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The Hartford Insurance Group Inc. (NYSE:HIG) is one of the most undervalued quality stocks to buy right now. On February 2, Cantor Fitzgerald raised the price target for Hartford Financial to $165 from $160 with an Overweight rating. Following a period of initial volatility in the insurance broker sector, the firm noted that solid Q4 2025 results established a strong investment case for the company. While the firm expects mid-single-digit organic growth to be achievable in 2026, it cautions that commercial ...

Hartford Financial Services Group, Inc. (NYSE:HIG) has been set a price target of $156 by Wells Fargo, indicating a potential upside of 15.5%.The company reported a strong year with profitable growth in its underwriting businesses and an increase in investment income, highlighting an 8% growth in written premiums in the business insurance segment.Hartford Financial is focusing on innovation with an AI-first mindset, aiming to enhance operational efficiency and customer service.Hartford Financial Services Gr ...

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Core Insights - The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. (HIG) reported fourth-quarter 2025 adjusted operating earnings of $4.06 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 27.9% and reflecting a 38% year-over-year increase [1] - Operating revenues rose 8.9% year over year to $5.2 billion, surpassing the consensus mark by 1.4% [1] Financial Performance - Higher net investment income, favorable prior accident year development (PYD), and lower property and casualty (P&C) catastrophe losses contributed to the financial results [2] - Earned premiums reached $6.1 billion, a 5.7% increase year over year, but fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.3% [3] - Net investment income increased 16.5% year over year to $832 million, exceeding the consensus estimate by 11.9% [3] - Total benefits, losses, and expenses rose 2.1% year over year to $5.9 billion [4] - Pre-tax income climbed 31.6% year over year to $1.4 billion [4] Segment Performance - **Business Insurance**: Revenues totaled $4.1 billion, a 9.5% increase, with core earnings of $915 million, up 37.6% year over year [5] - **Personal Insurance**: Revenues amounted to $1 billion, beating the consensus estimate by 2.7%, with core earnings of $214 million, reflecting a 38% year-over-year increase [6] - **P&C Other Ops**: Revenues improved 5.6% year over year to $19 million, but the segment reported a core loss of $140 million [7] - **Employee Benefits**: Revenues were $1.8 billion, a 1.6% increase, but core earnings declined 0.7% year over year to $138 million [9] - **Hartford Funds**: Revenues increased 7.4% year over year to $292 million, with core earnings of $58 million, up 13.7% [10] - **Corporate**: Revenues were flat at $37 million, with a core loss of $37 million, narrower than the previous year's loss [11] Financial Position - As of December 31, 2025, cash declined 27.3% to $133 million, while total investments increased 8% to $64 billion [12] - Total assets grew 6.3% to $86 billion, and total stockholders' equity improved 15.4% to $19 billion [12] - Book value per share was $66.31, a 20.4% year-over-year increase [13] Capital Deployment - The company returned $546 million to stockholders in Q4 2025, including $400 million in share repurchases and $146 million in dividends [14] - Total capital returned for 2025 amounted to $2.2 billion [14] Full-Year Update - Adjusted operating earnings for 2025 were $13.42 per share, a 30% year-over-year surge, with total revenues of $20 billion [15] - Net earned premiums rose 6.5% year over year to $24 billion, and net investment income increased 13.4% to $2.9 billion [15]

In claims, where AI is accelerating medical record summarization, in underwriting, where it is providing more consistent data-rich insights with greater precision, and in operations, where the deployment of Amazon's call center technology is enhancing customer interactions with multimodal capabilities. More recently, generative AI has expanded the way we think about value creation across our business, especially within claims, underwriting, and operations. Our approach remains focused on practical, high-imp ...

