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比亚迪(002594):24年销量业绩丰厚 25年技术升级和出海接续成长路径

Core Insights - BYD is projected to achieve a revenue of 777.1 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 29% and a net profit of 40.25 billion yuan, up 34% [1] - The company plans to distribute a cash dividend of 12.1 billion yuan, which accounts for approximately 30% of the net profit attributable to shareholders [1] - In Q4 2024, BYD's revenue reached 274.85 billion yuan, showing a quarter-on-quarter increase of 36.7% and a year-on-year increase of 52.7% [1] Sales Performance - For the full year, BYD sold 4.27 million vehicles, marking a 41% increase year-on-year, with monthly sales exceeding 500,000 units for over three consecutive months [2] - The high-end brands, including Fangchengbao, Tengshi, and Yangwang, achieved total sales of 190,000 units, up 40% year-on-year [2] - Overseas sales reached 420,000 units, a 72% increase year-on-year, with Q4 sales of 120,000 units, reflecting a quarter-on-quarter growth of 26% [2] International Expansion - BYD's electric vehicles are now present in over 100 countries and regions across six continents [2] - The company has signed a land purchase agreement for a passenger car factory in Szeged, Hungary, and has launched production in Uzbekistan and Thailand, with the latter having an annual capacity of approximately 150,000 vehicles [2] Technological Advancements - Since 2025, BYD has introduced significant technological upgrades, including advanced intelligent driving and enhanced battery technology [3] - The company has established a comprehensive smart vehicle strategy, leading in the field of intelligent driving with over 4 million vehicles equipped with L2 level and above intelligent driving capabilities [3] - The launch of the Super e-platform and new generation vehicle-grade silicon carbide power chips marks a significant milestone in BYD's technological evolution [3] Financial Projections - BYD's projected revenues for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 955.84 billion yuan, 1,144.14 billion yuan, and 1,338.64 billion yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 23%, 19.7%, and 17% [4] - The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for the same years is 55.41 billion yuan, 69.76 billion yuan, and 83.74 billion yuan, with corresponding year-on-year growth rates of 37.7%, 25.9%, and 20% [4] - Earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 18.2 yuan, 23.0 yuan, and 27.6 yuan, with price-to-earnings (PE) ratios of 20.6, 16.4, and 13.7, respectively [4]