美股一线 | “对等关税”推动避险情绪狂飙：纳指期货暴跌逾4%，现货黄金再创历史新高

Group 1: Tariff Policy - The U.S. has implemented a 10% "minimum baseline tariff" on trade partners, with higher tariffs on specific countries, effective April 5 and April 9 [1] - The "reciprocal tariffs" include 34% on China, 20% on the EU, and varying rates on other countries such as 46% on Vietnam and 49% on Cambodia [1] - Certain goods, including steel, aluminum, and specific minerals, are exempt from these tariffs [1] Group 2: Market Reaction - Following the announcement of the tariffs, U.S. stock futures dropped significantly, with Nasdaq futures down over 4% and S&P 500 futures down over 3% [2] - The S&P 500 index has seen a cumulative decline of approximately 6.4% in the first 50 trading days of Trump's second term, marking one of the worst performances since 1950 [2] - Asian markets also reacted negatively, with Japan's Nikkei 225 index dropping 1.91% at the open [2] Group 3: Economic Impact - The Atlanta Fed's GDPNow model has revised the U.S. GDP forecast for Q1 2025 down to -3.7%, indicating a worsening economic outlook [3] - The American Retail Federation warns that tariffs will be passed on to consumers, negatively impacting millions of U.S. businesses [3] - Piper Sandler predicts that tariffs will increase U.S. inflation by 2.6 percentage points and lead to a 1% annualized contraction in the economy over the next three months [3] Group 4: International Response - International criticism of U.S. protectionism is growing, with various countries expressing opposition to the tariff policies [4] - Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi emphasized that the U.S. should address its own issues rather than blaming others, warning that such actions could disrupt global markets [5] - Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney and EU Commission President Ursula von der Leyen indicated that their governments are preparing countermeasures against U.S. tariffs [5]