Group 1 - The investment approach has received over 500 five-star reviews from members who are experiencing benefits [1] - The company invests significant resources, over $100,000 annually, into researching profitable real estate investment opportunities [1] - Despite a crash in share prices, cash flows and dividends for certain companies have continued to grow, leading to current trading conditions [1] Group 2 - Jussi Askola, the leader of the High Yield Landlord investing group, shares real-money REIT portfolio and transactions in real-time [1] - The investing group offers features such as three portfolios (core, retirement, international), buy/sell alerts, and direct access to analysts [1] - Leonberg Capital, led by Jussi Askola, is a value-oriented investment boutique that consults various investment entities on REIT investing [1]

Group 1 - The investment approach has received over 500 five-star reviews, indicating high satisfaction among members who are experiencing benefits [1] - The company invests significant resources, including thousands of hours and over $100,000 annually, into researching profitable investment opportunities, particularly in real estate strategies [1] - The investing group High Yield Landlord, led by Jussi Askola, provides real-time updates on a REIT portfolio, including buy/sell alerts and direct access to analysts [2] Group 2 - Jussi Askola is the President of Leonberg Capital, which specializes in consulting hedge funds, family offices, and private equity firms on REIT investing [2] - The group features three distinct portfolios: core, retirement, and international, catering to various investment strategies [2] - Askola has authored award-winning academic papers on REIT investing and has established relationships with top REIT executives, enhancing the group's credibility [2]

Group 1 - The company has received over 500 five-star reviews from members who are benefiting from its investment strategies [1] - The company invests significant resources, over $100,000 annually, into researching profitable real estate investment opportunities [1] - The company has managed to significantly outperform its REIT sector benchmarks over the long run, with a notable contribution from its capital recycling program [2] Group 2 - Jussi Askola leads the investing group High Yield Landlord, which provides real-time updates on REIT portfolio transactions and includes features like buy/sell alerts and direct access to analysts [3] - Leonberg Capital, where Jussi Askola serves as President, is a value-oriented investment boutique that consults various investment entities on REIT investing [3]

Core Viewpoint - AvalonBay Communities reported a mixed performance in its fourth-quarter earnings, with core FFO per share missing estimates but showing a year-over-year increase. The company faces rising operating expenses and interest costs, while same-store residential revenues and NOI provided some support to the results [2][3][4]. Financial Performance - The fourth-quarter core FFO per share was $2.80, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83, but up 2.2% from the previous year [2]. - Total revenues for the quarter were $740.5 million, slightly below estimates but up 5.1% year-over-year [3]. - Same-store residential revenues increased by 3.2% year-over-year to $670.1 million, while same-store residential operating expenses rose by 5.4% to $208.1 million, leading to a same-store residential NOI increase of 2.3% to $462.1 million [4]. Operational Metrics - The same-store average revenue per occupied home rose to $3,040, up from $3,033 in the previous quarter and $2,944 a year ago [5]. - Economic occupancy was 95.6%, a slight increase of 10 basis points sequentially but a decrease of 10 basis points year-over-year [5]. Portfolio Activity - AvalonBay acquired two communities in the fourth quarter: Avalon Townhomes in Bee Cave, TX for $49 million and Avalon Lowry in Denver, CO for $136.5 million [7]. - The company sold three communities for a total of $212.5 million, resulting in a GAAP gain of $121.8 million [8]. Balance Sheet - As of December 31, 2024, AvalonBay had $108.6 million in unrestricted cash and $158.5 million in restricted cash, with no outstanding borrowings under its credit facilities [9]. - The annualized net debt-to-core EBITDAre ratio was 4.2 times, and the unencumbered NOI was 95% for the year ended December 31, 2024 [9]. 2025 Guidance - For 2025, AvalonBay expects core FFO per share to be between $11.14 and $11.64, reflecting a 3.5% increase at the midpoint from 2024 [11]. - Management anticipates same-store residential revenue growth of 2-4% and operating expense increases of 3-5.2%, with same-store residential NOI projected to expand by 1.3-3.5% [11]. Market Sentiment - Recent estimates for AvalonBay have shown a downward trend, indicating a shift in market sentiment [12][14]. - The company currently holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold), suggesting an expectation of in-line returns in the near term [14].

