Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China Xuyang (1907.HK) with a target price of HKD 4.2, indicating a potential upside of 68% from the current stock price of HKD 2.5 [1][6][13]. Core Views - Despite the cyclical downturn, China Xuyang managed to achieve profitability in the first half of 2025, with total revenue of RMB 20.549 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 18.5%, and a net profit of RMB 0.87 billion, down 34% primarily due to falling coke prices [1][2][4]. - The company demonstrated strong cost control capabilities, achieving a gross margin of 11.9%, which is an increase of 4.4 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to effective cost-saving measures and a reduction in depreciation expenses [2][3]. - The report anticipates continued low volatility in coke prices for the next six months, with the average price per ton expected to stabilize around RMB 1,500 [2]. Financial Performance Summary - **Coke and Coking Business**: Revenue for the coke and coking segment was RMB 6.36 billion, down 35.2% year-on-year, with an average selling price of approximately RMB 1,400 per ton, a decrease of about 30% [2]. - **Chemical Business**: Revenue from the chemical segment fell to RMB 9.1 billion, a decline of 12.6%, primarily due to lower average prices for key products [3]. - **Operating Management**: Revenue from operating management dropped to RMB 1.275 billion, a decrease of 47%, mainly due to the completion of agreements for three projects [3]. - **Trade Business**: Trade revenue increased by 53% to RMB 3.73 billion, driven by higher trading volumes, although it reported a pre-tax loss of RMB 184 million [3]. Profit Forecasts - The report revises the net profit forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to RMB 1.7 billion, RMB 4.8 billion, and RMB 10.6 billion respectively, down from previous estimates of RMB 2.3 billion, RMB 7.8 billion, and RMB 11.5 billion [1][4]. - Corresponding EPS estimates are adjusted to HKD 0.04, HKD 0.12, and HKD 0.26 for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [1][4]. Valuation Analysis - The valuation is based on both comparable company analysis and DCF methods, with a target price of HKD 4.2 derived from a PE multiple of 40x applied to the 2026 EPS [12][13]. - The DCF analysis estimates a market value of HKD 19.45 billion, reflecting the company's resilience and growth potential despite current industry challenges [12][13].

