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Hartford Financial Shares Near 52-Week High: How to Play the Stock
HIGThe Hartford(HIG) ZACKS·2024-12-02 21:01

Core Viewpoint - The Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (HIG) has shown significant stock performance, rallying 53.4% year-to-date, outperforming peers and the broader market [1] Stock Performance - HIG's stock closed at 123.31,nearingits52weekhighof123.31, nearing its 52-week high of 124.90, with a range of 77.59to77.59 to 124.90 [1] Earnings Estimates and Valuation - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for HIG's 2024 adjusted earnings is 10.07pershare,reflectinga13.410.07 per share, reflecting a 13.4% increase year-over-year, with further growth of 14.8% expected in 2025 [3] - Revenue estimates for 2024 and 2025 suggest year-over-year growth of 10.4% and 9.9%, respectively [3] - HIG's forward P/E ratio is 10.78X, above its five-year median of 9.16X and the industry average of 9.63X, indicating a relatively expensive valuation [4] Growth Drivers - The Commercial Lines segment generated 3.7 billion in revenue for Q3, a 10.6% increase year-over-year, while the Personal Lines unit is expected to recover, enhancing profitability [5] - Improved returns from the fixed-income portfolio and higher invested assets are anticipated to boost net investment income [6] - The company has divested non-core operations, improving its risk profile and financial flexibility, allowing for expansion through acquisitions [6] Financial Strength - HIG's total debt to capital ratio stands at 20.4%, lower than the industry average of 31.6%, providing financial flexibility for growth initiatives [7] - In Q3 2024, HIG repurchased shares worth 400millionandincreaseditsquarterlycommondividendby11400 million and increased its quarterly common dividend by 11% [7] Risks - Catastrophe losses have risen, with pre-tax losses of 688 million reported in the first nine months of 2024, which could impact underwriting results [8] - The Group Benefits segment faced challenges, with core earnings declining 9.4% year-over-year in Q3, and total benefits, losses, and expenses increasing by 8.3% to $5.8 billion [9] Investment Outlook - HIG's strong performance in Commercial and Personal Lines, robust investment income, and shareholder-friendly actions make it an attractive hold for current investors [10] - Prospective buyers may consider waiting for a more favorable entry point due to the stock's high valuation [10]