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hartford reported Core Earnings of $3.8 billion for 2025, with a Core Earnings ROE of 19.4% [5][16] - Core earnings for Q4 2025 were $1.1 billion, or $4.06 per diluted share [16] - The business insurance segment achieved written premium growth of 7% with an underlying combined ratio of 88.1 [16] - The overall expense ratio for business insurance increased to 31.8, up 1 point from the prior year [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance delivered robust top-line growth of 8%, with small business written premium of $6 billion and an underlying combined ratio of 88.9 [4][9] - Personal insurance core earnings were $214 million, with an underlying combined ratio of 84.3, reflecting a 5.9 point improvement [18] - Employee benefits reported a Core Earnings margin of 7.6%, driven by strong group life and disability performance [22] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance renewal written pricing, excluding workers' compensation, was 6.1% for the quarter [10] - The property pricing continued to moderate, while casualty lines remained firm and above loss trend [11] - The investment portfolio generated net investment income of $832 million, a 17% increase from Q4 2024 [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Hartford is focused on innovation and technology, with investments in AI to enhance underwriting and claims processes [7][8] - The company aims to sustain industry-leading ROEs through disciplined underwriting and risk selection, particularly in the SME segment [11][15] - The strategy includes expanding market share in personal insurance and employee benefits while maintaining profitability [13][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to sustain favorable renewal premium changes in small business due to strong market positioning and relationships with agents [30][32] - The company anticipates continued growth in the employee benefits segment, supported by investments in technology and new product offerings [22][63] - Management remains optimistic about the overall economic conditions and the potential for growth in 2026 [77] Other Important Information - The Hartford's catastrophe exposure is actively managed through disciplined underwriting and a robust reinsurance program [21][22] - The company plans to increase quarterly share repurchases to $450 million, subject to market conditions [25] Q&A Session Summary Question: How long can favorable renewal premium changes in small business be sustained? - Management believes the small business segment can continue to grow at healthy levels due to strong market differentiation and agent relationships [30][32] Question: What is the outlook for the Prevail platform? - The Prevail platform is expected to grow significantly, with plans to expand into 30 states by early 2027, enhancing market competitiveness [35][38] Question: What is the rationale behind the increase in dividends versus share buybacks? - The increase in dividends is balanced with share buyback levels to maintain flexibility and support long-term capital strategies [41][42] Question: How does the company view the impact of AI on the workforce? - Management sees potential for increased startup activity and small business formation, positioning The Hartford as a net winner in the evolving landscape [81] Question: What is the expected impact of Winter Storm Fern? - Management considers it a manageable event with minimal impact on claims activity compared to previous storms [84][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hartford reported Core Earnings of $3.8 billion for 2025, with a Core Earnings ROE of 19.4% [5][16] - Core earnings for Q4 2025 were $1.1 billion, or $4.06 per diluted share [16] - The business insurance segment achieved written premium growth of 7% with an underlying combined ratio of 88.1 [16] - The overall expense ratio for business insurance increased to 31.8, up 1 point from the prior year [17] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance delivered top-line growth of 8%, with small business written premium of $6 billion and an underlying combined ratio of 88.9 [4][9] - Personal insurance core earnings were $214 million, with an underlying combined ratio of 84.3, reflecting a 5.9-point improvement [18] - Employee benefits reported a Core Earnings margin of 8.2%, driven by strong life and disability results [4][14] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance renewal written pricing, excluding workers' compensation, was 6.1% for the quarter [10] - The personal insurance segment saw a 2% decline in written premium, although agency premium grew by 15% [18] - The investment portfolio generated net investment income of $832 million, a 17% increase from Q4 2024 [24] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Hartford is focusing on technology and innovation, with investments in AI to enhance underwriting and claims processes [7][8] - The company aims to sustain industry-leading ROEs through disciplined underwriting and risk selection, particularly in the SME segment [11][15] - The strategy includes expanding market share in personal insurance while maintaining targeted profitability [13][15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the ability to sustain favorable renewal premium changes in small business due to strong market positioning and relationships with agents [30][32] - The company anticipates continued growth in employee benefits, supported by investments in technology and expanding product offerings [14][62] - Management remains optimistic about the overall economic conditions and the potential for growth in 2026 [77] Other Important Information - The Hartford completed an A&E