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UnitedHealth flashes major bullish signal after catastrophic crash
Finbold· 2026-01-31 12:11
Core Viewpoint - UnitedHealth Group (NYSE: UNH) has shown a significant bullish technical signal with the formation of its first golden cross since July 2024, indicating potential recovery after a substantial earnings-driven decline [1][3]. Stock Performance - UNH stock has experienced a peak-to-trough decline of approximately 48%, trading around $287, down from highs above $550 in 2024 [2]. - The stock saw a sharp drop of about 20% in January 2026 following disappointing Q4 2025 earnings and a weaker outlook for 2026 [3]. Technical Indicators - The 50-day moving average recently crossed above the 200-day moving average, suggesting improving short-term momentum after a prolonged bearish trend [1][3]. - The $330–$350 price zone remains a critical resistance level that needs to be reclaimed for a sustainable trend reversal [4]. Financial Performance - UnitedHealth reported Q4 2025 revenue of $113.2 billion, which fell short of expectations by approximately $530 million [4]. - Although adjusted EPS of $2.11 met forecasts, the focus was on underlying weaknesses, particularly the 2026 revenue guidance projected at over $439 billion, significantly below the consensus of around $454 billion [5]. - This guidance indicates a rare year-over-year revenue decline from 2025's revenue of about $447.6 billion, challenging previous growth assumptions [6].
Microsoft stock just crashed $360 billion in a day; Here's why
Finbold· 2026-01-30 09:41
Core Viewpoint - Microsoft experienced a significant stock decline of nearly 10% in a single day, resulting in a market capitalization drop of approximately $360 billion, despite reporting strong earnings shortly before the decline [1][2][4]. Financial Performance - Microsoft reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $4.14, exceeding the expected $3.97, and revenue of $81.27 billion, surpassing the forecast of $80.27 billion [4]. - The company's cloud services, including Azure, grew by 39%, aligning with expectations [5]. Investor Sentiment - Despite strong earnings, investor sentiment was negatively impacted by a lower-than-expected implied fiscal third-quarter operating margin of 45.1% and a gross margin that fell to a three-year low of 68% [7]. - A notable 9.5% drop in gaming revenue contributed to investor unease, alongside concerns that 45% of Microsoft's backlog is tied to OpenAI, raising fears about dependency on a single entity [8][10]. Market Dynamics - The discussion surrounding OpenAI has intensified, with concerns about its financial sustainability and the potential for an AI bubble, leading to increased selling pressure on Microsoft shares [9][10]. - Microsoft's aggressive integration of its Copilot AI into software has led to a perception of diminishing goodwill among users, with some referring to the company as "Microslop" [11][13].
Wall Street sets Nvidia price target
Finbold· 2026-01-29 15:32
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) opened today’s trading session on a positive note, reportedly in talks to invest $30 billion in OpenAI.Separately, CEO Jensen Huang has said that he hopes China will approve the company’s ability to sell its H200 AI chips in the country, with the licensing process nearing completion, according to Reuters.“The H200, the actual license for H200, is being finalized. And I’m hoping that also the Chinese government would allow Nvidia to sell the H200, so they have to decide. And I’m looking ...
Here's how much Nvidia investors will receive in March 2026 dividend
Finbold· 2026-01-29 10:57
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia is set to distribute its first dividend of 2026 on March 27, with an estimated payout of $1.01 per share, reflecting the company's focus on reinvestment rather than income returns [1][4]. Dividend Details - The next estimated dividend amount is $0.01 per share, with a pay date of March 27, 2026, remaining unchanged from the last declared amount of $0.01 on December 26, 2025 [2][3]. - Shareholders with 100 shares will receive $1 in quarterly payments, leading to an annual total of $4 if there are no increases throughout the year [3]. Dividend Yield and Market Position - At a share price of approximately $191.5, Nvidia offers a forward dividend yield of about 0.02%, which is significantly below the technology sector average yield of 1.37% [4]. - The company's market capitalization stands at $4.53 trillion, with a forward payout ratio of just 0.40%, indicating that the dividend is small relative to earnings and allows for substantial capital spending and growth initiatives [5][6]. Shareholder Return Strategy - Nvidia's dividend is characterized as a symbolic return to shareholders rather than a significant component of a passive income strategy, especially when compared to higher-yielding dividend companies [7].
