浙商证券：预计2024年我国经济增长5%左右

Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for December 2024 is reported at 50.1%, a slight decrease of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, aligning with market expectations [2] - In the manufacturing PMI components, the production index, new orders index, and supplier delivery time index are above the critical point, while the raw material inventory index and employment index are below the critical point [1] - The economic outlook for the fourth quarter is stabilizing, with expectations for a 5% growth in China's economy for 2024 [3] Group 2 - The consumer goods industry PMI for December is at 51.4%, an increase of 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, driven by the trade-in policy for old goods and the upcoming Spring Festival [4] - The equipment manufacturing PMI stands at 50.6%, remaining in the expansion zone for five consecutive months [4] - The high-energy-consuming industries PMI is at 48.8%, reflecting a decrease of 0.4 percentage points from the previous month, indicating a decline in economic activity in this sector [4]