Summary of Xuyang Group's Conference Call Company Overview - Xuyang Group is a leading player in the chemical and coking industry, with four main business segments: chemicals, coking, operational management, and new energy [3][10]. - As of the first half of 2025, the company has a coking capacity of 22.6 million tons and a high-purity hydrogen production capacity of 140 million cubic meters, ranking second in the country [2][3]. Financial Performance Highlights - In the first half of 2025, Xuyang Group's total assets increased by 5.7%, and profits surged by 325% compared to the previous period [2][4]. - Coking business volume rose to 10.81 million tons, while chemical business volume increased to 2.85 million tons [2][4]. - The chemical segment generated revenue of 9.096 billion yuan with a gross profit of 756 million yuan, accounting for over 44% of total revenue [2][4]. - Operational management revenue reached 5.095 billion yuan, with new projects in Shanxi and Jilin adding 2.6 million tons of management capacity [2][4]. - Hydrogen energy revenue grew by 47% year-on-year, reaching 56.02 million yuan [2][4]. Cost Management and Efficiency Improvements - The company effectively reduced sales expenses by 25.6 million yuan and management expenses by 9 million yuan through various measures, including signing fixed transportation agreements and improving internal processes [2][4]. - Inventory and receivables decreased by 585 million yuan and 376 million yuan, respectively, leading to a 315% increase in operating cash flow to 1.95 billion yuan [2][4]. Global Expansion and Market Presence - Xuyang Group's operations now cover 1,717 countries and regions globally, with 51 clients, including major international steel mills [2][5]. - The company has established new offices in Brazil, Rotterdam, and Outer Mongolia to deepen its overseas presence [2][5]. Industry Trends and Regulatory Environment - The coking industry is undergoing consolidation, with a significant reduction in the number of enterprises and an increase in equipment standards due to stricter environmental policies [3][13]. - It is anticipated that approximately 33 million tons of outdated coking capacity will be shut down in the next three years due to these regulations [3][13]. Innovations and Future Projects - Xuyang Group is constructing China's first liquid hydrogen facility with a daily processing capacity of 1,000 kg, expected to be operational by 2026 [3][14]. - The company has made breakthroughs in hydrogen production technology, achieving over 60% conversion efficiency in its pilot projects [3][14]. ESG and Sustainability Efforts - The company has six national-level green factories and one provincial-level green factory, with its ESG rating upgraded to AA in 2025 [3][9]. - Xuyang Group is committed to reducing emissions and enhancing governance, which has been recognized by professional institutions [3][9]. Challenges and Strategic Responses - The company faces challenges in overseas operations due to social events but reports stable operations in Indonesia, with production increasing by 33,000 tons year-on-year [2][25]. - Xuyang Group is expanding its international client base and has signed long-term agreements with ten steel mills [2][26]. Conclusion - Xuyang Group is well-positioned for future growth with a strong financial performance, ongoing global expansion, and a commitment to sustainability and innovation in the chemical and energy sectors [3][10][27].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" [1] Core Viewpoints - The coal sector has shown resilience, with a slight increase in prices and a positive outlook for the second half of the year, suggesting a potential balance between supply and demand [6][23] - The report highlights the importance of positioning in high-dividend coal companies and those undergoing turnaround in coking coal and coke sectors [6][23] Summary by Sections Market Performance - As of September 5, 2025, the CITIC coal industry index rose by 0.1%, outperforming the CSI 300 index, which fell by 0.81%, resulting in a 0.91 percentage point advantage [2] - The highest weekly stock price increase was seen in Yunmei Energy, with a rise of 4.03% [2] Supply and Demand Data - Average daily coal sales for monitored enterprises were 6.67 million tons, a week-on-week increase of 0.9% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.9% [2] - The average daily coal production was 6.64 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 0.1% and a year-on-year decrease of 1.7% [2] - Total coal inventory (including port storage) was 25.85 million tons, down 0.7% week-on-week and down 9.1% year-on-year [2] Price Trends - The price index for thermal coal (Q5500K) was 676 CNY/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 0.75% [3] - The average price for coking coal at Jing Tang Port was 1550 CNY/ton, down 4.9% week-on-week [4] - The report notes fluctuations in prices across various coal types, with some showing declines while others have remained stable [4][5] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that coal prices are expected to rebound in September, with long-term contract prices for different grades of coal being 674, 613, and 551 CNY/ton respectively [6][23] - Recommended companies for investment include major thermal coal firms such as China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal, and others, as well as coking coal companies like Huabei Mining and Shanxi Coking Coal [6][23]

Core Viewpoint - China Xuyang Group (01907.HK) has decided to terminate the framework agreement with Beijing Yihua Tong regarding potential sale and capital increase due to the inability to reach a final agreement, ensuring the interests of the company and its investors are maintained [1] Group 1 - The termination agreement was signed on September 5, 2025, and both parties agreed to release each other from their respective obligations under the framework agreement, effective from the termination date [1] - The board of directors believes that the termination of the framework agreement will not have any significant adverse impact on the group's business operations and financial condition [1] - The group will continue to seek any potential strategic cooperation opportunities with Beijing Yihua Tong and will issue further announcements in accordance with listing rules as necessary [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Xuyang Group has decided not to proceed with the potential sale and capital increase due to the inability to reach a final agreement with Beijing Yihua Tong, which is aimed at protecting the interests of the company and its investors [1] Group 1 - A framework agreement was established between China Xuyang Group and Beijing Yihua Tong regarding potential sale and capital increase matters [1] - On September 5, 2025, a termination agreement was signed, mutually agreeing to terminate the framework agreement and release each party from their respective obligations under it [1] - The board of directors believes that the termination of the framework agreement will not have any significant adverse impact on the group's business operations and financial condition [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Xuyang Group (01907) announced the termination of a framework agreement with Beijing Yihuatong regarding potential sale and capital increase due to the inability to reach a final agreement [1] Group 1 - The parties involved have mutually agreed to terminate the framework agreement and have released each other from their respective obligations under the agreement [1] - A termination agreement was signed on September 5, 2025, which will take effect immediately [1] - The board of directors believes that the termination of the framework agreement will not have any significant adverse impact on the company's business operations and financial condition [1]

