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Where Will Hershey Stock Be in 5 Years?
HSYHershey(HSY) The Motley Fool·2024-09-10 14:15

Core Viewpoint - The Hershey Company has faced volatility in its stock performance, currently down over 25% from its record high in early 2023, but there are reasons for a bullish long-term outlook despite recent disappointing results [1]. Group 1: Company Overview - Hershey is a globally recognized leader in chocolate with a history of over 125 years, also owning iconic brands like Reese's, KitKat, Jolly Rancher, and Twizzlers [2]. - The company has expanded into salty snacks with products like SkinnyPop Popcorn and Dot's Pretzels, which are important growth drivers [2]. Group 2: Recent Performance - In Q2 2024, Hershey experienced a 16.7% drop in sales and a 38% decline in earnings per share (EPS) to 1.27comparedtoQ22023[3].Thedeclinewaslargelyattributedtotheimplementationofanewenterprisesoftwaresystemandplannedinventoryadjustments,whiletheNorthAmericansaltysnacksgroupsawa91.27 compared to Q2 2023 [3]. - The decline was largely attributed to the implementation of a new enterprise software system and planned inventory adjustments, while the North American salty snacks group saw a 9% volume increase [3][4]. - Hershey is guiding for 2024 net sales growth of around 2% and expects EPS to be "down slightly" from 9.59 in 2023 [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The company has various strategies to adapt to market changes, including resource allocation and pricing management, with optimism for international market expansion [5]. - Hershey has a strong history of dividend growth, having increased its quarterly dividend rate every year since 1988, with a recent 15% increase to 1.37pershare,yielding2.71.37 per share, yielding 2.7% [5]. - The stock is currently trading at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21, which is below its five-year average of 26, indicating potential undervaluation [6]. Group 4: Long-term Projections - Management targets adjusted annual EPS growth of 6% to 8% over the long term, with predictions that the stock price could reach 300 by 2029, representing approximately 50% upside from current levels [7][8].