美的集团(000333)：海外全速发力 注重稳健发展和股东回报

Core Insights - The company reported a total revenue of 409.1 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 9.5%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 38.5 billion yuan, up 14.3% year-on-year [1] - The company plans to repurchase shares worth 5 to 10 billion yuan at a price not exceeding 100 yuan per share, with over 70% of the repurchased shares intended for cancellation [1] Group 1: Smart Home Sector - The smart home segment generated 269.5 billion yuan in revenue for 2024, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 9.4% [2] - Overseas business showed significant growth, with overseas revenue (mainly home appliances) increasing by 12.0%, outpacing domestic growth [2] - The domestic market experienced a slowdown in growth during the first half of the year, but benefitted from government subsidies in the second half [3] Group 2: Commercial and Industrial Solutions - The commercial and industrial solutions segment achieved revenue of 104.5 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 6.9% [4] - The smart building technology sector generated 28.5 billion yuan, with a profit margin increase of 0.8 percentage points year-on-year [4] - The renewable energy and industrial technology segment saw a revenue increase of 20.6% year-on-year, driven by advancements in traditional compressor and motor technologies [4] Group 3: Investment Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 438.5 billion, 471.1 billion, and 506.6 billion yuan, with year-on-year growth rates of 7.2%, 7.4%, and 7.5% respectively [5] - Net profit forecasts for the same period are 43.4 billion, 48.6 billion, and 53.6 billion yuan, with growth rates of 12.5%, 12.1%, and 10.2% respectively [5] - The current stock price corresponds to P/E ratios of 13.6x, 12.1x, and 11.0x for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, indicating a relatively low valuation level [5]