当心，比特币跌势或未结束！

Group 1 - Bitcoin has fallen over 20% from its historical high two months ago, with analysts warning that the downtrend may not be over [1] - As of Monday, Bitcoin was trading around $86,200, down approximately 22% from the peak of $109,225 on January 20 [1] - Concerns over tariffs have led to a drop in Bitcoin, which fell below $80,000 on March 11, marking a new low since November of the previous year [1] Group 2 - The slowing of the Federal Reserve's balance sheet reduction has allowed Bitcoin to rebound over 5% from below $83,000, briefly surpassing $87,000 [1] - Analysts from QCP Capital noted a shift in trader sentiment towards bullishness, as the demand for call options has increased compared to put options [1] - However, macroeconomic uncertainties remain, and the options skew may revert to bearish [1] Group 3 - Concerns regarding the unpredictability of Trump's tariff policies continue to suppress both the stock market and cryptocurrencies, indicating that these assets may not have hit bottom yet [2] - The CME FedWatch Tool shows a 89.1% probability of at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year [2] - Technical analysis suggests Bitcoin may need to drop to $70,000 before a bullish trend can resume [2] Group 4 - The Bull Score Index from CryptoQuant has fallen to 20, the lowest since January 2023, indicating potential continued bear market conditions [2] - Historical data suggests that Bitcoin typically requires the Bull Score Index to exceed 60 for sustained price increases [2]