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三只松鼠(300783):贯彻“高端性价比” 如期达成“重回百亿”目标

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 10.622 billion yuan for the year 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 49.30% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 408 million yuan, an increase of 85.51% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items reached 319 million yuan, up 214.33% [1] - A cash dividend of 1.25 yuan per 10 shares (including tax) is proposed for all shareholders [1] Product Strategy - The company is accelerating the launch of snack products to build a "full-category" product matrix under the "high-end cost performance" strategy, with over 1,000 new SKUs launched in 2024 [2] - The core category of nuts generated revenue of 5.366 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 40.76%, accounting for 50.52% of total revenue [2] - The company is expanding its multi-brand matrix, with the infant food brand "Little Deer Blue" achieving revenue of 794 million yuan, representing 7.48% of total revenue [2] Sales Channels - Online channels continue to show strong performance, with revenue of 7.407 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year growth of 49.60%, accounting for 69.73% of total revenue [3] - The Douyin channel contributed 2.188 billion yuan, growing 81.73% year-on-year, while Tmall and JD contributed 1.937 billion yuan and 1.340 billion yuan, growing 11.45% and 11.95% respectively [3] - Offline distribution is officially ramping up, with offline channel revenue reaching 3.215 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 48.62%, accounting for 30.27% of total revenue [3] Profitability and Financial Metrics - The company achieved a gross margin of 24.25%, an increase of 0.92 percentage points year-on-year, driven by scale effects and improved supply chain efficiency [4] - The net profit margin improved to 3.84%, up 0.75 percentage points year-on-year, indicating significant enhancement in profitability [4] - The company adjusted its profit forecasts for 2025-2027, expecting net profits of 537 million yuan, 747 million yuan, and 972 million yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 1.34, 1.86, and 2.42 yuan [4]