Core Viewpoint - UPS is considered a cheaper long-term stock, while Lockheed Martin is viewed as the better option in the near term [2]. Group 1: Company Comparisons - UPS has a lower price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 14.6 compared to Lockheed Martin's 16.2, indicating it may be undervalued [5]. - Lockheed Martin has a better price-to-free-cash-flow (P/FCF) ratio of 15.4 compared to UPS's 17.1, suggesting it is more efficient in generating cash flow relative to its market value [5]. - UPS's expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 27.22 [5]. Group 2: Dividend Analysis - UPS has a dividend yield of 5.6%, but its expected earnings do not sufficiently cover its $5.5 billion dividend, posing a risk to its dividend sustainability [3]. - Lockheed Martin's dividend yield is 2.8%, and its dividend is well covered by expected EPS, with a coverage ratio of 2.1 times [4][5]. Group 3: Growth Prospects - UPS is focusing on growth opportunities in healthcare and small to medium-sized businesses, which could enhance its long-term prospects [6]. - The strategy to reduce reliance on Amazon by cutting its volume by 50% by the end of 2026 is seen as a positive move for UPS, as it aims to eliminate low-margin deliveries [6]. Group 4: Industry Challenges - Concerns exist for UPS due to reported weaknesses in the transportation and industrial sectors, potentially linked to economic uncertainties from tariffs [3]. - Lockheed Martin may face long-term challenges if the defense budget is cut by 8% annually over the next five years, as indicated by Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth [7].
Which High-Yield Dividend Stock Is Cheaper, UPS or Lockheed Martin?