Here's why Meta stock is soaring
Finbold· 2026-01-29 09:46
Core Viewpoint - Meta's stock experienced a significant increase of 8.06%, rising from $668.73 to $722.60, following a strong earnings report for Q4 2025, which exceeded expectations in both earnings per share and revenue [1][3]. Financial Performance - Meta reported an earnings per share (EPS) of $8.88, surpassing the forecast of $8.23 [3]. - The company's revenue for Q4 2025 reached $59.89 billion, exceeding the predicted $58.59 billion [3]. User Engagement - Meta disclosed that its daily active users (DAP) reached 3.58 billion in December 2025, which is significant given the global population of approximately 8.23 billion [4]. - This high user engagement is particularly noteworthy amid increasing competition from other social media platforms [4]. Public Sentiment - The strong user numbers suggest that the public remains largely unaffected by recent privacy and security concerns raised by industry figures [5]. Future Developments - Meta is set to launch a new AI model named Avocado in the first half of 2026, which is expected to succeed the previous Llama model [6]. - If Avocado is successful and Meta's performance remains strong throughout 2026, it could validate Mark Zuckerberg's strategy of investing in AI despite potential risks [7].
Costco to pay dividends on February 13; Here's how much 100 COST shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-01-28 11:46
Core Viewpoint - Costco is set to distribute its first quarterly dividend of 2026, maintaining a consistent dividend payment history since 2005, with a declared amount of $1.30 per share for shareholders on record as of January 30, 2026 [1][2]. Dividend Details - The upcoming dividend payment of $1.30 per share is unchanged from the previous payment made on November 14, 2025 [2][3]. - Investors holding 100 shares will receive a total of $130 in dividends next month, with the potential yearly total estimated at $520 if the dividend schedule remains consistent [3]. Dividend Growth and Yield - Costco has achieved 22 consecutive years of dividend increases, demonstrating a commitment to steady dividend growth [4]. - The company's forward payout ratio is 23.4%, indicating room for future dividend increases [4]. - Despite these strengths, Costco's forward dividend yield is 0.54%, significantly lower than the consumer staples sector average of 1.89%, suggesting that income generation is not the primary attraction for investors [4]. Investor Appeal - The stock is likely to attract investors who prefer consistent growth and potential sporadic dividend increases over higher immediate yields, as evidenced by its historical dividend performance [5].
Here's the best time to buy Nvidia (NVDA) stock, according to ChatGPT
Finbold· 2026-01-28 11:36
Core Viewpoint - Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) is considered one of the most attractive AI stocks, with analysts suggesting that there is still potential for growth despite recent gains [1][2]. Stock Performance - At the close of the last session, NVDA shares were valued at $188, reflecting a 1.1% increase for the day and a 46% rally over the past year [2]. Optimal Buying Points - Current stock price is not seen as an optimal entry point due to high valuation assumptions and limited short-term margin for error [3][4]. - The best buying opportunity is expected to occur after Nvidia reports earnings, as this reduces uncertainty and provides more reliable guidance [4]. Post-Earnings Strategy - A post-earnings decline of approximately 5% to 15% would be viewed as a high-probability entry point, with initial buying suggested in the $165 to $175 range [7]. - More aggressive accumulation could be justified if the stock price falls into the $150s due to broader market weakness [7]. Secondary Entry Points - A secondary buying opportunity may arise from a sharp pullback ahead of earnings, particularly if shares fall into the $170 to $180 range [8]. - In such cases, initiating only a partial position is recommended while holding back capital until earnings uncertainty is resolved [8]. Least Attractive Entry Points - The least attractive entry points include slow rallies into earnings, euphoric breakouts without new information, and periods of strong bullish sentiment, which historically lead to weaker future returns [9]. Investment Discipline - Emphasis is placed on maintaining discipline rather than rushing into investments, suggesting that only a small amount of capital should be deployed below $180, with most held in cash for post-earnings opportunities [10].
