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申万宏源首席策略分析师王胜: 政策体系让投资者关键时刻不慌 A股很大希望从“结构牛”演绎至“全面牛”

Core Viewpoint - Central Huijin Company has increased its holdings in ETFs and plans to continue doing so, aiming to act similarly to a stabilizing fund to boost market confidence and valuation recovery, aligning with recent policy benefits released by the CSRC to guide long-term capital into A-share assets and enhance capital market valuations [1][2] Group 1: Central Huijin's Actions - Central Huijin's recent ETF purchases are intended to restore market confidence and support valuation recovery, acting as a marginal source of funds for A-share governance and shareholder return improvements [1] - The increase in ETF holdings is expected to inject liquidity and confidence into the market, sending a clear signal of commitment to maintaining stable capital market operations [1][2] Group 2: Historical Context and Market Stability - Historically, Central Huijin has intervened during market volatility, such as during the 2008 financial crisis and the 2011 European debt crisis, but the current context involves more complex global trade conflicts and domestic economic restructuring [2] - Central Huijin has become a key stabilizing force in the A-share market, indicating a shift towards a more normalized market stabilization mechanism [2] Group 3: Policy Synergy and Market Impact - The increase in holdings by Central Huijin, combined with recent favorable policies from the CSRC, forms a "policy combination punch" that is expected to have multiple impacts on the A-share market [2] - This collaborative policy effort is likely to attract more long-term capital into A-share assets through ETFs, enhancing market liquidity and supporting valuation recovery [2] Group 4: Future Market Outlook - The consensus is that the revaluation of Chinese assets is underway, with A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showing independent performance compared to global markets [3] - Looking ahead to Q2, the implementation of proactive fiscal policies and the advancement of AI technologies are expected to support corporate earnings, with A-shares likely to continue their steady recovery despite external uncertainties [3] - Long-term prospects suggest a potential transition from a "structural bull" market to a "full bull" market, contingent on effective macroeconomic policies to stimulate domestic demand [3]