债市早报：财政部拟出资5000亿元增资国有大行；短债回暖，长债继续走弱

Group 1: Domestic News - The People's Bank of China held a financial stability meeting emphasizing risk prevention as a core theme for financial work, aiming to enhance risk monitoring and establish a robust financial stability framework [2] - The Ministry of Finance plans to invest 500 billion yuan to increase the capital of four major banks, indicating imminent issuance of special government bonds for capital replenishment [2] Group 2: Regulatory Developments - The China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) released new guidelines to improve the quality and transparency of information disclosure by listed companies, responding to market demands and enhancing governance [4] - The China Securities Association introduced revised risk management norms for securities companies, focusing on the management of off-exchange derivatives and their underlying assets [5] Group 3: International News - In the U.S., the core PCE price index rose to 2.79% year-on-year, the highest since December 2024, indicating inflationary pressures that may influence monetary policy [8] - The University of Michigan's consumer confidence index fell to a two-year low, with long-term inflation expectations reaching a 32-year high, reflecting consumer concerns over economic conditions [9] Group 4: Market Dynamics - The bond market showed mixed performance, with short-term bonds recovering slightly while long-term bonds weakened due to uncertainty in monetary policy [13] - The convertible bond market followed the equity market's downward trend, with most convertible bonds declining in value [20] Group 5: Overseas Bond Market - U.S. Treasury yields fell across all maturities, with the 10-year yield down 11 basis points to 4.27%, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [22] - Major European economies also saw a decline in 10-year government bond yields, reflecting a broader trend of decreasing yields in developed markets [25]