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Down 8.7% in 4 Weeks, Here's Why TransDigm (TDG) Looks Ripe for a Turnaround
ZACKS· 2026-02-05 15:36
A downtrend has been apparent in TransDigm Group (TDG) lately with too much selling pressure. The stock has declined 8.7% over the past four weeks. However, given the fact that it is now in oversold territory and Wall Street analysts are majorly in agreement about the company's ability to report better earnings than they predicted earlier, the stock could be due for a turnaround.We use Relative Strength Index (RSI), one of the most commonly used technical indicators, for spotting whether a stock is oversold ...
TransDigm Group Incorporated (NYSE:TDG) Maintains Strong Financial Performance
Financial Modeling Prep· 2026-02-04 18:05
Core Viewpoint - TransDigm Group Incorporated continues to demonstrate strong financial performance in the aerospace and defense equipment industry, with positive earnings and sales growth, despite a recent decline in stock price [1][6]. Financial Performance - The company reported an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $8.23 for Q1 fiscal 2026, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.02 by 2.6% and showing a 5% increase from the previous year's EPS of $7.83 [2]. - Sales for the quarter reached $2.29 billion, a 14% increase from $2.01 billion in the prior-year period, and surpassed the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.25 billion by 1.4% [3]. - Organic sales growth of 7.4% contributed to a 9.3% rise in gross profit, despite increased interest expenses year over year [3]. Guidance and Market Reaction - Following strong financial results, the company has revised its fiscal 2026 guidance upwards, projecting net sales between $9.845 billion and $10.035 billion, along with a higher adjusted EPS [4]. - BMO Capital maintained its "Outperform" rating for TDG and raised its price target from $1,500 to $1,550, indicating strong confidence in the company's future performance [1][6]. - Despite these positive outcomes, TDG's stock experienced a 9.31% decrease, translating to a drop of $133.59, with a current market capitalization of approximately $73.32 billion [5][6].
TransDigm Group Incorporated 2026 Q1 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NYSE:TDG) 2026-02-04
Seeking Alpha· 2026-02-04 15:12
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TDG Continues Expanding Aurora West and Identifies New Porphyry Target
Globenewswire· 2026-02-04 12:00
VANCOUVER, British Columbia, Feb. 04, 2026 (GLOBE NEWSWIRE) -- TDG Gold Corp. (TSXV: TDG | OTCQX: TDGGF) (the “Company” or “TDG”) is pleased to report the remaining drilling results from the 2025 Phase I exploration program at the Aurora West Zone and Phase II (step-outs), part of TDG’s Greater Shasta–Newberry (“GSN”) Project located in the Toodoggone District of British Columbia. Results from the Company’s Phase I drilling program continue to demonstrate the emerging scale of the Aurora West Zone, now def ...
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Quarterly Report
2026-02-03 22:00
For the transition period from to Commission File Number 001-32833 Table of Contents UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION WASHINGTON, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q ☒ Quarterly Report Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 For the quarterly period ended December 27, 2025 ☐ Transition Report pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 1350 Euclid Avenue, Suite 1600, Cleveland, Ohio 44115 (Address of principal ex ...
TransDigm's Q1 Earnings Surpass Estimates, Sales Increase Y/Y
ZACKS· 2026-02-03 17:40
Key Takeaways TDG posted Q1 adjusted EPS of $8.23, topping estimates, as sales rose 14% to $2.29 billion.TDG organic sales grew 7.4% and gross profit climbed 9.3%, though interest expense rose year over year.TDG lifted fiscal 2026 guidance, forecasting net sales of $9.845-$10.035 billion and higher adjusted EPS.TransDigm Group Incorporated (TDG) reported first-quarter fiscal 2026 adjusted earnings of $8.23 per share, which topped the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $8.02 by 2.6%. The bottom line also improved 5 ...
