TransDigm (TDG) Q1 Earnings on the Horizon: Analysts' Insights on Key Performance Measures

Core Viewpoint - TransDigm Group (TDG) is expected to report quarterly earnings of $7.48 per share, reflecting a 4.5% increase year-over-year, with revenues projected at $1.99 billion, indicating an 11.5% growth compared to the previous year [1]. Earnings Estimates - There has been a slight downward revision of 0.1% in the consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days, indicating analysts' reassessment of their initial forecasts [2]. - Revisions to earnings projections are crucial for predicting investor behavior and are strongly correlated with short-term stock price performance [3]. Key Metrics Forecast - Analysts predict 'Net sales to external customers- Non-aviation' will reach $48.40 million, a year-over-year increase of 15.3% [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe' is estimated at $935.12 million, reflecting an 8.5% increase from the prior year [5]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control' is forecasted to be $977.02 million, indicating a 10.4% year-over-year change [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' is expected to be $276.49 million, with a 1.7% increase from the previous year [6]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Defense' is projected at $304.38 million, showing a 14.4% increase year-over-year [7]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Defense' is estimated to reach $443.58 million, reflecting a 7.7% increase [7]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is expected to be $333.97 million, indicating a 12.8% year-over-year change [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Power & Control- Commercial and non-aerospace OEM' is forecasted at $182.49 million, with a 3.1% increase [8]. - 'Net sales to external customers- Airframe- Commercial and non-aerospace aftermarket' is projected to be $352.32 million, reflecting an 8.7% increase [9]. EBITDA Estimates - 'EBITDA- Power & Control' is expected to reach $535.76 million, compared to $509 million in the same quarter last year [9]. - 'EBITDA- Non-aviation' is projected at $18.34 million, up from $17 million in the previous year [10]. - 'EBITDA- Airframe' is estimated to be $461.50 million, compared to $431 million in the same quarter last year [10]. Stock Performance - Over the past month, shares of TransDigm have returned +8.8%, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +2.9% [11].