香港交易及結算所有限公司及香港聯合交易所有限公司對本公告的內容概不負 責，對其準確性或完整性亦不發表任何聲明，並明確表示概不就因本公告全部或 任何部分內容而產生或因倚賴該等內容而引致的任何損失承擔任何責任。 China Risun Group Limited 中國旭陽集團有限公司 （於開曼群島註冊成立的有限公司） （股份代號：1907） 本集團將繼續尋求與北京億華通的任何潛在戰略合作機會，並將根據上市規則適 時刊發進一步公告。 承董事會命 中國旭陽集團有限公司 主席 楊雪崗 香港，2025年9月5日 於本公告日期，執行董事為楊雪崗先生、路小梅女士、李慶華先生、韓勤亮先 生、王年平先生及楊路先生；及獨立非執行董事為余國權博士、王引平先生及劉 曉峰博士。 終止有關潛在出售事項及潛在增資的框架協議 茲提述中國旭陽集團有限公司（「本公司」）日期為2025年3月12日的公告（「該公 告」），內容有關旭陽集團與北京億華通訂立的框架協議項下的潛在出售事項及潛 在增資。除另有說明外，本公告所用詞彙與該公告所界定者具相同涵義。 董事會謹此宣佈，由於交易雙方未能就本次潛在出售事項及潛在增資的最終方案 達成一致意見，為切實維護本公 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report highlights that Xuyang Group is successfully navigating through an industry adjustment period while achieving resilient growth and business integration, marking a critical transition point as it approaches its seventh five-year development plan for 2026-2030 [1][2]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Xuyang Group reported a revenue of 20.549 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 1.686 billion yuan, resulting in a gross margin of 8.2% and a net profit of 86.908 million yuan [3]. - The fine chemicals segment generated a revenue of 9.096 billion yuan, accounting for 44.3% of total revenue, while the coke and coking segment reported a revenue of 6.358 billion yuan [3]. Business Segments Growth - The fine chemicals segment experienced a business volume of 2.9 million tons, up 11.5% year-on-year, while the coke segment's business volume reached 10.9 million tons, increasing by 25.3% [1]. - The hydrogen energy segment reported a business volume of 1.11 million cubic meters, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 16.8% [1]. Strategic Initiatives - Xuyang Group successfully acquired a controlling stake in Yihua Tong, marking the largest transaction in the hydrogen energy sector in recent years, and is progressing towards building a hydrogen energy ecosystem worth 10 billion yuan [1]. - The company has established a presence in Brazil and is preparing to set up trading offices in Europe, expanding its international footprint with 11 subsidiaries or offices across 41 countries and regions [2]. Future Outlook - The company is set to launch its seventh five-year development plan in 2026, with a clear path for future growth driven by acquisitions, external collaborations, and global market expansion [2][7]. - Upcoming projects include a 50,000-ton/year high-end polyamide new materials project expected to commence production in October 2025, alongside ongoing research into high-value fine chemical products [7]. Hydrogen Energy Development - Xuyang Group is actively involved in hydrogen industrialization projects in various regions and has completed the necessary licensing for hazardous chemicals, enhancing its competitive edge [4]. - The company is developing a 5-ton/day liquid hydrogen demonstration project, which is expected to be completed next year, positioning it as a leader in the domestic liquid hydrogen market [4][9]. Innovation and Product Development - The company has successfully built and put into operation the first domestic industrial-scale amino alcohol production facility, becoming the second company globally to produce amino alcohols industrially [5]. - The amino alcohols produced are widely applicable in various industries, with prices ranging from 60 to 150 yuan per kilogram based on purity, indicating high added value [5][6].

Group 1 - The company announced a share award plan adopted at the annual general meeting held on May 30, 2025 [1] - A total of 9.915 million shares will be granted to 197 eligible participants, including directors and employees of the group [1] - The grant of shares is subject to acceptance by the participants [1]

Core Viewpoint - China Xuyang Group (01907) announced a mid-term dividend of 0.002 yuan per share to be distributed on September 30, 2025 [1] Company Summary - The company is set to distribute a mid-term dividend, indicating a commitment to returning value to shareholders [1]