reserve study, resulting in an increase in reserves of $165 million [20] - The company issued a new catastrophe bond, increasing the total per occurrence program for peak perils to $1.9 billion [22] - The company repurchased approximately 3 million shares for $400 million during the quarter [24] Q&A Session Summary Question: How long can favorable renewal premium changes in small business be sustained? - Management believes the small business segment can continue to grow at healthy levels due to differentiated capabilities and strong agent relationships [29][30] Question: What is the outlook for the Prevail platform? - The Prevail platform is expected to grow significantly, with plans to expand to 30 states by early 2027, focusing on new business in both direct and agency channels [35][38] Question: What is the rationale behind the increase in dividends versus share buybacks? - The increase in dividends is balanced with share buyback levels to maintain flexibility while managing capital effectively [41][42] Question: How does the company view the impact of AI on the workforce? - Management sees potential for increased startup activity and small business formation, positioning The Hartford as a net winner in the evolving landscape [81][82] Question: What is the impact of Winter Storm Fern on claims? - Management considers the event manageable, with early claims activity indicating it is less severe than previous storms [84][86]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The Hartford reported Core Earnings of $3.8 billion for 2025, with a Core Earnings ROE of 19.4% [5][15] - Core earnings for Q4 2025 were $1.1 billion, or $4.06 per diluted share [15] - The business insurance segment achieved written premium growth of 7% with an underlying combined ratio of 88.1 [15] - The overall expense ratio for business insurance increased to 31.8, up 1 point from the prior year [16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance delivered top-line growth of 8%, with small business written premium of $6 billion and an underlying combined ratio of 88.9 [4][8] - Personal insurance core earnings were $214 million, with an underlying combined ratio of 84.3, improving by 5.9 points [17] - Employee benefits reported a Core Earnings margin of 8.2%, driven by strong life and disability results [4][12] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Business insurance renewal written pricing, excluding workers' compensation, was 6.1% for the quarter [10] - The Hartford's small business segment was ranked number one for digital capabilities by Keynova Group, with a double-digit lead in all categories [8] - The investment portfolio generated net investment income of $832 million, a 17% increase from Q4 2024 [22] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The Hartford is focusing on technology and innovation, with a multi-year journey towards an AI-first mindset [6] - The company aims to sustain industry-leading ROEs through disciplined underwriting and risk selection, particularly in the SME segment [10][14] - The Hartford is expanding its presence in the under 500 lives segment within employee benefits, with a focus on enhancing product offerings [12] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to capture additional market share while maintaining strong profitability in small business [8] - The company anticipates continued growth in personal insurance, particularly in the agency channel, while facing challenges in the direct channel [11] - Management remains optimistic about the economic outlook and the potential for growth in 2026, despite some pressures in the property market [44][74] Other Important Information - The Hartford completed its A&E reserve study, resulting in an increase in reserves of $165 million, primarily for asbestos and environmental claims [18] - The company renewed its catastrophe cover with favorable terms, enhancing capital strength and supporting growth in property underwriting [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: How long can favorable renewal premium changes in small business be sustained? - Management believes the small business segment can continue to grow at healthy levels due to strong relationships with agents and brokers, and a differentiated market position [28][30] Question: What is the outlook for the Prevail platform? - The Prevail platform is expected to grow significantly, with plans to expand to 30 states by early 2027, focusing on new business in both direct and agency channels [33][36] Question: Why is the buyback pace not increased in line with dividend increases? - Management indicated a balanced approach to share buybacks and dividends, considering overall capital flexibility and market conditions [39][40] Question: What is the outlook for business insurance margins in 2026? - Management refrained from providing specific numbers but emphasized a strong starting position and a disciplined approach to underwriting [42][44] Question: How will technology impact the expense ratio in a soft market? - Management is optimistic about capturing market share and believes that technology investments will lead to improved expense ratios over time [49][50]

Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Financial Results The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. January 29, 2026 Safe Harbor Statement Certain statements made in this presentation should be considered forward-looking statements as defined in the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These include statements about The Hartford's future results of operations. We caution investors that these forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance, and actual results may differ materially. Invest ...