Core Viewpoint - CITIC Securities maintains a "buy" rating for China Xuyang Group, highlighting its expansion potential in coke, chemicals, and hydrogen energy, with a new EPS forecast of HKD 0.12 for 2027, indicating long-term growth prospects [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company expects a revenue growth of 3%, with projected operating revenue and net profit attributable to shareholders at CNY 47.5 billion and CNY 0.2 billion respectively, resulting in an EPS of CNY 0.005 [2] - The company plans to distribute a special dividend of CNY 0.022 per share, leading to a total dividend of CNY 0.03 per share, corresponding to a dividend yield of approximately 1.29% based on the closing price on April 7, 2025 [2] - The revenue from the coke and coking products segment is projected to be CNY 176.4 billion in 2024, with costs at CNY 164.4 billion, resulting in a segment gross profit of CNY 15.1 billion [2] Group 2: Coke Production and Expansion - The company is focusing on expanding its coke production capacity through the integration of its facilities in Hohhot and Sulawesi, Indonesia, while exploring potential acquisition projects [2] - The company is constructing a production facility with an annual capacity of 1.8 million tons of coke in the Xiangdong Industrial Park [2] - The company aims to maintain a coal-coke price difference of approximately CNY 320 per ton in 2024 through effective coal blending strategies [2] Group 3: Fine Chemicals Segment - The fine chemicals segment is expected to generate revenue of CNY 207.3 billion in 2024, reflecting an 11.0% year-on-year increase, with costs at CNY 192.1 billion [3] - The gross profit for the fine chemicals segment is projected at CNY 15.2 billion, with a gross margin of 7.3%, remaining stable compared to 2023 [3] - The company has become the second-largest producer of caprolactam globally and the largest producer of methanol from coke oven gas in China [3] Group 4: Hydrogen Energy Expansion - The company plans to acquire a controlling stake in Yihua Tong, investing approximately CNY 550 million, marking a strategic partnership in the hydrogen energy sector [4] - This collaboration aims to enhance the hydrogen energy business, leveraging the company's early investments in high-purity hydrogen and pipeline construction [4] - The partnership is expected to strengthen the overall hydrogen energy industry chain and promote comprehensive upgrades [4]
中信证券：维持中国旭阳集团(01907)“买入”评级 目标价3港元