Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-04-09 09:18Core Viewpoint - Multiple securities firms are expected to report strong performance in the first quarter of 2025, driven by significant growth in wealth management, investment trading, and investment banking businesses [2][3][4]. Group 1: Earnings Forecasts - Galaxy Securities anticipates a net profit of 27.73 billion to 31 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 70% to 90% [3]. - CITIC Securities expects a net profit of approximately 65.45 billion yuan for Q1 2025, reflecting a growth of around 32% year-on-year [4]. - Guotai Junan forecasts a net profit of 112.01 billion to 124.45 billion yuan for Q1 2025, with an expected increase of 350% to 400% year-on-year [4][5]. - Industrial Securities reported a revenue of 27.92 billion yuan for Q1 2025, up 17.48% year-on-year, and a net profit of 5.16 billion yuan, increasing by 57.32% [6]. - Dongwu Securities projects a net profit of 9.12 billion to 10.03 billion yuan for Q1 2025, indicating a growth of 100% to 120% year-on-year [7]. Group 2: Business Growth Drivers - The growth in net profits for these firms is primarily attributed to substantial increases in wealth management and investment trading revenues [4][5][6]. - Guotai Junan's profit growth is also linked to the absorption merger that generated negative goodwill, enhancing its competitive position in core business areas [5]. - The overall market activity has improved, leading to expectations of better-than-expected earnings reports from securities firms [8]. Group 3: Share Buybacks - Several securities firms are initiating share buyback programs to boost market confidence, including Guojin Securities, which plans to repurchase shares worth between 50 million and 100 million yuan [8][9]. - Guotai Junan has proposed a buyback plan with a total fund of 1 billion to 2 billion yuan to enhance shareholder value [9]. - Dongfang Securities intends to repurchase A-shares with a budget of 250 million to 500 million yuan, further indicating a trend among firms to stabilize their stock prices [9].