2025年亚洲经济增速或达4.5％，中国经济依然是增长主力｜聚焦博鳌论坛

Core Insights - The report predicts that Asia's overall economic growth will reach 4.5% in 2025, with China remaining a key driver of this growth [5] Trade and Investment - Asia's total merchandise trade reached $12.7 trillion in the first three quarters of last year, growing by 4.1% year-on-year, surpassing the global average growth of 3.3% [3] - The share of Asia in global merchandise trade increased from 34.9% to 35.8% [3] - Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows to Asia are projected to decline by 7.4% in 2024, while outflows continue to grow; China's outbound direct investment rose by 11.3%, significantly higher than the global average of 1.2% [3] Employment and Economic Indicators - Asia's overall unemployment rate is expected to decrease from 4.4% in 2024 to 4.39% in 2025, remaining below the global rate of 4.96% [4] - The share of Asia's output in global output was 36.1% last year and is expected to rise to 36.4% this year; in terms of purchasing power parity, it is projected to increase from 48.1% to 48.6% [5] Financial Market Outlook - The report expresses cautious optimism regarding financial markets, indicating that while stock indices may experience volatility, they are expected to rise slowly; however, many Asian currencies may face depreciation pressure [3]