NVIDIA a Lucrative Buy With Solid Visions, Execution and Innovation

Core Viewpoint - NVIDIA Corp. reported strong fourth-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings, but the stock price fell due to concerns over adjusted gross margin and slowing growth in revenues and earnings [1][2][3] Financial Performance - NVIDIA's adjusted earnings for Q4 fiscal 2025 were $0.89 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $0.84 per share, and up from $0.52 per share a year ago [4] - Quarterly revenues reached $39.33 billion, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $37.72 billion, representing a surprise of +4.3% [4] - The non-GAAP gross margin was 73.5%, reflecting a year-over-year contraction of 3.2% and a sequential decline of 1.5% [5] Segment Performance - Data Center revenues were $35.58 billion, exceeding the consensus estimate of $33.51 billion, marking a 93% year-over-year increase [6] - Computing revenues within the Data Center segment were $32.56 billion, while networking revenues were $3.02 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate [6] - NVIDIA sold $11 billion worth of Blackwell chips, significantly higher than the consensus estimate of $6-7 billion, indicating resolution of supply-related issues [7] Future Guidance - For Q1 fiscal 2026, NVIDIA anticipates revenues of $43 billion (+/-2%), higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $41.06 billion, with a projected non-GAAP gross margin of 71% (+/-50 bps) [8] - The company expects strong demand for its AI-powered GPUs, with CEO Jensen Huang highlighting the increased computational requirements for next-generation AI models [8] Industry Trends - Major data center operators, including Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, and Amazon, have pledged $325 billion for AI expenditure in 2025, indicating robust industry growth [10] - Apple plans to invest $500 billion over the next four years in AI infrastructure, while Meta is also constructing a new data center campus for AI projects [12] Innovation and Growth Drivers - NVIDIA is the largest chipset supplier for AI infrastructure and is set to unveil its new AI chip architecture, Rubin, in 2026 [13] - The automotive segment showed significant growth, with revenues of $570 million, up 102.9% year-over-year, driven by self-driving platforms [14] Valuation and Estimates - NVIDIA has an expected revenue growth rate of 45% and earnings growth rate of 41.1% for the current year [15] - The company has a return on equity (ROE) of 122.83%, significantly higher than the S&P 500's ROE of 17.1% [17] - As of January 26, 2025, NVIDIA's cash and marketable securities totaled $43.2 billion, with a total long-term debt of $8.46 billion [20] Investment Thesis - Despite a year-to-date decline of -10.5% in stock price, analysts expect earnings estimate revisions to trend higher, making NVIDIA a favorable investment opportunity [21][22]