$1,000 in Sandisk stock during 2025 IPO is now worth
Finbold· 2026-01-28 10:22
Core Viewpoint - Sandisk stock has experienced a remarkable increase of 1,219% since its IPO, significantly boosting its market capitalization and providing substantial returns to early investors [2][5]. Company Performance - Sandisk's stock was initially priced at $38.50 during its IPO in February 2025 and has surged to $508 by January 28, 2026 [1]. - The company's market capitalization rose from approximately $6.7 billion to over $70 billion due to this stock performance [2]. - An investment of $1,000 at the IPO would have yielded profits of $12,190, illustrating the stock's impressive growth [2]. Recent Trading Activity - As of the latest closing price of $481.43, Sandisk shares increased by 5.52% in the extended session from January 27 to January 28, 2026, resulting in a total value of $12,500 for the initial $1,000 investment, equating to a profit of $11,500 [4]. Company Background - Sandisk, founded in 1988, was acquired by Western Digital in 2016 and spun off again in February 2025, marking its return to the stock market [5]. - The company specializes in flash memory, distinguishing itself from Western Digital's primary hard drive products [6]. Industry Context - The significant rise in Sandisk's stock is attributed to the growing demand for digital infrastructure driven by the ongoing artificial intelligence boom [6]. - Sandisk is currently collaborating with five major hyperscale customers, indicating its strategic positioning within the industry [7].
These 3 U.S. politicians suspiciously dumped UnitedHealth stock weeks before crash
Finbold· 2026-01-28 09:32
Core Insights - Several U.S. politicians sold UnitedHealth stock shortly before a significant market crash on January 27, 2026, raising concerns about the timing of these transactions [1][6][10] Group 1: Stock Performance and Market Impact - UnitedHealth experienced a dramatic loss of approximately 19% in a single trading session, closing at $282.70, which contributed to a nearly 50% decline in its stock value over the past year [2][9] - The company's market capitalization was significantly affected, erasing tens of billions of dollars and dragging down the Dow Jones Industrial Average [1] Group 2: Revenue Guidance and Financial Concerns - UnitedHealth's revenue guidance for 2026 was projected at about $439 billion, falling short of Wall Street estimates of $454 to $456 billion, which contributed to the stock's decline [9] - Rising medical costs and weaker earnings, along with proposed Medicare Advantage payment increases of only 0.09% for 2027, further exacerbated the situation [9] Group 3: Congressional Stock Transactions - Notable transactions included Rep. Kevin Hern selling UnitedHealth shares valued between $250,001 and $500,000 on December 23, 2025, just weeks before the stock's plunge [3][6] - Rep. Julie Johnson sold shares twice in November and December 2025, with each sale ranging from $1,001 to $15,000, occurring while the stock was still perceived as a defensive play [7] - Rep. Gilbert Cisneros sold shares on November 12, 2025, and later purchased shares on December 19, 2025, shortly before the company's outlook worsened [8]
Realty Income to pay dividends on January 23; Here's how much 100 O shares will earn
Finbold· 2026-01-27 14:55
Core Viewpoint - Realty Income has declared its second monthly dividend for 2026, maintaining a consistent payout trend over the past decade, with a dividend of $0.27 per share scheduled for payment on February 13, 2026 [1]. Dividend Declaration - The next dividend amount remains unchanged at $0.27 per share, with the ex-dividend date set for January 30, 2026, and the last payment date on January 15, 2026 [2]. Dividend Income Projections - If the dividend schedule remains consistent throughout 2026, the total projected annual dividend income could reach $325, despite fluctuations in past payouts [3]. Yield Comparison - Realty Income, known as "The Monthly Dividend Company," offers a dividend yield of approximately 5.33%–5.36%, which is significantly higher than the average yield of 4.46% in the broader real estate sector [4]. Payout Ratio Concerns - The forward payout ratio stands at 188.8%, indicating that dividends may currently exceed projected earnings, raising questions about long-term sustainability if earnings growth does not improve [5]. Investment Appeal - With a forward annual dividend payout of $3.24 per share, Realty Income remains appealing for investors seeking consistent monthly income, although the high payout ratio may concern those prioritizing dividend durability [6].