Ge Long Hui·2025-03-31 03:34Core Viewpoint - China Resources Gas has experienced a significant decline in performance, leading to a sharp drop in its stock price, which fell by 17.55% to HKD 23.25 per share, with a total market capitalization of HKD 53.801 billion [1] Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, China Resources Gas reported revenue of HKD 102.676 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.4% [4] - Core profit was HKD 4.148 billion, showing a minimal increase of 0.02% [5] - Shareholders' profit attributable to the company was HKD 4.088 billion, a decrease of 21.7% compared to the previous year [4][5] - Basic earnings per share were HKD 1.8 [4] Business Segments - Retail gas sales volume reached 39.907 billion cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.9%, with residential, industrial, and commercial gas volumes increasing by 6.3%, 1.5%, and 3.8% respectively [5] - The comprehensive service business generated revenue of HKD 4.21 billion, up 4% year-on-year, with profit increasing by 2.1% to HKD 1.4 billion [5] Capital Expenditure and Cash Flow - Capital expenditure for 2024 was HKD 4.42 billion, a significant decrease of 56%, which contributed to a 14.2% increase in free cash flow to HKD 2.58 billion [7] Dividends - The company proposed a final dividend of HKD 0.7 per share, bringing the total annual dividend to HKD 0.95 per share, with a payout ratio of 53%, down from HKD 1.16 per share the previous year [9] Future Outlook - Analysts remain optimistic about China Resources Gas, anticipating a potential revaluation of the company's value due to the stable profit contribution from gas sales and the effective compensation from dual comprehensive services for the decline in connection business profits [10] - Shenwan Hongyuan estimates a reasonable market value of HKD 80.38 billion based on a 16x PE ratio for 2025, indicating a potential upside of 23.2% from the current market capitalization [10] - Huatai Securities set a target price of HKD 28.5, based on a 15x PE ratio for 2025, reflecting an increase in the profit contribution from sustainable business segments [10]