Core Viewpoint - AvalonBay Communities (AVB) reported a positive first-quarter 2025 operating update, with shares increasing by 2.1% following the announcement, indicating alignment with initial 2025 expectations [1] Group 1: Operating Metrics - Economic occupancy for the same-store residential portfolio reached 95.9%, an increase from 95.6% in Q4 2024 [2] - The effective rent change for the same-store residential portfolio was 1.6% from January to February 26, up from 1.1% in Q4 2024 [2] Group 2: Job Growth Forecast - The National Association for Business Economics predicts a decrease in U.S. job growth from 1.4% in 2024 to 1% in 2025, while job growth in key sectors for AVB residents is expected to rise from 0.4% in 2024 to 0.7% in 2025 [3] Group 3: Portfolio Expansion - AvalonBay is under contract to acquire two apartment communities in Austin and six in the Dallas-Fort Worth area, emphasizing strategic expansion in high-growth Texas regions [4] - The Austin acquisition is valued at $187 million and is expected to close by March 31, 2025, while the Dallas acquisition, worth $431.5 million, is anticipated to close in Q2 2025 [5] Group 4: Company Strategy and Market Position - AvalonBay aims to enhance portfolio quality by increasing investments in suburban markets and expanding its existing portfolio, benefiting from strong renter demand [6] - The company’s portfolio is diversified, comprising both suburban and urban assets, and it is leveraging technology for operational efficiency [6] - Over the past year, AVB shares have increased by 22.2%, outperforming the industry growth of 12.7% [7]

Acquisition and Development - The company completed the acquisition of 13 apartment communities and disposed of 21 apartment communities, excluding unconsolidated investments[22]. - The company developed 22 apartment communities and redeveloped 2 apartment communities during the reporting period[22]. Financial Management and Liquidity - The company maintains a $2,250,000,000 revolving variable rate unsecured credit facility and a $500,000,000 unsecured commercial paper note program to meet short-term liquidity needs[37]. - The company is required to distribute at least 90% of its REIT taxable income as dividends, which limits cash flow available for debt payments[81]. - Capital and credit market conditions may adversely affect the company's access to capital, impacting business activities, dividends, and earnings[79]. - The company cannot guarantee that estimates of future credit losses will be adequate, which could materially impact financial performance[74]. - The company may incur prepayment penalties if it elects to prepay significant amounts of outstanding debt, adversely affecting results of operations[89]. - Failure to maintain current credit ratings could negatively impact the company's cost of funds and access to capital markets[90]. - As of December 31, 2024, the company had $400,950,000 in variable rate debt outstanding, down from $410,150,000 in 2023[320]. - The fair value of the company's outstanding debt as of December 31, 2024, was estimated at $7,456,236,000, compared to an aggregate debt of $8,134,429,000[322]. - The company has no amounts outstanding under its Credit Facility or Commercial Paper Program as of December 31, 2024[320]. Operational Strategies - The company focuses on innovative property management strategies to increase operating income while constraining operating expenses[32]. - The company utilizes technology applications to improve service delivery and efficiency, aiming to maximize revenue and control costs[33]. - The company is developing technology initiatives, including "smart home" technology and AI, to improve operating margins and customer experience, but these may involve significant costs and risks[78]. - The company engages in joint ventures to diversify its portfolio and preserve capital resources[38]. Employee and Workplace Management - As of January 31, 2025, the company had 2,988 employees, with approximately 98% employed full-time[51]. - 63% of associates work on-site at operating communities, while the remaining work on other matters[51]. - The company values diversity, with 36% of associates identifying as White, 29% as Hispanic, 17% as Black, 7% as Asian, and 11% as other ethnicities[52]. - The company monitors associate engagement through annual anonymous surveys conducted by a third-party firm[53]. - The company emphasizes workplace safety, with compensation elements for construction staff linked to safety compliance performance[54]. - The company offers approximately 600 training courses through its learning management system to help associates develop necessary skills[55]. - The company faces substantial competition for qualified personnel in the real estate industry, which could adversely affect its operations[142]. Risks and Compliance - The company faces risks related to construction and development, including potential delays and increased costs due to market conditions[66]. - The company is exposed to risks associated with joint ventures, including potential insolvency of partners and inconsistent business goals[72]. - The company is subject to risks related to noncompliance with federal, state, and local laws, which could lead to liability and increased operational costs[97]. - The company faces risks related to debt financing, including potential difficulties in refinancing existing debt on favorable terms[86]. - The company may incur increased construction costs due to inflation, affecting expected yields on development projects[108]. - The company is exposed to uninsurable risks, including earthquake and climate-related risks, which could materially affect its financial condition and operations[119]. - Environmental contamination liabilities could result in substantial costs exceeding insurance coverage, adversely affecting the company's financial condition[123]. - Cybersecurity risks have increased, with potential impacts on operations and financial position due to evolving threats and attacks[137]. - Any breach of operational or information security systems could lead to significant legal and financial liabilities for the company[138]. Market Conditions and Competition - The company faces competition from various real estate investors and operators for apartment communities and prospective residents[43]. - Most apartment leases are for a term of one year or less, making rental revenues sensitive to declines in market rents[99]. - Inflation has remained elevated in 2023 and 2024 compared to pre-pandemic years, potentially impacting residents' ability to pay rent and overall operational results[105]. - The company may face challenges in leasing new commercial space at projected rents due to competition and market conditions[104]. - Ongoing governmental investigations and lawsuits regarding antitrust matters in the multifamily industry could adversely affect the company's business operations[96]. - The company is unable to predict the outcome of ongoing lawsuits, which may result in unforeseen financial impacts[96]. Environmental and Regulatory Factors - The company has invested in environmentally focused companies and technology services for the real estate industry through a wholly-owned TRS[40]. - Increased scrutiny regarding environmental, social, and governance practices may lead to additional costs and impact business practices[93]. - Significant wildfires in Southern California in January 2025 forced over 200,000 people to evacuate, highlighting the risks associated with natural disasters[121]. - The company may incur increased capital expenditures due to new regulations related to climate change, impacting its operating expenses without a corresponding revenue increase[122]. - The company has implemented operations and maintenance programs for properties with asbestos and lead paint, but potential liabilities remain[125]. - The company has conducted Phase I environmental assessments on all stabilized operating communities, with no material adverse conditions identified[127].