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong start to fiscal Q1 2026, with revenue guidance raised by $90 million and EBITDA guidance increased by $60 million, reflecting solid performance [8][17] - EBITDA margin for the quarter was 52.4%, slightly better than expected, with strong operating cash flow generation of over $830 million [10][11] - The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of over $2.5 billion and a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 times, down from 5.8 times [33][34] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Total commercial OEM revenue increased approximately 17% year-over-year, driven by higher build rates from Boeing and Airbus [22][23] - Commercial aftermarket revenue grew by approximately 7%, with all submarkets experiencing positive growth, particularly in commercial transport [25][26] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 7%, supported by new business wins and increased defense spending globally [26][27] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM bookings were up significantly, indicating a recovery from previous disruptions, with growth in the high teens percentage [23][24] - The commercial aftermarket is expected to grow in the high single-digit percentage range, supported by strong bookings and positive indicators [25][26] - Defense bookings were robust, significantly surpassing sales for the period, indicating a strong backlog in the defense segment [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a consistent long-term strategy focused on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content, aiming for private equity-like returns [7][8] - Recent acquisitions, including Stellant Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra Aviation, align with the company's strategy to enhance its aftermarket revenue and strengthen partnerships with airlines [12][14] - The capital allocation priorities remain focused on reinvesting in businesses, disciplined M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [15][16] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the fiscal year, noting that underlying market fundamentals have not changed significantly, and they are encouraged by the current trends in commercial aerospace [17][18] - The company anticipates continued growth in commercial OEM and aftermarket segments, with guidance reflecting a conservative approach due to potential risks in production rates [18][19] - Management remains focused on operational excellence and value drivers, with a commitment to closely monitor market developments [19][20] Other Important Information - The company has signed agreements for three new acquisitions, with a total expected revenue contribution of approximately $580 million for the 2025 calendar year [11][12] - The company has significant M&A firepower remaining, approaching $10 billion, providing flexibility for future opportunities [16] Q&A Session Summary Question: Profitability in the quarter - Management noted that the EBITDA margin of 52.4% was better than expected, driven by strong growth in commercial OEM and effective cost management [40] Question: Distributor POS and aftermarket growth - Management confirmed that distributor POS growth has been strong, but there has been some headwind from inventory changes, which should turn into a tailwind as the year progresses [44][46] Question: Aftermarket bookings growth - Management indicated that aftermarket bookings grew faster than revenue, but specific numbers were not disclosed, emphasizing a rolling 12-month average for bookings [60][62] Question: Acquisitions and market trends - Management acknowledged that acquisition prices reflect current market trends but believe they paid fair prices that align with their targeted IRR [81][82] Question: Material share loss from PMAs - Management stated that there has been no material share loss from PMAs, and operational teams are effectively meeting customer demand [86] Question: Margin structure of acquired businesses - Management indicated that while the acquired businesses have growth potential, they do not expect their margins to reach the company's average levels [99]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 17:02
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a Q1 EBITDA margin of 52.4%, which includes about two full percentage points of dilution from recent acquisitions [10][19] - Operating cash flow generation in Q1 exceeded $830 million, with a cash balance of over $2.5 billion at the end of the quarter [11][32] - The midpoint of fiscal 2026 revenue guidance is now $9.94 billion, reflecting a 13% increase over the prior year, while EBITDA guidance was raised to $5.21 billion, up approximately 9% [17][18] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenue increased approximately 17% in Q1 compared to the prior year, driven by higher build rates from Boeing and Airbus [21][22] - Commercial aftermarket revenue grew by approximately 7%, with all submarkets experiencing positive growth [25] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 7%, supported by new business wins and strong performance in both domestic and international markets [26] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Bookings in the commercial OEM channel were up significantly, indicating a recovery from previous disruptions [23] - The commercial aftermarket growth is lagging behind the broader market by approximately 5-6 percentage points, attributed to underexposure in engine content and distribution channel lumpiness [9] - Defense bookings were robust, surpassing sales for the period, indicating a strong backlog in the defense market segment [27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company focuses on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content, aiming for private equity-like returns with public market liquidity [7] - Recent acquisitions include Stellent Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra Aviation, which align with the company's strategy of enhancing aftermarket revenue [12][15] - The capital allocation strategy prioritizes reinvestment in businesses, disciplined M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [15] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the fiscal 2026 outlook, citing strong first-quarter results and favorable market trends in commercial aerospace [17][19] - The guidance assumes no additional acquisitions or divestitures, with a focus on maintaining a conservative approach to projections [40][64] - Management