Group 1 - In November 2024, the analysis covered the two largest publicly traded sweet-snack conglomerates, Hershey and Mondelēz, with Hershey being the preferred pick, returning 4% to date, while Mondelēz is down [1] - The analyst has over five years of experience in Consulting & Audit Firms, including positions in Valuation, FP&A, and Controlling, indicating a strong academic finance background [1] - The approach is primarily value-oriented, emphasizing that valuation is more indicative of long-term opportunities or risks rather than short- to mid-term timing [1] Group 2 - The article expresses the analyst's own opinions and does not involve any stock, option, or similar derivative positions in the mentioned companies, although there may be plans to initiate a long position in the near future [2] - Seeking Alpha clarifies that past performance does not guarantee future results and that no specific investment recommendations are provided [3]

Seasoned HR Executive Brings 25+ Years of Leadership Experience in Building High-Performing Teams and Modernizing HR OperationsHERSHEY, Pa., Aug. 18, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- The Hershey Company (NYSE: HSY) today announced the appointment of Natalie Rothman as Chief Human Resources Officer, effective August 18, 2025. Rothman will lead Hershey's global human resources function and report to President and Chief Executive Officer Kirk Tanner. Natalie Rothman, Chief Human Resources Officer, The Hershey Company ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in Hershey's stock price is attributed to rising cocoa prices, which have increased by approximately 20% over the past month, impacting costs and margins for the company. However, this situation presents a long-term investment opportunity as the market dynamics are expected to stabilize [3][6]. Company Overview - Hershey's current stock price is $177.97, with a 52-week range between $140.13 and $208.03. The company has a dividend yield of 3.08% and a P/E ratio of 23.63 [2]. - Hershey's market capitalization stands at $35.7 billion, with a gross profit margin of 40.1% and a net income margin of 13.5%, despite the pressures from rising cocoa prices [6]. Financial Metrics - The average net income margin for Hershey is around 17%, indicating potential for recovery as cocoa prices normalize [6]. - The return on invested capital (ROIC) for Hershey is 19.3%, which is above average for U.S. companies, suggesting strong future compounding value for investors [8]. Stock Forecast - Analysts have set a 12-month stock price forecast for Hershey at $168.83, indicating a potential downside of 5.13% from the current price. However, some analysts have provided higher price targets, with Barclays suggesting $190 and DA Davidson valuing it at $188, indicating possible upside [10][11]. - Institutional investors have increased their holdings in Hershey, with Vanguard Group raising its stake by 1.1% to $3.1 billion and Charles Schwab Investment Management increasing its stake by 2.5% to $849.1 million, reflecting growing confidence in the stock [12][13].

Group 1 - Major chocolate companies, including Ferrero and Hershey, have announced price increases for their chocolate products due to rising cocoa prices and increased competition from domestic brands [1][2][3] - Hershey indicated that it would raise average chocolate product prices by double digits, while Nestlé also announced price hikes for its chocolate products [2] - Cocoa prices have surged, with futures reaching $7,380 per ton as of July 23, representing a 121% increase compared to two years ago [3] Group 2 - The increase in cocoa prices is attributed to a decline in international cocoa production and supply chain issues, leading to sustained high prices for over two years [3][5] - The price hikes from major chocolate brands may impact downstream markets, such as restaurants and dessert shops, although the overall effect on the companies' performance is expected to be minimal due to their strong bargaining power [4][5] - The market for chocolate products is becoming increasingly competitive, with the rise of domestic brands and the introduction of chocolate desserts in various retail outlets, putting pressure on traditional chocolate giants [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The current earnings season for U.S. consumer stocks has led to an unusual sell-off, despite strong earnings reports, indicating deep-seated market concerns about the sustainability of consumer strength [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Performance - 83% of the 317 S&P 500 companies that have reported earnings exceeded expectations, yet stock prices generally fell post-announcement [1]. - Companies like Procter & Gamble (PG) and PepsiCo (PEP) experienced initial stock price increases after reporting strong earnings, but ultimately saw declines in the following days [3]. Group 2: Market Sentiment - The prevailing market environment suggests a tactical "sell-the-news" approach, with investors opting to take profits rather than establish new long positions [2]. - Negative earnings surprises have led to significant stock price drops, with companies like Philip Morris International (PM) and Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) facing severe sell-offs following disappointing results [4]. Group 3: Exceptions to the Trend - A few companies managed to resist the broader sell-off, including Las Vegas Sands (LVS), Wingstop (WING), and Builders FirstSource (BLDR), which showed resilience due to specific business strengths [5]. - Despite these exceptions, the overall sentiment in the consumer sector remains pessimistic, with investors wary of future economic uncertainties [5].