Group 1 - iREIT+HOYA Capital focuses on income-producing asset classes that provide sustainable portfolio income, diversification, and inflation hedging [1] - Owning well-managed REITs with strong balance sheets offers reliable returns and reduces the hassle of property management through professional management [2] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of conducting due diligence and forming independent conclusions before making investment decisions [4] - Seeking Alpha highlights that past performance does not guarantee future results and that opinions expressed may not reflect the views of the platform as a whole [5]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - AvalonBay Communities reported a revenue growth of 3.4% and core FFO growth of 3.6% for Q4 2024 [10][22] - The company increased development starts by nearly $200 million to $1.1 billion in 2024, with expectations to further increase to $1.6 billion in 2025 [11][19] - The company anticipates a 3.5% growth in core FFO per share for 2025, projecting it to reach $11.39 per share from $11.01 per share in 2024 [22][24] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The suburban coastal portfolio continues to outperform due to steady demand and limited new supply, with a focus on increasing exposure to select Sunbelt markets [10][16] - The implementation of ancillary services for residents resulted in a 15% growth in other rental revenue in 2024, projected to grow nearly 9% in 2025 [14][22] - Same-store payroll expenses declined in 2023 and were zero in 2024, indicating improved labor efficiencies [14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The established regions are expected to see the lowest level of supply compared to the U.S. overall, with new deliveries representing just 1.4% of stock [31] - Suburban deliveries are forecasted to be only 1.2% of stock in 2025, supporting rental demand in these areas [32] - The Mid-Atlantic region is projected to lead revenue growth with mid-4% growth, while expansion regions are expected to deliver sub-2% growth due to high levels of unleased inventory [34] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company aims to increase suburban exposure to 80% and expand its presence in Sunbelt markets, increasing from 10% to 25% in expansion markets by 2025 [16][17][100] - AvalonBay plans to leverage its development capabilities to generate consistent and accretive external growth, with $3.5 billion under construction by the end of 2025 [19][21] - The company is focused on optimizing its portfolio for superior growth, particularly in suburban and expansion markets [15][100] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the operating environment for 2025, citing healthy job and wage growth supporting stable effective rent growth [28][30] - The company anticipates a favorable demand for apartments in established regions, supported by stable rent-to-income ratios and unaffordable for-sale housing [30][31] - Management remains cautious about potential impacts from tariffs on development costs but noted current favorable conditions in labor costs [102][110] Other Important Information - AvalonBay activated internal emergency relief programs to assist associates affected by the recent L.A. fires, demonstrating a commitment to community support [8] - The company has a strong balance sheet, providing capital to leverage strategic capabilities for further growth in 2025 and beyond [21][88] Q&A Session Summary Question: Development accretion in earnings this year versus last year - Management indicated that while capitalized costs are higher, they expect about 15 cents of growth from investment platforms primarily from development [46][50] Question: Challenges in developing or operating BTR communities - Management is open to exploring portfolios aligned with strategic priorities and noted that they are focusing on suburban locations for BTR developments [52][54] Question: Thoughts on new leases and renewal leases trajectory - Management expects new leases to average mid-one percent range and renewals to average mid-fours, with stronger growth anticipated in the second half of the year [60][65] Question: Transaction market activity and portfolio trading - Management noted a significant pickup in Q4 but expects Q1 to be quieter due to volatility in the transaction market [78][80] Question: Development costs and risks of tariffs - Management is monitoring potential impacts from tariffs but currently sees more tailwinds than headwinds in labor costs [110][111] Question: Outlook for the Boston market - Management expressed a positive outlook for Boston, particularly for their suburban portfolio, which is well insulated from new supply [113] Question: Development completion expectations for this year - Management expects to complete about $300 to $350 million in development this year, with a significant increase in development underway [117]

