的一个这个呃调整了但是其实我们从长中短期来看呢其实这个呃长中逻辑其实没 ...