remains vigilant regarding potential risks in the aerospace and capital markets, while being encouraged by operational performance [19][30] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 5.7 times, down from 5.8, indicating improved financial health [32][33] - Free cash flow for the quarter was just under $900 million, with a full-year guidance of approximately $2.4 billion [31][32] - The company continues to actively seek small to mid-size acquisition opportunities that fit its business model [14][101] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company thinking about profitability through the year? - Management noted a stronger start to the year on margins than expected, with a 52.4% EBITDA margin driven by a favorable mix and cost management efforts [39] Question: Can you comment on distributor POS and aftermarket growth? - Management confirmed that distributor POS growth has been strong, but some headwinds from inventory changes have affected overall aftermarket growth [44][66] Question: What is the expected growth for the aftermarket segment? - Management indicated that the aftermarket growth is expected to be in the high single-digit percentage range, with positive indicators in bookings and distribution sales [26][64] Question: What are the implications of the recent acquisitions? - The acquisitions of Jet Parts Engineering and Victor Sierra are expected to enhance aftermarket growth, but the primary rationale was their strong business fundamentals [73][81] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - Management acknowledged that while valuations are high, they believe the prices paid for recent acquisitions are fair and aligned with their target IRR [81][82]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Transcript
2026-02-03 17:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a strong start to fiscal Q1 2026, with revenue guidance raised by $90 million and EBITDA guidance increased by $60 million, reflecting solid performance [14][15] - EBITDA margin for the quarter was 52.4%, slightly diluted by recent acquisitions, but overall margin performance improved compared to expectations [8][17] - Free cash flow for the quarter was just under $900 million, higher than average due to timing of interest and tax payments, with a full-year guidance of approximately $2.4 billion [30][31] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Commercial OEM revenue increased approximately 17% year-over-year, driven by higher build rates from Boeing and Airbus [19][20] - Commercial aftermarket revenue grew by approximately 7%, with all submarkets experiencing positive growth, particularly in commercial transport [23] - Defense market revenue grew by approximately 7%, supported by new business wins and increased defense spending globally [25] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The commercial OEM market is expected to see revenue growth in the high single digits to mid-teens percentage range, contingent on production rates from Boeing and Airbus [16][22] - Commercial aftermarket growth is anticipated to be in the high single-digit percentage range, with strong bookings supporting this outlook [24] - Defense revenue growth is projected in the mid-single-digit to high single-digit percentage range, with robust bookings indicating a healthy backlog [25] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company maintains a consistent long-term strategy focused on proprietary aerospace businesses with significant aftermarket content, aiming for private equity-like returns [5][6] - Recent acquisitions, including Stellent Systems, Jet Parts Engineering, and Victor Sierra Aviation, align with the company's strategy to enhance its aftermarket revenue and strengthen partnerships with airlines [10][11] - The capital allocation priorities remain focused on reinvesting in businesses, pursuing disciplined M&A, and returning capital to shareholders [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the current fiscal year, noting favorable commercial aerospace trends and stable airline schedules [6][15] - The company is closely monitoring the aerospace and capital markets, with a focus on operational excellence and value drivers [17][28] - Despite potential risks, management believes the company is well-positioned for the remainder of fiscal 2026 [17] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a cash balance of over $2.5 billion, providing significant liquidity for future capital requirements [31][33] - The net debt to EBITDA ratio improved to 5.7 times, down from 5.8, indicating a stronger financial position [31][32] Q&A Session Summary Question: How is the company thinking about profitability cadence through the year? - Management noted a stronger than expected margin performance in Q1, attributing it to a favorable mix and cost management efforts, with a conservative outlook for the remainder of the year [37][39] Question: Can you comment on distributor POS and aftermarket growth? - Management confirmed that distributor POS growth has been strong, but noted that inventory changes have created some headwinds, which are expected to turn into tailwinds as the year progresses [42][44] Question: What is the expected impact of the Jet Parts Engineering and Victor Sierra acquisitions? - Management emphasized that the acquisitions were made based on their strong business fundamentals and potential for a 20% IRR, rather than as a defensive strategy against competitors [73][74] Question: How does the company view the current M&A environment? - Management acknowledged that while acquisition prices are reflective of broader market trends, they believe the prices paid for recent acquisitions are fair and aligned with their return targets [80][81] Question: What is the outlook for the commercial OEM segment? - Management indicated that they believe they are through the destocking phase and are encouraged by the production rates from Boeing and Airbus, although risks remain in the supply chain [106][107]
TransDigm(TDG) - 2026 Q1 - Earnings Call Presentation
2026-02-03 16:00
FY 2026 Q1 Earnings Call February 3, 2026 1 Agenda TransDigm Overview, Highlights and Outlook Mike Lisman Market Review Patrick Murphy Operating Performance and Financial Results Sarah Wynne CFO Q&A CEO Co-COO Forward Looking Statements & Special Notice Regarding Pro Forma and Non-GAAP Information FORWARD LOOKING STATEMENTS This presentation contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including information regarding our guidance for future ...