INVESTOR TELECONFERENCE PRESENTATION FOURTH QUARTER 2024 FEBRUARY 6, 2025 Avalon Westminster Promenade Westminster, CO [FAVORABLE SUPPLY BACKDROP FOR ESTABLISHED REGIONS PERSISTS, WHILE THE SUNBELT CONTINUES TO DIGEST STANDING INVENTORY] [SUBURBAN COASTAL PORTFOLIO POSITIONED TO OUTPERFORM] See Appendix for information about forward- looking statements and definitions and reconciliations of non-GAAP financial measures and other terms. For the reasons described in the referenced forward-looking statements, o ...

Core Insights - AvalonBay Communities (AVB) reported fourth-quarter 2024 core funds from operations (FFO) per share of $2.80, missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.83, but reflecting a 2.2% increase year-over-year [1] - Total revenues for the quarter were $740.5 million, slightly below the Zacks Consensus Estimate, but up 5.1% year-over-year [2] - For full-year 2024, core FFO per share was $11.01, a 3.6% increase year-over-year, but also below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $11.04 [3] Financial Performance - Same-store residential revenues increased by 3.2% year-over-year to $670.1 million, while same-store residential operating expenses rose by 5.4% to $208.1 million, leading to a 2.3% increase in same-store residential NOI to $462.1 million [4] - Same-store average revenue per occupied home rose to $3,040 in the fourth quarter, up from $3,033 in the previous quarter and $2,944 in the year-ago quarter [5] - Property management and other indirect operating expenses increased by 40.1% year-over-year to $51.4 million, and interest expenses rose by 19.2% year-over-year to $59 million [5] Development and Acquisitions - As of December 31, 2024, AvalonBay had 17 consolidated development communities under construction, expected to contain 6,004 apartment homes and 59,000 square feet of commercial space, with an estimated total capital cost of $2.25 billion [6] - In the fourth quarter, AVB acquired two wholly owned communities for a total of $185.5 million [7] - The company sold three wholly owned communities for $212.5 million, resulting in a GAAP gain of $121.8 million [8] Balance Sheet and Debt Position - As of December 31, 2024, AvalonBay had $108.6 million in unrestricted cash and cash equivalents and $158.5 million in restricted cash, with no borrowings outstanding under its $2.25 billion unsecured revolving credit facility or $500 million unsecured commercial paper note program [9] - The annualized net debt-to-core EBITDAre for the October-December period was 4.2 times, with an unencumbered NOI of 95% for the year ended December 31, 2024 [10] Future Guidance - For full-year 2025, AVB expects core FFO per share to be between $11.14 and $11.64, indicating a 3.5% increase at the midpoint from the 2024 reported number [12] - Management anticipates same-store residential revenue growth of 2-4% and an operating expense increase of 3-5.2%, with same-store residential NOI projected to expand by 1.3-3.5% [12] Dividend Announcement - Concurrent with its fourth-quarter earnings release, AvalonBay declared a first-quarter 2025 dividend of $1.75 per share, a 2.9% increase over the prior quarter's dividend [13]