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AvalonBay Communities Stock Up 25% in Six Months: Will It Rise More?
AVBAvalonBay Communities(AVB) ZACKS·2024-09-26 17:46

Core Viewpoint - AvalonBay Communities (AVB) has seen a 25% increase in share price over the past six months, outperforming the industry average of 18.1% [1] Group 1: Company Performance - In its third-quarter update for September 2024, AvalonBay reported an increase in economic occupancy to 95.6% in August, up from 95.5% in July [2] - The company experienced a deceleration in like-term effective rent change, reporting a 3.5% change in August compared to 3.6% in July and 3.7% in the second quarter [6] - Analysts have revised the Zacks Consensus Estimate for AvalonBay's 2024 FFO per share upward to 11.02[1]Group2:GrowthStrategiesAvalonBayisfocusingonhighqualityassetsinmetropolitanareaswithgrowingemploymentinhighwagesectorsandhigherhomeownershipcosts,positioningitselfforgrowth[2]Thecompanyaimstoincreaseitssuburbansubmarketallocationfrom7111.02 [1] Group 2: Growth Strategies - AvalonBay is focusing on high-quality assets in metropolitan areas with growing employment in high-wage sectors and higher home ownership costs, positioning itself for growth [2] - The company aims to increase its suburban submarket allocation from 71% to 80% and its expansion region allocation from 8% to 25% [3] - AvalonBay has a development pipeline with 17 consolidated communities under construction, expected to deliver significant incremental net operating income (NOI) upon completion [4] Group 3: Financial Health - As of June 30, 2024, AvalonBay had 545.8 million in unrestricted cash and no outstanding borrowings under its $2.25 billion unsecured credit facility [5] - The company maintains a well-laddered debt maturity schedule with a weighted average year-to-maturity of 7.3 years and an annualized net debt-to-core EBITDAre of 4.2 times [5] - The unencumbered NOI was 95% from the beginning of 2024 through July 31, 2024, indicating potential for additional secured debt capital if needed [5]