Could Nvidia's stock benefit from shifting SMCI orders?

Core Viewpoint - Semiconductor companies, particularly Nvidia, have experienced significant stock performance due to the rise of AI adoption, but concerns about valuations and potential corrections loom [1]. Group 1: Nvidia's Performance and Market Position - Nvidia's year-to-date returns stand at 188.08%, with current shares trading at $138.76, reflecting a 3.61% loss over the past week [1]. - The company's market capitalization is approximately 12% of the United States GDP, raising concerns about overvaluation and the possibility of a market correction if AI is in a bubble [1]. Group 2: Risks from Super Micro Computer (SMCI) - SMCI, a key customer for Nvidia, faces potential delisting due to regulatory noncompliance, which could trigger a selloff of Nvidia shares [2]. - Nvidia's revenue is highly concentrated, with 46% coming from just four customers, and SMCI is estimated to account for nearly 9% of Nvidia's revenue [3][4]. Group 3: SMCI's Recent Troubles - SMCI's stock plummeted by 30% following allegations of accounting fraud and the resignation of its auditor, Ernst & Young [5]. - The company is at risk of being delisted on November 16, coinciding with Nvidia's Q3 2025 earnings report, which could negatively impact investor sentiment regarding AI spending [6]. Group 4: Nvidia's Strategic Response - Nvidia is reportedly shifting orders away from SMCI to other customers, mitigating the impact of SMCI's potential downfall [7]. - Demand for Nvidia's latest Blackwell architecture chips is extremely high, with products sold out for the next 12 months, suggesting that Nvidia can compensate for any revenue loss from SMCI [8].