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Goldman Sachs Forecasts High Gas Prices And LNG Demand Drive Kinder Morgan's Revenue
LNGCheniere(LNG) Benzinga·2025-03-28 17:14

Group 1 - Goldman Sachs analyst John Mackay maintains a Buy rating on Kinder Morgan Inc (KMI) with a price target of 31.00,anticipatingfirstquarterEBITDAof31.00, anticipating first-quarter EBITDA of 2.18 billion, slightly above consensus estimates of 2.14billionandcompanyguidanceof2.14 billion and company guidance of 2.17 billion [1] - Analysts project EBITDA of 1.54billionforthefirstquarter,anincreasefrom1.54 billion for the first quarter, an increase from 1.43 billion in the fourth quarter of FY24, driven by the Outrigger acquisition, higher natural gas prices, and seasonal marketing benefits [2] - Kinder Morgan expects the first quarter to benefit from higher commodity prices, marking a shift after four consecutive quarters of weaker-than-expected pricing in FY24, with improved gas and crude pricing potentially providing a 50milliontailwind[3]Group2Thecompanyanticipatessubstantialnaturalgasdemandgrowthfrom2024to2030,primarilydrivenbyLNGexports,withKMIholdinga455050 million tailwind [3] Group 2 - The company anticipates substantial natural gas demand growth from 2024 to 2030, primarily driven by LNG exports, with KMI holding a 45-50% market share in LNG exports and power plant connections, positioning it well for expansion in Texas, Louisiana, and the southern U.S. [4] - Kinder Morgan plans to shift focus from large-scale projects to smaller developments, with future announcements likely ranging from hundreds of millions to 500 million, while larger expansions remain possibilities with updates expected throughout 2025 [5]