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Prediction: 2 Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Will Be Worth More Than Nvidia 3 Years From Now
AMZNAmazon(AMZN) The Motley Fool·2025-02-08 09:33

Core Viewpoint - Nvidia has been a significant beneficiary of the rise of generative AI, with its stock price increasing nearly eightfold since the launch of OpenAI's ChatGPT, but two other companies, Meta Platforms and Amazon, may have better long-term prospects and could potentially surpass Nvidia's valuation in the coming years [2][4]. Nvidia - Nvidia's market capitalization is approximately 2.9trillion,anditsstrongfinancialresultsareexpectedtocontinueinto2025asmajortechcompaniesplantoinvesttensofbillionsinAIdatacentersequippedwithNvidiasGPUs[2][3].Despitetheongoingdemand,thereisagrowinglongtermvulnerabilitytoNvidiasbusinessmodelassoftwareinnovationsmayreducetheneedforadvancedhardware[3].MetaPlatformsMetaPlatformsisoneofNvidiaslargestcustomers,planningtoinvestbetween2.9 trillion, and its strong financial results are expected to continue into 2025 as major tech companies plan to invest tens of billions in AI data centers equipped with Nvidia's GPUs [2][3]. - Despite the ongoing demand, there is a growing long-term vulnerability to Nvidia's business model as software innovations may reduce the need for advanced hardware [3]. Meta Platforms - Meta Platforms is one of Nvidia's largest customers, planning to invest between 60 billion and 65billionincapitalexpendituresin2025,includinganewdatacenterinLouisianafilledwithNvidiaGPUs[5].Thecompanyhasimproveditsrecommendationalgorithmssignificantly,leadingtoa665 billion in capital expenditures in 2025, including a new data center in Louisiana filled with Nvidia GPUs [5]. - The company has improved its recommendation algorithms significantly, leading to a 6% increase in ad impressions and a 14% increase in average ad prices last quarter [7]. - Meta's AI initiatives, including tools for marketers and AI chatbots for WhatsApp, are expected to drive engagement and revenue growth, with potential for the stock to reach a 3 trillion valuation within three years if earnings grow at a high teens rate [9][11]. Amazon - Amazon's free cash flow has surged from negative 19.7billionto19.7 billion to 47.7 billion over the past year, driven primarily by its cloud computing business, AWS [12]. - The company has seen a 60% increase in operating income over the trailing 12 months, largely due to margin expansion and improvements in its logistics network [14][16]. - Amazon is investing heavily in AWS and e-commerce, with capital expenditures expected to reach about 75billionin2024,whichcouldleadtosignificantfreecashflowgrowthandapotential75 billion in 2024, which could lead to significant free cash flow growth and a potential 3 trillion valuation in the next few years [17][18].