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Citigroup Touches 52-Week High: Should Investors Buy C Stock Now?
CCiti(C) ZACKS·2025-01-07 17:57

Core Viewpoint - Citigroup Inc. shares have reached a new 52-week high, driven by optimism regarding upcoming earnings and strategic restructuring efforts [1][3][4]. Financial Performance - Citigroup's stock has increased by 37.3%, while the S&P 500 Index and industry growth rates are 26.8% and 39.9%, respectively [1]. - The company anticipates a 20-30% increase in investment banking fees for Q4 2024, with overall revenues expected to be at the higher end of the 8080-81 billion range for 2024 [3]. Business Restructuring - Under CEO Jane Fraser's leadership since 2021, Citigroup has focused on cost-cutting, management restructuring, and streamlining operations to enhance profitability [4][5]. - The restructuring has led to a reduction in management layers from 13 to 8, with leaders of the main businesses reporting directly to the CEO [5]. - The company projects a compounded annual growth rate of 4-5% in revenues and annualized savings of 22-2.5 billion by the end of 2026 [7]. Interest Rate Impact - The Federal Reserve's recent rate cuts are expected to stabilize and eventually lower funding costs, positively impacting Citigroup's net interest income (NII) and net interest margin (NIM) [8][10]. - NII declined by 2% year-over-year during the first nine months of 2024, with NIM decreasing to 2.33% in Q3 2024 [9]. Capital Distribution - As of September 30, 2024, Citigroup's Common Equity Tier 1 ratio and total capital ratio were 13.71% and 15.21%, respectively, exceeding regulatory requirements [10]. - The company increased its quarterly dividend by 6% to 56 cents per share in July 2024 and has a share repurchase plan, having repurchased 1billionworthofsharesinQ32024[11][12].CreditLossesCitigrouphasexperienceda521 billion worth of shares in Q3 2024 [11][12]. Credit Losses - Citigroup has experienced a 52% increase in net credit losses during the first nine months of 2024, with rising delinquency and charge-off rates [14][15]. - For 2024, net credit losses are expected to be between 3.5-4% for branded cards and 5.75-6.25% for retail services [16]. Analyst Sentiment - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for earnings per share has increased to 5.87 for 2024 and $7.20 for 2025, reflecting positive analyst sentiment [17].