玉龙股份退市疑云

Core Viewpoint - Yulong Co., Ltd. announced its decision to voluntarily withdraw from stock trading due to significant operational uncertainties stemming from poor business conditions and deteriorating cash flow, with trading suspension effective from March 27 [1] Group 1: Operational Crisis - The decision to delist is a result of multiple operational risks converging, with a reported net cash outflow of 2.271 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2024, worsening by over 300% year-on-year, indicating a broken cash flow chain [2] - The company faces a chain reaction from debt defaults, having failed to pay 495 million yuan to suppliers, leading to the judicial freezing of core assets, including over 500 million yuan in bank deposits and equity stakes in two mining subsidiaries [2] - The Australian subsidiary NQM is facing international arbitration due to a default on an acquisition payment of 8.5 million AUD, further weakening overseas asset operations [2] Group 2: Business Viability - Despite the Pakingo Gold Mine contributing 323 million yuan in net profit in the first half of 2024, the mine's equipment has been in operation for over 40 years, reaching its operational limits, and the company acknowledges a significantly shorter remaining lifespan than previously claimed [3] - The state-owned shareholder, JG Capital, chose to delist to prevent risk transmission, with a short-term interest-bearing debt to cash ratio of 2.15 times, indicating potential financial instability if the company remained listed [3] Group 3: Financial Irregularities - The company’s bulk trade business shows signs of systemic fraud, with a significant change in revenue recognition method leading to a drastic drop in reported revenue from 7.28 billion yuan to 1.62 billion yuan, a reduction of 77.7% [4] - There is a paradox in cash flow, with prepayments of 3.56 billion yuan and accounts receivable of 3.67 billion yuan, indicating a triangular debt situation, particularly with overlapping amounts owed to suppliers [4] - A significant discrepancy exists between reported net profit of 288 million yuan and a cash outflow of 2.271 billion yuan, highlighting a potential "paper profit" scenario akin to previous financial scandals [5] Group 4: Valuation Issues - The valuation of the Pakingo Gold Mine has collapsed, revealing deep-seated issues in resource-based company valuations [6] - The mine's remaining lifespan was previously overstated, with a reported extension from 1.5 years to 13 years based on questionable resource re-evaluations [7] - The mining cost structure is unsustainable, with costs potentially reaching 1,600 USD per ounce, nearing the current gold price, raising concerns about profitability [7] - The market has expressed distrust in the company's operational capabilities, as indicated by a significant drop in market valuation compared to industry peers [7]