Wall Street sets Rivian stock price for next 12 months

Core Viewpoint - Rivian is facing a challenging year in 2025, with its stock down over 18% year-to-date, currently trading at $10.75, and lacking strong catalysts to attract investors [1][4]. Financial Performance - Rivian reported its first gross quarterly profit of$170 million in Q4, beating earnings expectations, with revenue of $1.73 billion, surpassing the expected$1.4 billion [4][5]. - The company aims for a "modest gross profit" in 2025, with adjusted losses expected to narrow to $1.7 to$1.9 billion from $2.69 billion in 2024 [5]. - Analysts project Q1 2025 revenue at$993.66 million, down 17.47% year-over-year, but expect a 22.59% increase to $1.42 billion in Q2 [6]. Revenue Forecast - Full-year 2025 revenue is forecasted at$5.39 billion, an 8.38% increase year-over-year, with 2026 projected to surge to $7.48 billion, a growth of 38.87$20 and support around 10 [2][3]. - The high interest rate environment and macroeconomic conditions may limit growth prospects for Rivian [4]. Growth Catalysts - Potential growth catalysts include expanding commercial sales beyond Amazon and unique partnerships, such as with Ben & Jerry's for electric ice cream trucks [10]. - Rivian's product pipeline, including the upcoming R2, R3, and R3X models, is expected to drive future growth, with the R2 launching in 2026 [11]. Analyst Ratings and Price Targets - Wall Street analysts have set an average price target of 14.34 for Rivian, indicating a potential upside of 33.4% from the current valuation [12]. - Analyst opinions vary, with some maintaining a 'Hold' rating and others expressing bearish views, citing high per-vehicle losses and slowing volume growth [13][14].