AtHub(SH:603881) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-04-01 10:35Core Viewpoint - The company is a leading IDC service provider in China, deeply integrated with major internet clients, and is expected to benefit from the growing demand for computing power driven by AI advancements and infrastructure investments by internet giants [1][3]. Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company's revenue is projected to reach 1.721 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 11.57%, with an EBITDA of 1.055 billion yuan, up 0.30% year-on-year, and an EBITDA margin of 61.3%, down 6.9 percentage points [1]. - The company's gross profit margin is 31.00%, an increase of 2.02 percentage points year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 132 million yuan, up 7.49% year-on-year [1]. - For Q4 2024, revenue is expected to be 538 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 26.02%, with an EBITDA of 266 million yuan, down 2% year-on-year, and an EBITDA margin of 49.45%, down 14.1 percentage points [1]. Group 2: Client Structure and Market Position - The top five clients contributed 1.693 billion yuan to the company's revenue, accounting for 98.38% of total revenue, indicating a highly concentrated client structure [1]. - Revenue from a major internet company and its controlled enterprises accounts for 98.01% of the company's main business revenue, highlighting the company's close ties with internet firms [1]. Group 3: IDC Business Growth and Projects - The company's IDC business primarily focuses on wholesale data center services, with a total of 35 data centers operational across key regions in China, maintaining a total operational power capacity of 371 MW, equivalent to approximately 74,200 standard cabinets [2]. - The company anticipates IDC service revenue of 1.710 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 12.12%, driven by an increase in the rack utilization rate [2]. - The ongoing Langfang project is expected to bring additional growth, with orders from internet clients already secured [2]. Group 4: Industry Trends and AI Development - The domestic internet sector is entering a phase of rapid capital expenditure growth for computing power, with Alibaba planning to invest more in cloud and AI infrastructure over the next three years than in the past decade [3]. - The emergence of AI applications is accelerating demand for computing resources, with new models like DeepSeek-R1 showing significant performance improvements and cost efficiency compared to existing models [3][4]. - The development of AI capabilities, including new models from Alibaba and other companies, is expected to further drive the demand for IDC resources, benefiting IDC service providers [4]. Group 5: Expense Ratios and Future Projections - The company's expense ratios for sales, management, finance, and R&D are projected to be 0.25%, 4.34%, 5.75%, and 5.09% respectively for 2024, with slight year-on-year changes [5]. - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 1.810 billion yuan, 1.999 billion yuan, and 2.160 billion yuan, with net profits of 153 million yuan, 187 million yuan, and 206 million yuan respectively [5].