Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-03-31 02:20Group 1 - The rental index for aerial work platforms in February 2025 is projected to be 350 points, reflecting a month-on-month decrease of 21.4% but a year-on-year increase of 34.1% [1] - Excavator sales in March 2025 are expected to reach 28,500 units, representing a year-on-year increase of 14%, with domestic sales of 18,500 units (up 22% year-on-year) and exports of 10,000 units (up 2% year-on-year) [1] - Cumulative excavator domestic sales from January to March 2025 are projected at 35,545 units (up 34% year-on-year), while cumulative exports are expected to be 24,737 units (up 5% year-on-year), indicating a marginal recovery in both domestic and international demand [1] Group 2 - Dongwu Securities predicts that the improvement in excavator sales is primarily due to the replacement of aging equipment, as the previous upcycle lasted from 2015 to 2023, with an average lifespan of 8-10 years for excavators [1] - The financial environment has improved since Q4 2024, providing support for both existing and new projects, which is expected to further bolster demand for excavators [1] - The report anticipates that high growth in water conservancy investment will support small excavators, while stabilization in real estate and infrastructure development will benefit medium-sized excavators, and stable demand from mining will support large excavators [1] Group 3 - Pacific Securities reports that the export data for excavator products in January and February 2025 continues to show high year-on-year growth, contributing significantly to the profits of major manufacturers [2] - The positive trend in exports is expected to enhance profit margins for manufacturers, with a favorable overseas demand environment anticipated to positively impact their performance [2] - The engineering machinery sector is viewed positively by the market, with expectations of continued growth in exports and overall industry performance [2] Group 4 - Related Hong Kong-listed companies in the engineering machinery sector include Zoomlion Heavy Industry (000157), China Longgong (03339), First Tractor Company (00038), Sany International (00631), Zhengzhou Coal Mining Machinery (601717), China National Heavy Duty Truck Group (000951), Weichai Power (000338), and Sany International (02155) [3]