Core Viewpoint - The oil market has experienced significant fluctuations, with recent price increases followed by a sharp decline, indicating potential volatility in future oil price adjustments [1][3][5]. Oil Price Adjustments - The latest oil price adjustment occurred on April 2, 2025, with gasoline and diesel prices increasing by 230 yuan and 220 yuan per ton, respectively, translating to an increase of approximately 0.18 to 0.20 yuan per liter for 92 and 95 octane gasoline [1][3]. - The current pricing cycle runs from April 3 to April 17, 2025, with the next adjustment window set for April 17 at 24:00 [3][7]. Market Trends - As of April 4, 2025, the reference crude oil change rate is at 2.91%, suggesting a potential increase of 150 yuan per ton for gasoline and diesel prices in the new cycle, equating to an increase of about 0.12 to 0.13 yuan per liter [3][5]. - Recent data shows a significant drop in international oil prices, with WTI crude at $66.95 per barrel (down 6.64%) and Brent crude at $70.14 per barrel (down 6.42%) [5][7]. Supply and Demand Factors - The increase in U.S. crude oil inventories by 6.2 million barrels has raised concerns about oversupply in the market [5]. - The implementation of new tariffs by the U.S. has led to fears of increased inflation and potential impacts on energy demand, complicating the outlook for oil prices [5][7]. Price Predictions - There is a possibility that the current cycle may see oil prices decline after an initial increase, with expectations of a potential drop in prices before the next adjustment [7].
油价大涨2毛/升后，原油惨遭重创，下次4月17日调价，恢复下跌？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-04-04 07:28