Wall Street Bulls Look Optimistic About UPS (UPS): Should You Buy?

Core Viewpoint - The average brokerage recommendation (ABR) for United Parcel Service (UPS) is 1.87, indicating a general suggestion to buy, but reliance solely on this metric may not be advisable due to potential biases in brokerage recommendations [2][4]. Brokerage Recommendation Analysis - UPS has an ABR of 1.87, which is between Strong Buy and Buy, based on recommendations from 29 brokerage firms, with 18 of those being Strong Buy, representing 62.1% of total recommendations [2]. - Brokerage recommendations often exhibit a positive bias due to the vested interests of the firms, leading to a disproportionate number of Strong Buy ratings compared to Strong Sell ratings [5][9]. - The interests of brokerage firms may not align with those of retail investors, suggesting that these recommendations should be used to complement personal analysis rather than as standalone guidance [6]. Zacks Rank Comparison - Zacks Rank, a proprietary stock rating tool, categorizes stocks from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell) and is based on earnings estimate revisions, which are more indicative of near-term stock price movements compared to ABR [7][10]. - The Zacks Rank is updated more frequently than ABR, reflecting timely changes in earnings estimates, making it a more reliable indicator for future price movements [11]. Current Earnings Outlook for UPS - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for UPS's current year earnings has declined by 1.8% over the past month to $7.81, indicating growing pessimism among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [12]. - Due to the recent decline in earnings estimates and other related factors, UPS has received a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), suggesting caution despite the favorable ABR [13].