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Top Michael Burry stock hits most overbought level ever; Time to exit?
BABABABA(BABA) Finbold·2025-02-22 20:28

Core Viewpoint - Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA) is experiencing a significant stock rally in 2025, raising concerns about the sustainability of this momentum due to its overbought status as indicated by the Relative Strength Index (RSI) [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - BABA's stock price reached 143.75,markinga5.7143.75, marking a 5.7% increase in the last trading session and a year-to-date rally of nearly 70% [3]. - The RSI for BABA closed at 86.52, indicating it has entered the most overbought zone ever, with values above 70 typically signaling a potential correction [2]. Group 2: Investor Sentiment - Michael Burry, a notable investor, has reduced his stake in BABA by 25% as of Q4 2024, although it remains his top holding at 16.43% [6]. - Reports of GameStop CEO Ryan Cohen's 1 billion stake in Alibaba reflect strong confidence in the company, contributing to the stock's rally [10]. Group 3: Financial Performance - Alibaba reported a net income of 48.945 billion yuan (6.75billion)fortheDecemberquarter,surpassinganalystexpectationsandsignificantlyimprovingfrom14.433billionyuan(6.75 billion) for the December quarter, surpassing analyst expectations and significantly improving from 14.433 billion yuan (1.99 billion) in the same period last year [7]. - Revenue for the same quarter reached 280.154 billion yuan (38.64billion),exceedingforecastsof279.34billionyuan(38.64 billion), exceeding forecasts of 279.34 billion yuan (38.53 billion) [8]. Group 4: Regulatory Environment and Strategic Initiatives - There are signs of a more favorable regulatory environment for Chinese tech firms, bolstered by Alibaba founder Jack Ma's meeting with President Xi Jinping, where Xi expressed "unwavering support" for entrepreneurs [9]. - Alibaba's aggressive investment in artificial intelligence (AI) has resulted in six consecutive quarters of triple-digit growth in its cloud segment, aligning with market trends favoring tech investments [9]. Group 5: Analyst Ratings - Wall Street analysts remain bullish on BABA, with Citi's Alicia Yap maintaining a 'Strong Buy' rating and raising her price target from 133to133 to 138 [11]. - Barclays' Jiong Shao also maintained a 'Strong Buy' rating but adjusted his target from 137to137 to 130, citing margin concerns amid ongoing investments [11].