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Down 11% in 1 Month With a 3.7% Yield, Is This High-Yield Dividend Stock Too Cheap to Ignore, and Worth Buying in 2025?
XOMExxonMobil(XOM) The Motley Fool·2024-12-29 12:35

ExxonMobil's Financial Health and Debt Management - ExxonMobil's net long-term debt and leverage are at their lowest levels in a decade [2] - The company has very little net debt on its balance sheet, with low financial debt-to-equity and debt-to-capital ratios [14] - ExxonMobil used excess profits in recent years to pay down debt, avoiding dependence on debt [14][13] Strategic Investments and Cost Efficiency - ExxonMobil has ramped up capital spending, focusing on high cash-flow generation projects like the Permian Basin, Guyana, and LNG portfolio [2] - The company achieved 11billioninstructuralcostsavingsbetween2019andQ32024,withanadditional11 billion in structural cost savings between 2019 and Q3 2024, with an additional 7 billion expected by 2030 [7] - ExxonMobil now generates over 50% of its production from advantaged assets, aiming for 60% by 2030, which helps drive down production costs [15] Earnings and Cash Flow Projections - ExxonMobil expects to grow annual cash flows by 30billioncomparedto2024and30 billion compared to 2024 and 50 billion since 2019, with earnings growth of 20billionversus2024and20 billion versus 2024 and 35 billion since 2019 [9] - The company forecasts 165billioninsurpluscashbetween2025and2030,allowingforsizabledividendraisesandbuybacks[10]At165 billion in surplus cash between 2025 and 2030, allowing for sizable dividend raises and buybacks [10] - At 55 per barrel Brent, ExxonMobil expects 110billionincashsurplus,whichcouldriseto110 billion in cash surplus, which could rise to 280 billion if Brent averages 85[17]DividendandShareholderReturnsExxonMobilhasraiseditsdividendfor42consecutiveyears,offeringa3.785 [17] Dividend and Shareholder Returns - ExxonMobil has raised its dividend for 42 consecutive years, offering a 3.7% yield compared to the S&P 500's 1.2% [11] - The company returned 140 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends between 2019 and Q3 2024 [7] - ExxonMobil can fund its capital projects and dividends even if Brent prices drop to 35through2027and35 through 2027 and 30 by 2030 [17] Low-Carbon Technology Investments - ExxonMobil is investing heavily in low-carbon technologies like carbon capture and storage and hydrogen [8] - The company believes carbon capture can help deliver lower emissions power for data centers, with projects detached from the grid [8] Market Performance and Valuation - ExxonMobil's stock price fell by 11.25% over the past month, while the S&P Energy Select Sector Index dropped by 10.60% [12] - The company has a price-to-earnings ratio of 13.3, making it an inexpensive stock based on earnings during a period of mediocre oil prices [16] Corporate Plan and Future Growth - ExxonMobil updated its corporate plan on Dec 11, extending its targets from 2027 to 2030 [5] - The company's plan is based on generating positive cash flow without relying on debt, setting clear expectations for investors [13] - ExxonMobil stands out as a well-rounded oil and gas company to buy in 2025, with a clear outline for future growth [4][6]