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Coinbase Analysts See 'Inherent Profitability' In Q4 Results
COINCoinbase(COIN) Benzinga·2025-02-14 19:20

Core Viewpoint - Coinbase Global Inc reported strong fourth-quarter revenues, exceeding analyst expectations, but its shares traded lower despite the positive results [1][9]. Financial Performance - Coinbase's fourth-quarter total revenue reached 2.272billion,surpassingtheconsensusestimateof2.272 billion, surpassing the consensus estimate of 1.862 billion by 22% [2]. - Transaction revenues exceeded consensus by 33%, while subscription and services revenue was 6% above expectations [2]. - Revenues grew 138% year-on-year to 2.3billion,withadjustedEBITDAincreasingnearly3002.3 billion, with adjusted EBITDA increasing nearly 300% to 1.3 billion [6]. Operational Insights - The strong results were attributed to volume growth and a sequentially flat take rate, with EBITDA margins approaching 57% [3]. - The company demonstrated prudent operational expense control, contributing to its profitability [3]. - Management's first-quarter guidance for subscription and service revenue is projected at 725million,indicating13725 million, indicating 13% sequential growth [5]. Market Position - Coinbase continues to gain market share despite not being the lowest cost service provider [5][8]. - The company listed 13 new assets on its platform, leading to a 24% sequential increase in monthly transacting users (MTUs) to 9.7 million [8]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Goldman Sachs maintained a Neutral rating, raising the price target from 340 to 350[2].CanaccordGenuitymaintainedaBuyrating,increasingthepricetargetfrom350 [2]. - Canaccord Genuity maintained a Buy rating, increasing the price target from 280 to 400[4].JMPSecuritiesreaffirmedaMarketOutperformrating,liftingthepricetargetfrom400 [4]. - JMP Securities reaffirmed a Market Outperform rating, lifting the price target from 400 to 475[6].HCWainwrightreiteratedaBuyrating,raisingthepricetargetfrom475 [6]. - HC Wainwright reiterated a Buy rating, raising the price target from 330 to $350 [8].