Group 1: General Mills - General Mills produces essential food products such as cereal, snack bars, and pet food, with well-known brands like Blue Buffalo and Cheerios [3] - The company is currently facing challenges due to shifting consumer buying habits, resulting in a decline in sales and earnings in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025 [4] - Management is adapting by reformulating products, adjusting the brand portfolio, and controlling costs, which is expected to help the company recover over time [5] - The stock offers an attractive dividend yield of 4.8%, one of the highest in its history, making it a potential buy for long-term investors [6] Group 2: PepsiCo - PepsiCo is a leading player in the beverage and snack industry, holding the position of the No. 2 beverage company and the No. 1 salty snack maker [7] - The company is experiencing challenges as consumer tastes evolve, but it is addressing these issues by acquiring businesses that align with current trends [8] - Despite recent financial struggles, PepsiCo has a strong history of resilience and offers a dividend yield of 3.9%, suggesting potential long-term gains for investors [10] Group 3: Hershey - Hershey primarily produces chocolate, which is not a necessity, making it a more challenging investment compared to other consumer staples [11] - The company is facing significant headwinds due to a sharp increase in cocoa prices, leading to a projected mid-30% drop in earnings for 2025 [12] - Despite the current challenges, there is a long-term demand for Hershey's products, indicating potential for recovery if investors can tolerate short-term uncertainty [13] Group 4: Consumer Staples Industry - Consumer staples companies provide products that are consistently in demand, such as chocolate, soda, and cereal, which are not life necessities but are still widely purchased [14] - The current headwinds faced by these companies are unlikely to change the fundamental nature of their businesses, as they have historically adapted to market trends [14] - With historically high dividend yields from General Mills, PepsiCo, and Hershey, long-term holding strategies may be beneficial for conservative dividend investors [15]

The candy company believes it can alter pricing on most of its products without having a "significant effect on sales," Hershey CEO Michele Buck said. https://t.co/viDA3NWfXv ...

Product Innovation - Hershey and Mondelez are combining Reese's peanut butter cup and Oreo cookie [1] - The combination is in response to consumer demand [1]

Core Insights - The Hershey Company reported second-quarter 2025 results with both top and bottom lines exceeding Zacks Consensus Estimates, although the bottom line showed a year-over-year decline [1][9] - Adjusted earnings per share were $1.21, down 4.7% year over year, while consolidated net sales reached $2,614.7 million, a 26% increase from the previous year [1][2] Financial Performance - Consolidated net sales of $2,614.7 million surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2,548 million, with organic sales rising 26.3% on a constant-currency basis [2] - Adjusted gross margin contracted to 38.1%, down 510 basis points, primarily due to increased commodity and manufacturing costs [4][9] - Selling, marketing, and administrative expenses rose 11.5% year over year, driven by higher advertising and consumer marketing spending [5] - Adjusted operating profit increased 7.1% year over year to $410.6 million, with the operating margin contracting 280 basis points to 15.7% [6] Segment Performance - North America Confectionery segment net sales were $2,085.5 million, up 32.0% year over year, with volume growth attributed to inventory cycling, Easter holiday timing, and early Halloween shipments [7] - The North America Salty Snacks segment reported net sales of $315.5 million, an 8.8% increase, with volume growth and net price realization contributing to this rise [10] - The International segment posted net sales of $213.7 million, reflecting a 4.4% increase, although income decreased by $5.2 million year over year [12] Financial Health - The company ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $912.4 million and long-term debt of $5,176.4 million [13] - Management expects capital expenditure for 2025 to be in the range of $425 million to $450 million [13] Future Outlook - Management anticipates net sales to increase at least 2% in 2025, with adjusted EPS projected between $5.81 and $6, reflecting a significant decline from 2024 [14] - The effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 27%, with tariff expenses anticipated to be around $170 million to $180 million for the full year [15]

Hershey and Mondelez are combining two of their top-selling products—the Reese’s peanut butter cup and the Oreo cookie—in a sugary marriage they say consumers have been begging for https://t.co/NfurOcOQMX https://t.co/UzKs4JZQZP ...